Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
32
lifetime
Volume
$49
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$75
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-10 16:24
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
61%
Politics
24%
Crypto
16%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on December 31? Yes -91 $-0 26¢ $-23 $-23 05-10 16:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? No +40 $10 22¢ $9 $-1 05-10 15:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11? Yes -140 $-4 $-5 $-2 05-10 16:18
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -713 $-3 $-5 $-2 05-10 16:15
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -1,890 $-4 $-5 $-1 05-10 16:14
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? No -26 $-3 13¢ $-3 $-0 05-10 16:24
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? Yes -100 $-2 $-2 $-0 05-10 16:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? Yes -80 $-2 $-2 $-0 05-10 16:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes -100 $-2 $-2 $-0 05-10 16:19
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes -91 $-2 $-2 +$0 05-10 16:20
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? Yes -88 $-1 $-2 $-1 05-10 16:20
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Yes -100 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-10 16:19
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? Yes -100 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-10 16:19
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -825 $-1 $-1 $-0 05-10 16:14
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? Yes -101 $-1 $-1 $-0 05-10 16:19
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? Yes -85 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-10 16:20
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? Yes -133 $-1 $-1 $-0 05-10 16:18
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -125 $-1 $-1 $-0 05-10 16:18
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -143 $-1 $-1 $-0 05-10 16:18
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -143 $-1 $-1 $-0 05-10 16:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12? No -80 $-0 $-1 $-0 05-10 16:20
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? Yes -143 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-10 16:18
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? Yes -91 $-1 $-0 +$0 05-10 16:20
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -91 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-10 16:20
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes -83 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-10 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? Down +440 $1 $0 $-1 05-10 15:47
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? Yes -100 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-10 16:19
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -140 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-10 16:18
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes -86 $-1 $-0 +$0 05-10 16:20
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -100 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-10 16:19