(anonymous) 0x3e5886…07070f
6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$61
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
97.5%
Resolved (7d)
38
Trades (7d)
219
387 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$9.10K
$11.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$3.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-18
last 11-01 16:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
60% 80% +$14
Politics
37% 89% -$79
Tech
2% 100% +$0
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +413 $390 94¢ $391 +$1 11-01 14:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +403 $336 82¢ $332 -$4 11-01 14:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +481 $296 66¢ $315 +$19 11-01 14:31
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +257 $242 94¢ $243 +$2 10-30 13:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +259 $237 94¢ $242 +$5 10-30 13:35
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +155 $150 99¢ $153 +$3 10-30 13:35
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +155 $151 97¢ $151 $0 10-30 13:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +147 $137 94¢ $139 +$2 10-30 13:35
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +144 $132 92¢ $133 +$1 10-30 13:35
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +123 $115 96¢ $118 +$3 10-30 13:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +129 $110 82¢ $106 -$4 10-30 13:35
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +99 $98 99¢ $98 +$0 10-30 13:35
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +95 $92 99¢ $93 +$2 10-30 13:35
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +86 $83 98¢ $84 +$1 10-30 13:35
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +186 $78 44¢ $83 +$5 11-01 14:31
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +99 $70 70¢ $70 +$0 10-30 13:35
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +89 $62 70¢ $62 -$1 10-30 13:35
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +62 $50 93¢ $58 +$8 11-01 14:31
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +75 $54 74¢ $55 +$1 10-30 13:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +63 $54 88¢ $55 +$1 10-30 13:35
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +57 $53 95¢ $54 +$1 10-30 13:35
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +122 $55 44¢ $53 -$2 10-30 13:35
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +49 $49 100¢ $49 $0 11-01 16:43
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +57 $49 86¢ $49 $0 10-30 13:35
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +43 $41 94¢ $41 $0 10-30 13:35
Trump out as President before 2027? No +41 $40 97¢ $40 +$0 10-30 13:35
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $37 94¢ $37 +$1 10-30 13:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +38 $36 96¢ $37 +$1 10-30 13:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +38 $37 96¢ $37 +$0 11-01 14:31
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +733 $38 5¢ $37 -$1 10-30 13:35