(anonymous) 0x3e5886…07070f Create alert
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$51
Unrealized P&L
+$346
Hit rate
94.7%
Resolved (90d)
92
Trades (90d)
387
387 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$11.9K
$11.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$2.72K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-18
last 11-01 16:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
60% 78% +$17
Politics
37% 82% +$33
Tech
2% 100% +$0
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +403 $336 88¢ $356 +$20 11-01 14:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +481 $296 70¢ $337 +$41 11-01 14:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +259 $237 96¢ $247 +$11 10-30 13:35
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +186 $78 100¢ $185 +$107 11-01 14:31
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +155 $151 98¢ $153 +$1 10-30 13:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +147 $137 96¢ $141 +$5 10-30 13:35
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +144 $132 92¢ $133 +$1 10-30 13:35
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +122 $55 100¢ $121 +$66 10-30 13:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +129 $110 90¢ $117 +$6 10-30 13:35
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +91 $32 100¢ $90 +$59 10-30 13:35
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +86 $83 98¢ $84 +$1 10-30 13:35
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +75 $54 94¢ $70 +$16 10-30 13:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +63 $54 90¢ $56 +$2 10-30 13:35
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +57 $53 96¢ $54 +$2 10-30 13:35
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +57 $49 90¢ $51 +$2 10-30 13:35
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +43 $41 98¢ $42 +$2 10-30 13:35
Trump out as President before 2027? No +41 $40 96¢ $40 +$0 10-30 13:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +38 $37 97¢ $37 +$1 11-01 14:31
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +38 $36 97¢ $37 +$1 10-30 13:35
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +38 $37 96¢ $37 $0 10-30 13:35
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +40 $34 92¢ $37 +$2 10-30 13:35
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +733 $38 5¢ $35 -$3 10-30 13:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +35 $34 98¢ $34 +$0 10-30 13:35
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +39 $34 87¢ $34 +$1 10-30 13:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +34 $34 98¢ $34 +$0 11-01 14:31
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +48 $34 70¢ $33 -$1 11-01 14:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +74 $29 44¢ $32 +$3 11-01 14:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +33 $31 96¢ $31 +$1 11-01 14:31
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +32 $31 97¢ $31 $0 10-30 13:35
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +28 $27 98¢ $28 +$0 10-30 13:35