(anonymous) 0x3e5886…07070f Create alert
4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$290
Unrealized P&L
+$205
Hit rate
94.9%
Resolved
100
Trades
387
lifetime
Volume
$11.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$2.48K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-18
last 11-01 16:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
60% 81% +$188
Politics
37% 82% +$103
Tech
2% 100% +$0
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +403 $336 92¢ $373 +$36 11-01 14:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +481 $296 77¢ $369 +$73 11-01 14:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +259 $237 97¢ $250 +$13 10-30 13:35
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +155 $151 99¢ $153 +$2 10-30 13:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +147 $137 97¢ $142 +$5 10-30 13:35
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +144 $132 92¢ $133 +$1 10-30 13:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +129 $110 96¢ $123 +$13 10-30 13:35
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +86 $83 99¢ $85 +$1 10-30 13:35
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +75 $54 99¢ $74 +$20 10-30 13:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +63 $54 92¢ $57 +$3 10-30 13:35
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +57 $53 97¢ $55 +$2 10-30 13:35
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +57 $49 96¢ $54 +$5 10-30 13:35
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +43 $41 98¢ $42 +$2 10-30 13:35
Trump out as President before 2027? No +41 $40 98¢ $40 +$1 10-30 13:35
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +733 $38 5¢ $39 +$1 10-30 13:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +38 $37 97¢ $38 +$1 11-01 14:31
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +38 $37 97¢ $37 +$0 10-30 13:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +38 $36 97¢ $37 +$1 10-30 13:35
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +40 $34 94¢ $37 +$3 10-30 13:35
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +39 $34 90¢ $36 +$2 10-30 13:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +35 $34 98¢ $35 +$1 10-30 13:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +34 $34 99¢ $34 +$0 11-01 14:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +33 $31 98¢ $32 +$1 11-01 14:31
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +48 $34 66¢ $31 -$3 11-01 14:31
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +32 $31 98¢ $31 +$0 10-30 13:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? No +37 $29 80¢ $29 $0 11-01 14:31
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +29 $13 99¢ $28 +$15 10-30 13:36
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +28 $27 98¢ $28 +$1 10-30 13:35
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $24 98¢ $27 +$3 10-30 13:35
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +26 $25 98¢ $26 +$1 11-01 14:31