Realized P&L
-$657
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
33.0%
Resolved
872
Trades
2,527
lifetime
Volume
$3.72K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$43
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-08 19:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Politics
35% 13% -$155
Other
32% 17% -$184
Crypto
31% 10% -$294
Sports
1% 0% -$11
Tech
0% 0% -$13
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10 $4 49¢ $5 +$1 06-07 21:12
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -20 -$5 16¢ $-3 +$1 05-08 11:52
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -519 -$27 1¢ $-3 +$24 05-10 16:15
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes -53 -$6 5¢ $-3 +$3 06-08 19:11
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -103 $0 2¢ $-2 -$2 05-10 16:16
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -132 -$1 2¢ $-2 -$1 05-10 16:14
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes -65 -$4 3¢ $-2 +$2 05-10 16:22
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? Yes -200 -$1 1¢ $-2 -$1 05-10 16:17
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes +14 $4 12¢ $2 -$3 06-07 21:12
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — -1,000 -$1 0¢ $-2 $0 05-10 16:14
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -5 $0 28¢ $-1 -$1 05-15 12:33
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -833 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$0 05-10 16:14
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — -825 -$1 0¢ $-1 $0 05-10 16:14
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -182 -$3 1¢ $-1 +$2 05-10 16:15
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -167 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$0 05-10 16:17
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? Yes -19 -$1 5¢ $-1 $0 05-11 14:15
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -351 -$3 0¢ $-1 +$2 05-10 16:17
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -583 -$5 0¢ $-1 +$4 05-10 16:15
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -570 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 05-10 16:15
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? Yes -85 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$0 05-10 16:20
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -500 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 05-10 16:15
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — -500 $0 0¢ $-1 $0 05-10 16:15
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -500 $0 0¢ $-1 $0 05-10 16:15
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -500 $0 0¢ $-1 $0 05-10 16:15
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — -500 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$1 05-10 16:15
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -500 $0 0¢ $-1 $0 05-10 16:15
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — -500 $0 0¢ $-1 $0 05-10 16:15
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -500 $0 0¢ $-1 $0 05-10 16:15
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -500 $0 0¢ $-1 $0 05-10 16:15
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -203 $1 0¢ $-1 -$1 05-10 16:15