Will Donald Trump dance on May 15, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,282
Trades
104
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$102
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-16 06:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $314
vs crowd: 2% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | — | $452 | $452 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $4 | $67 | $63 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $2 | $393 | $391 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $15 | $155 | $141 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $314 | $314 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $17 | $16 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $0 | $71 | $71 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | $421 | $421 |
| Below median | 9 | $15 | $46 | $31 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $9 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $3 | $47 | $44 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $137 | $137 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | +364 | $364 | $364 | 3 | 05-16 06:01 |
| Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | +318 | $314 | $314 | 7 | 05-16 05:57 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +249 | $1 | $1 | 6 | 05-16 06:01 |
| Actual-Draw-Flair 0xf57e…3823 | Yes | +221 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 23:11 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 06:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +70 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 05-15 23:11 |
| Unselfish-Hometown 0x81e7…7389 | No | +58 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 05-16 05:18 |
| Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 00:18 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-16 06:01 |
| Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | +42 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 05-16 03:21 |
| Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | +40 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 05-16 05:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 05:18 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +23 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 10:12 |
| That-Magazine 0x0254…efdb | Yes | +22 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-16 00:18 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +22 | $-1 | $5 | 7 | 05-16 05:22 |
| Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 13:02 |
| That-Magazine 0x0254…efdb | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-15 23:11 |
| Unselfish-Hometown 0x81e7…7389 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-16 06:01 |
| Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | +11 | $-12 | $13 | 7 | 05-16 05:18 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $-0 | $1 | 3 | 05-16 05:18 |
| Buoyant-Nurture 0xe0dc…3944 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 04:24 |
| Posh-Illustration 0xf686…c793 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f08…54d3 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 23:11 |
| Numb-Consul 0x6ffa…d72d | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xad5e…e71f | No | +3 | $5 | $5 | 7 | 05-16 05:48 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 00:38 |
| Glamorous-Counsel 0x7423…f83f | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 20:49 |
| Limping-Elderberry 0x1d1a…324e | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 20:49 |
| Vacant-Transom 0x9bea…038e | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 00:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 06:01:34 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x8eca1e… |
| 05-16 06:01:34 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8eca1e… |
| 05-16 06:01:24 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x111f76… |
| 05-16 06:01:24 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 185 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x87e31b… |
| 05-16 06:01:24 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x87e31b… |
| 05-16 06:01:24 | Unselfish-Hometown 0x81e7…7389 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x87e31b… |
| 05-16 06:01:24 | Unselfish-Hometown 0x81e7…7389 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x111f76… |
| 05-16 06:01:24 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0x87e31b… |
| 05-16 06:01:24 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x87e31b… |
| 05-16 05:57:12 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf71f0f… |
| 05-16 05:57:12 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xf71f0f… |
| 05-16 05:48:13 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x619d15… |
| 05-16 05:48:13 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x619d15… |
| 05-16 05:48:13 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x619d15… |
| 05-16 05:48:08 | (anonymous) 0xad5e…e71f | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc66277… |
| 05-16 05:48:08 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc66277… |
| 05-16 05:48:06 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xed9a55… |
| 05-16 05:48:06 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xed9a55… |
| 05-16 05:22:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38bce4… |
| 05-16 05:22:52 | (anonymous) 0xad5e…e71f | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x38bce4… |
| 05-16 05:22:50 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x823f95… |
| 05-16 05:22:50 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x823f95… |
| 05-16 05:18:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xff23f7… |
| 05-16 05:18:17 | Unselfish-Hometown 0x81e7…7389 | No | BUY | 58 | 99¢ | $57 | 0xff23f7… |
| 05-16 05:18:17 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xff23f7… |
| 05-16 05:18:17 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xff23f7… |
| 05-16 04:24:55 | Buoyant-Nurture 0xe0dc…3944 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe6c16a… |
| 05-16 04:24:55 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6c16a… |
| 05-16 04:05:05 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x721ef4… |
| 05-16 04:05:05 | (anonymous) 0xad5e…e71f | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x721ef4… |
| 05-16 04:05:03 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 67 | 98¢ | $66 | 0xff4c0e… |
| 05-16 04:05:03 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xff4c0e… |
| 05-16 04:05:03 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xff4c0e… |
| 05-16 04:05:03 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xff4c0e… |
| 05-16 03:21:11 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xbb0c3d… |
| 05-16 03:21:11 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xbb0c3d… |
| 05-16 03:21:11 | Grim-Dialect 0xb7df…0723 | No | SELL | 22 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xbb0c3d… |
| 05-16 03:21:01 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf41a72… |
| 05-16 03:21:01 | Grim-Dialect 0xb7df…0723 | No | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf41a72… |
| 05-16 03:20:50 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x744fae… |
| 05-16 03:20:50 | Grim-Dialect 0xb7df…0723 | No | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x744fae… |
| 05-16 03:20:43 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb4e077… |
| 05-16 03:20:43 | Grim-Dialect 0xb7df…0723 | No | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb4e077… |
| 05-16 03:20:34 | Grim-Dialect 0xb7df…0723 | No | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x07e379… |
| 05-16 03:20:34 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x07e379… |
| 05-16 03:20:08 | Grim-Dialect 0xb7df…0723 | No | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xcc279d… |
| 05-16 03:20:08 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 81¢ | $5 | 0xcc279d… |
| 05-16 03:19:47 | Grim-Dialect 0xb7df…0723 | No | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xf77375… |
| 05-16 03:19:47 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xf77375… |
| 05-16 02:38:15 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x1936d7… |
| 05-16 02:38:15 | (anonymous) 0xad5e…e71f | No | SELL | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x1936d7… |
| 05-16 02:37:38 | (anonymous) 0xad5e…e71f | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x822ad1… |
| 05-16 02:37:38 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x822ad1… |
| 05-16 02:37:37 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7cf5e2… |
| 05-16 02:37:37 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x7cf5e2… |
| 05-16 00:38:42 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x234764… |
| 05-16 00:38:42 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x234764… |
| 05-16 00:38:42 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x234764… |
| 05-16 00:38:42 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x234764… |
| 05-16 00:27:05 | Vacant-Transom 0x9bea…038e | No | BUY | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0xb16c82… |
| 05-16 00:27:05 | (anonymous) 0xad5e…e71f | No | SELL | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0xb16c82… |
| 05-16 00:18:20 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1519e1… |
| 05-16 00:18:20 | (anonymous) 0xad5e…e71f | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1519e1… |
| 05-16 00:18:19 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 172 | 99¢ | $170 | 0xc8e548… |
| 05-16 00:18:19 | That-Magazine 0x0254…efdb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc8e548… |
| 05-16 00:18:19 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc8e548… |
| 05-16 00:18:19 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xc8e548… |
| 05-16 00:18:19 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc8e548… |
| 05-16 00:18:19 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | SELL | 72 | 98¢ | $71 | 0xc8e548… |
| 05-15 23:11:52 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x38111e… |
| 05-15 23:11:52 | That-Magazine 0x0254…efdb | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x38111e… |
| 05-15 23:11:52 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x38111e… |
| 05-15 23:11:52 | (anonymous) 0x6f08…54d3 | No | BUY | 4 | 69¢ | $2 | 0x38111e… |
| 05-15 23:11:52 | Actual-Draw-Flair 0xf57e…3823 | Yes | BUY | 221 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x38111e… |
| 05-15 23:11:52 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | BUY | 72 | 96¢ | $70 | 0x38111e… |
| 05-15 23:11:52 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x38111e… |
| 05-15 23:11:52 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 70 | 96¢ | $67 | 0x38111e… |
| 05-15 13:03:17 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd7a540… |
| 05-15 13:03:17 | Impractical-Senior 0x9a3b…ad18 | No | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0xd7a540… |
| 05-15 13:03:17 | Boiling-Institute 0x3f4b…f574 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd7a540… |
| 05-15 13:03:17 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd7a540… |
| 05-15 13:02:59 | Impractical-Senior 0x9a3b…ad18 | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x6d0684… |
| 05-15 13:02:59 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6d0684… |
| 05-15 13:02:59 | That-Magazine 0x0254…efdb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6d0684… |
| 05-15 13:02:42 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcc9f4b… |
| 05-15 13:02:42 | Boiling-Institute 0x3f4b…f574 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcc9f4b… |
| 05-15 11:14:41 | Boiling-Institute 0x3f4b…f574 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbf8176… |
| 05-15 11:14:41 | Unfolded-Group 0xadf1…6460 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xbf8176… |
| 05-15 08:59:09 | Grim-Dialect 0xb7df…0723 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x68a8b7… |
| 05-15 08:59:09 | Boiling-Institute 0x3f4b…f574 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x68a8b7… |
| 05-15 04:34:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4ffcce… |
| 05-15 04:34:16 | Unfolded-Group 0xadf1…6460 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x4ffcce… |
| 05-14 14:54:14 | Numb-Consul 0x6ffa…d72d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x510a6b… |
| 05-14 14:54:14 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x510a6b… |
| 05-14 13:06:12 | Unfinished-Length 0x5447…19c8 | No | SELL | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0x4054fa… |
| 05-14 13:06:12 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 0 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x4054fa… |
| 05-14 10:12:52 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x033909… |
| 05-14 10:12:52 | Grim-Dialect 0xb7df…0723 | No | BUY | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x033909… |
| 05-14 10:12:00 | Grim-Dialect 0xb7df…0723 | No | BUY | 23 | 92¢ | $21 | 0x251974… |
| 05-14 10:12:00 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 23 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x251974… |