Will Trump say "Palmer" or "Luckey" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?
Yes won
Total volume
$758
Trades
62
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-06
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-06 22:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+3.1¢
(top1%: 93% YES on $212
vs crowd: 90% YES on $614)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $205 | $16 | +$188 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $247 | $45 | +$202 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $82 | $3 | +$79 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $16 | — | +$16 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $196 | $16 | +$181 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $61 | $25 | +$36 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $27 | — | +$27 |
| Median | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Below median | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | $1 | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $233 | — | +$233 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $12 | $22 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unpleasant-Distinction 0xf9ef…20eb | No | +159 | $23 | $23 | 6 | 10-06 07:35 |
| Thorough-Neighbourhood 0xa7fe…1f3e | No | +113 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-06 17:25 |
| Measly-Gelatin 0x28ca…5d19 | Yes | +112 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 10-06 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x2bde…ecba | Yes | +106 | $93 | $93 | 2 | 10-06 07:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xa24d…3065 | No | +100 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-06 20:11 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | +63 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 10-06 19:45 |
| Sour-Lie 0x7975…d3f7 | Yes | +60 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 10-06 19:44 |
| Prize-Obi 0x2375…691f | Yes | +54 | $46 | $46 | 4 | 10-06 06:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x8673…59a5 | No | +37 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-05 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +34 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 10-06 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-06 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +14 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-06 17:25 |
| Fearless-Aggression 0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | +12 | $13 | $182 | 3 | 10-06 20:11 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-06 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd04e…122e | No | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-06 17:25 |
| Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | No | +8 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 10-06 16:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5678…d8b4 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-06 07:35 |
| Upright-Distance 0x1690…d6c4 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-06 06:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x54d6…ef35 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-06 15:58 |
| Steel-Digging 0x1073…d8ba | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-06 07:35 |
| Homely-Joint 0x7169…3ca6 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-06 18:22 |
| Old-Interpretation 0x9b2f…d8f8 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-06 18:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 22:01:44 | (anonymous) 0x50b4…c879 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xb5efae… |
| 10-06 22:01:44 | (anonymous) 0xccae…0ea3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xb5efae… |
| 10-06 20:11:32 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…3065 | No | BUY | 98 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x103526… |
| 10-06 20:11:32 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6c9f17… |
| 10-06 20:11:32 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x103526… |
| 10-06 20:11:32 | Fearless-Aggression 0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x6c9f17… |
| 10-06 20:11:32 | Measly-Gelatin 0x28ca…5d19 | Yes | BUY | 112 | 98¢ | $110 | 0x103526… |
| 10-06 20:11:32 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…3065 | No | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6c9f17… |
| 10-06 19:45:35 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0x30f018… |
| 10-06 19:45:35 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0x30f018… |
| 10-06 19:44:56 | Sour-Lie 0x7975…d3f7 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 83¢ | $3 | 0x303771… |
| 10-06 19:44:56 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x303771… |
| 10-06 19:44:56 | Disgusting-Diaper 0x0282…4358 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x303771… |
| 10-06 19:44:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x09d273… |
| 10-06 19:44:54 | Fearless-Aggression 0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 84¢ | $84 | 0x09d273… |
| 10-06 19:44:54 | (anonymous) 0xccae…0ea3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x09d273… |
| 10-06 19:44:54 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x09d273… |
| 10-06 19:44:54 | Sour-Lie 0x7975…d3f7 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 83¢ | $16 | 0x09d273… |
| 10-06 18:22:56 | Old-Interpretation 0x9b2f…d8f8 | No | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x467b03… |
| 10-06 18:22:56 | Homely-Joint 0x7169…3ca6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x467b03… |
| 10-06 17:25:24 | (anonymous) 0xd04e…122e | No | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xdbfe0b… |
| 10-06 17:25:24 | (anonymous) 0xccae…0ea3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0xdbfe0b… |
| 10-06 17:25:23 | Thorough-Neighbourhood 0xa7fe…1f3e | No | BUY | 113 | 13¢ | $15 | 0xcb2f6d… |
| 10-06 17:25:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0xcb2f6d… |
| 10-06 17:25:23 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 87¢ | $11 | 0xcb2f6d… |
| 10-06 17:00:27 | (anonymous) 0x48e0…7d2b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x77fb0c… |
| 10-06 17:00:27 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x77fb0c… |
| 10-06 16:59:21 | (anonymous) 0x48e0…7d2b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd2a8cd… |
| 10-06 16:59:21 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | No | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd2a8cd… |
| 10-06 16:14:54 | (anonymous) 0xccae…0ea3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xd3c15f… |
| 10-06 16:14:54 | (anonymous) 0x48e0…7d2b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xd3c15f… |
| 10-06 16:12:15 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | No | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x0afc48… |
| 10-06 16:12:15 | (anonymous) 0x48e0…7d2b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x0afc48… |
| 10-06 15:58:59 | (anonymous) 0x54d6…ef35 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x7ae4d0… |
| 10-06 15:58:59 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | No | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x7ae4d0… |
| 10-06 07:35:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xeae7a9… |
| 10-06 07:35:51 | (anonymous) 0x5678…d8b4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xeae7a9… |
| 10-06 07:35:34 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x7ad9f6… |
| 10-06 07:35:34 | (anonymous) 0x2bde…ecba | Yes | BUY | 32 | 88¢ | $28 | 0x266c2d… |
| 10-06 07:35:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 32 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x266c2d… |
| 10-06 07:35:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x7ad9f6… |
| 10-06 07:35:25 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 61 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x36ff13… |
| 10-06 07:35:25 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x36ff13… |
| 10-06 07:35:25 | (anonymous) 0x2bde…ecba | Yes | BUY | 74 | 88¢ | $65 | 0x36ff13… |
| 10-06 07:35:18 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xe64606… |
| 10-06 07:35:18 | Steel-Digging 0x1073…d8ba | Yes | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xe64606… |
| 10-06 07:35:18 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3c1bde… |
| 10-06 07:35:18 | Disgusting-Diaper 0x0282…4358 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x3c1bde… |
| 10-06 07:35:16 | Fearless-Aggression 0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0xf44750… |
| 10-06 07:35:16 | Unpleasant-Distinction 0xf9ef…20eb | No | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xf44750… |
| 10-06 06:57:57 | Unpleasant-Distinction 0xf9ef…20eb | No | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x95a64a… |
| 10-06 06:57:57 | Upright-Distance 0x1690…d6c4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x95a64a… |
| 10-06 06:57:55 | Unpleasant-Distinction 0xf9ef…20eb | No | BUY | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe0c3e4… |
| 10-06 06:57:55 | Prize-Obi 0x2375…691f | Yes | BUY | 16 | 85¢ | $14 | 0x900cb7… |
| 10-06 06:57:55 | Prize-Obi 0x2375…691f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0xe0c3e4… |
| 10-06 06:57:55 | Unpleasant-Distinction 0xf9ef…20eb | No | BUY | 16 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x900cb7… |
| 10-06 06:57:54 | Unpleasant-Distinction 0xf9ef…20eb | No | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xc0f67e… |
| 10-06 06:57:54 | Prize-Obi 0x2375…691f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xc0f67e… |
| 10-06 06:57:54 | Prize-Obi 0x2375…691f | Yes | BUY | 28 | 85¢ | $24 | 0x63ce1f… |
| 10-06 06:57:54 | Unpleasant-Distinction 0xf9ef…20eb | No | BUY | 28 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x63ce1f… |
| 10-05 23:32:50 | Sour-Lie 0x7975…d3f7 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 83¢ | $31 | 0x68a450… |
| 10-05 23:32:50 | (anonymous) 0x8673…59a5 | No | BUY | 37 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x68a450… |