Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above $700M?
open
Total volume
$3,249
Trades
117
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$31
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-21
First seen
2026-05-17
last 05-21 22:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+93.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1
vs crowd: 6% YES on $2.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $9 | $487 | $478 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $115 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $8 | $79 | $71 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $0 | $202 | $202 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $10 | $100 | $90 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $3 | $28 | $25 |
| Median | 5 | $0 | $15 | $15 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $436 | $435 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $32 | $615 | $583 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $69 | $25 | +$44 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $9 | $487 | $478 |
| unranked | 7 | $7 | $204 | $198 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unused-Hepatitis 0xdf97…4653 | No | +444 | $428 | $428 | 2 | 05-21 20:08 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +305 | $305 | $305 | 3 | 05-21 22:07 |
| Inexperienced-Grandfather 0xa99b…1211 | Yes | +231 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-21 22:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +181 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-17 21:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +106 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-21 20:30 |
| Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-21 20:06 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-21 20:30 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +60 | $2 | $18 | 6 | 05-21 20:07 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-21 20:30 |
| Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | +45 | $2 | $16 | 12 | 05-21 20:07 |
| Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | +40 | $3 | $7 | 4 | 05-21 15:24 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-21 20:07 |
| Frightening-Choker 0xf203…8a41 | No | +37 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-21 15:07 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-20 12:55 |
| Glamorous-Snap 0x640c…9681 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-20 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 21:38 |
| Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-20 21:36 |
| Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-21 14:36 |
| Famous-Tea 0x633b…ff9e | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-21 15:23 |
| Wise-Sentencing 0x30a5…da65 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-20 23:04 |
| Rowdy-Clarification 0xc1f4…2a00 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-21 13:26 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-21 20:08 |
| Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-21 20:08 |
| Irresponsible-Jelly 0xf4b5…c01f | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-21 14:00 |
| Digital-Nail 0x7831…5eb1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-21 10:01 |
| Trustworthy-Underneath 0xc263…362a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-21 15:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-21 22:07:15 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 46 | 100¢ | $46 | 0x7a5697… |
| 05-21 22:07:15 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | No | SELL | 55 | 99¢ | $55 | 0x7a5697… |
| 05-21 22:07:15 | Inexperienced-Grandfather 0xa99b…1211 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7a5697… |
| 05-21 20:35:08 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x807a77… |
| 05-21 20:35:08 | Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x807a77… |
| 05-21 20:30:48 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4e5a2… |
| 05-21 20:30:48 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4e5a2… |
| 05-21 20:30:48 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 256 | 100¢ | $256 | 0xe4e5a2… |
| 05-21 20:30:48 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4e5a2… |
| 05-21 20:08:01 | Unused-Hepatitis 0xdf97…4653 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe621ee… |
| 05-21 20:08:01 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe621ee… |
| 05-21 20:08:01 | Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe621ee… |
| 05-21 20:07:19 | Unused-Hepatitis 0xdf97…4653 | No | BUY | 434 | 97¢ | $419 | 0x038d27… |
| 05-21 20:07:19 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x038d27… |
| 05-21 20:07:19 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x038d27… |
| 05-21 20:07:19 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 29 | 95¢ | $27 | 0x038d27… |
| 05-21 20:07:19 | Inexperienced-Grandfather 0xa99b…1211 | Yes | BUY | 240 | 3¢ | $7 | 0x038d27… |
| 05-21 20:07:19 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x038d27… |
| 05-21 20:06:09 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0x718a01… |
| 05-21 20:06:09 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0x718a01… |
| 05-21 15:25:18 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0x0162fa… |
| 05-21 15:25:18 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | No | BUY | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0x0162fa… |
| 05-21 15:24:41 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 13 | 95¢ | $13 | 0x096583… |
| 05-21 15:24:41 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x096583… |
| 05-21 15:24:41 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | SELL | 73 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x096583… |
| 05-21 15:24:41 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x096583… |
| 05-21 15:23:59 | Warm-Wetbar 0x7eb5…40dc | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xaea4a4… |
| 05-21 15:23:59 | Famous-Tea 0x633b…ff9e | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xaea4a4… |
| 05-21 15:07:27 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x23e3e2… |
| 05-21 15:07:27 | Frightening-Choker 0xf203…8a41 | No | BUY | 37 | 95¢ | $35 | 0x23e3e2… |
| 05-21 15:00:11 | Trustworthy-Underneath 0xc263…362a | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x64dd2e… |
| 05-21 15:00:11 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x64dd2e… |
| 05-21 14:36:36 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x42d814… |
| 05-21 14:36:36 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x42d814… |
| 05-21 14:01:39 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x50161f… |
| 05-21 14:01:39 | Warm-Wetbar 0x7eb5…40dc | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x50161f… |
| 05-21 14:00:17 | Irresponsible-Jelly 0xf4b5…c01f | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x2fe054… |
| 05-21 14:00:17 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2fe054… |
| 05-21 13:26:37 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x314933… |
| 05-21 13:26:37 | Rowdy-Clarification 0xc1f4…2a00 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x314933… |
| 05-21 10:01:52 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xea04ba… |
| 05-21 10:01:52 | Digital-Nail 0x7831…5eb1 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xea04ba… |
| 05-21 10:00:53 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5ba0ad… |
| 05-21 10:00:53 | Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x5ba0ad… |
| 05-21 01:51:37 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa21d0c… |
| 05-21 01:51:37 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa21d0c… |
| 05-21 01:30:37 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe74156… |
| 05-21 01:30:37 | Famous-Tea 0x633b…ff9e | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xe74156… |
| 05-21 00:20:23 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x98df6d… |
| 05-21 00:20:23 | Irresponsible-Jelly 0xf4b5…c01f | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x98df6d… |
| 05-20 23:12:06 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3f8b51… |
| 05-20 23:12:06 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3f8b51… |
| 05-20 23:04:31 | Wise-Sentencing 0x30a5…da65 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xe2f71d… |
| 05-20 23:04:31 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe2f71d… |
| 05-20 22:07:35 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x38003e… |
| 05-20 22:07:35 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x38003e… |
| 05-20 22:06:37 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb54bec… |
| 05-20 22:06:37 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb54bec… |
| 05-20 21:43:07 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x97d3b5… |
| 05-20 21:43:07 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x97d3b5… |
| 05-20 21:36:49 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x80b040… |
| 05-20 21:36:49 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x80b040… |
| 05-20 12:55:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xfb9687… |
| 05-20 12:55:55 | Glamorous-Snap 0x640c…9681 | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xfb9687… |
| 05-20 06:45:16 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x8b8c3d… |
| 05-20 06:45:16 | Misguided-Port 0x29a0…265a | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x8b8c3d… |
| 05-20 06:45:16 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0x8b8c3d… |
| 05-20 06:25:19 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x686735… |
| 05-20 06:25:19 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 182 | 91¢ | $166 | 0x686735… |
| 05-20 06:25:19 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | No | SELL | 282 | 91¢ | $258 | 0x686735… |
| 05-20 06:23:38 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 27 | 92¢ | $25 | 0x7e4a88… |
| 05-20 06:23:38 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | No | BUY | 27 | 92¢ | $25 | 0x7e4a88… |
| 05-20 06:23:10 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | No | BUY | 155 | 92¢ | $143 | 0x786da2… |
| 05-20 06:23:10 | Warped-Mansard 0x4098…403c | No | SELL | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x786da2… |
| 05-20 06:23:01 | Murky-Widow 0xa1b8…6528 | No | SELL | 55 | 93¢ | $52 | 0xa06c84… |
| 05-20 06:23:01 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | No | BUY | 55 | 93¢ | $52 | 0xa06c84… |
| 05-20 06:21:16 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 27 | 93¢ | $25 | 0xbd0515… |
| 05-20 06:21:16 | Warped-Mansard 0x4098…403c | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0xbd0515… |
| 05-20 06:21:16 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | No | SELL | 302 | 93¢ | $281 | 0xbd0515… |
| 05-20 06:21:16 | Murky-Widow 0xa1b8…6528 | No | BUY | 55 | 93¢ | $52 | 0xbd0515… |
| 05-20 06:21:16 | Misguided-Port 0x29a0…265a | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xbd0515… |
| 05-19 00:25:44 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x103e0d… |
| 05-19 00:25:44 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 68 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x103e0d… |
| 05-19 00:25:44 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x103e0d… |
| 05-19 00:25:44 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x103e0d… |
| 05-17 22:21:06 | Blind-Conflict 0xf66c…4ab1 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1a4d10… |
| 05-17 22:21:06 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1a4d10… |
| 05-17 22:21:06 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 31 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x1a4d10… |
| 05-17 22:21:06 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | No | SELL | 49 | 91¢ | $45 | 0x1a4d10… |
| 05-17 21:38:48 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5ff01f… |
| 05-17 21:38:48 | Cultured-Coconut 0x8444…1cf9 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x5ff01f… |
| 05-17 21:38:48 | Blind-Conflict 0xf66c…4ab1 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5ff01f… |
| 05-17 21:38:48 | (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5ff01f… |
| 05-17 21:38:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 161 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x5ff01f… |
| 05-17 21:38:38 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | No | BUY | 249 | 90¢ | $225 | 0x7fdbc6… |
| 05-17 21:38:38 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | BUY | 99 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x7fdbc6… |
| 05-17 21:38:38 | Cultured-Coconut 0x8444…1cf9 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 10¢ | $15 | 0x7fdbc6… |
| 05-17 21:37:12 | Cultured-Coconut 0x8444…1cf9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x2c5918… |
| 05-17 21:37:12 | Qualified-Stupidity 0x9eae…98a5 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x2c5918… |
| 05-17 21:37:12 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2c5918… |