Will Joe Kerr advance from the CA-40 primary election?
open
Total volume
$437
Trades
45
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$267
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-06-02
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-10 05:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+99.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1
vs crowd: 1% YES on $436)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $2 | $198 | $196 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $1 | $230 | $228 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $0 | $103 | $103 |
| Median | 6 | $1 | $182 | $181 |
| Below median | 6 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 13 | $0 | $134 | $134 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intent-Ton 0xa36d…3654 | Yes | +228 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 06-10 05:28 |
| Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | +177 | $177 | $177 | 2 | 06-10 05:28 |
| Obvious-Erosion 0x8be1…5731 | No | +134 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | Yes | +86 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 21:05 |
| Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | +55 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 06-03 03:55 |
| Content-Romance 0x0778…73d1 | No | +49 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-03 03:29 |
| FrankyFourFingers 0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | +40 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 06-03 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 03:55 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-31 22:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:28 |
| Formal-Lacquerware 0xc22c…6d89 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-01 22:43 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 03:55 |
| Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 03:55 |
| Primary-Agent 0x4d1d…01ac | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 11:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 05:28:03 | Intent-Ton 0xa36d…3654 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x896382… |
| 06-10 05:28:03 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | BUY | 77 | 100¢ | $77 | 0x896382… |
| 06-10 05:27:45 | Intent-Ton 0xa36d…3654 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x640782… |
| 06-10 05:27:45 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x640782… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | Obvious-Erosion 0x8be1…5731 | No | BUY | 134 | 100¢ | $134 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-10 03:28:30 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19cf82… |
| 06-03 03:55:23 | FrankyFourFingers 0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b2eec… |
| 06-03 03:55:23 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0x9b2eec… |
| 06-03 03:55:23 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b2eec… |
| 06-03 03:55:23 | Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b2eec… |
| 06-03 03:55:22 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x26039f… |
| 06-03 03:55:22 | Intent-Ton 0xa36d…3654 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x26039f… |
| 06-03 03:55:22 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x26039f… |
| 06-03 03:29:24 | Intent-Ton 0xa36d…3654 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x28c356… |
| 06-03 03:29:24 | Content-Romance 0x0778…73d1 | No | BUY | 49 | 99¢ | $48 | 0x28c356… |
| 06-02 21:05:50 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0087df… |
| 06-02 21:05:50 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0087df… |
| 06-02 21:05:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0087df… |
| 06-02 21:05:50 | Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | Yes | BUY | 86 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0087df… |
| 06-01 22:43:14 | FrankyFourFingers 0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcc4605… |
| 06-01 22:43:14 | Formal-Lacquerware 0xc22c…6d89 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcc4605… |
| 05-31 23:09:37 | FrankyFourFingers 0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xddb685… |
| 05-31 23:09:37 | Frivolous-Character 0x761b…e8f7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xddb685… |
| 05-31 22:25:24 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xebe1f3… |
| 05-31 22:25:24 | FrankyFourFingers 0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xebe1f3… |
| 05-31 11:11:23 | Frivolous-Character 0x761b…e8f7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf27f2c… |
| 05-31 11:11:23 | Primary-Agent 0x4d1d…01ac | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xf27f2c… |