Realized P&L
+$2.12K
Unrealized P&L
-$760
Hit rate
91.2%
Resolved
31
Trades
6,121
lifetime
Volume
$1.19M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$194
Open exposure
$27.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-04 07:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Crypto
58%
100%
+$58
Other
36%
86%
+$2,058
Politics
4%
—
—
Sports
3%
—
—
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk
• peak 67 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | -10,876 | $-9,439 | 90¢ | $-9805 | $-365 | 06-04 07:06 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | -3,000 | $-2,730 | 88¢ | $-2625 | +$105 | 06-04 03:42 | |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | -2,500 | $-2,171 | 90¢ | $-2262 | $-91 | 06-04 03:54 | |
| Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -1,989 | $-1,028 | 50¢ | $-984 | +$44 | 06-01 14:48 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | -1,000 | $-938 | 94¢ | $-939 | $-1 | 06-04 03:44 | |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | -1,006 | $-917 | 93¢ | $-937 | $-20 | 06-04 03:46 | |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | No | -1,000 | $-906 | 93¢ | $-930 | $-24 | 06-04 03:45 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,000 | $-900 | 92¢ | $-915 | $-15 | 06-04 03:46 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | -1,000 | $-890 | 92¢ | $-915 | $-25 | 06-04 03:46 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,000 | $-850 | 90¢ | $-895 | $-45 | 06-04 03:46 | |
| Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? | No | -983 | $-712 | 83¢ | $-816 | $-104 | 06-04 03:47 | |
| Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | No | -847 | $-613 | 86¢ | $-724 | $-110 | 06-04 03:54 | |
| Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | No | -625 | $-412 | 78¢ | $-484 | $-72 | 06-04 03:50 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -500 | $-465 | 96¢ | $-478 | $-13 | 06-04 03:49 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | -500 | $-449 | 86¢ | $-430 | +$19 | 06-04 03:44 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -500 | $-390 | 84¢ | $-422 | $-32 | 06-04 03:53 | |
| Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | -692 | $-461 | 61¢ | $-422 | +$39 | 06-04 03:49 | |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -500 | $-416 | 82¢ | $-410 | +$6 | 06-04 03:49 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | -500 | $-395 | 80¢ | $-398 | $-2 | 06-04 03:44 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -500 | $-330 | 72¢ | $-357 | $-27 | 06-04 03:50 | |
| StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | -250 | $-226 | 92¢ | $-229 | $-3 | 06-04 03:54 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | -346 | $-174 | 63¢ | $-218 | $-44 | 06-04 03:44 | |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | -250 | $-202 | 82¢ | $-205 | $-3 | 06-04 04:13 | |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | -340 | $-146 | 59¢ | $-201 | $-55 | 06-04 03:55 | |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | No | -250 | $-160 | 72¢ | $-181 | $-21 | 06-04 03:55 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -420 | $-232 | 42¢ | $-179 | +$54 | 06-04 03:54 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | Yes | -285 | $-205 | 62¢ | $-178 | +$27 | 06-04 03:54 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | -200 | $-132 | 74¢ | $-148 | $-16 | 06-04 03:44 | |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Yes | -250 | $-144 | 40¢ | $-99 | +$46 | 06-04 03:55 | |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | No | -99 | $-87 | 98¢ | $-97 | $-10 | 06-04 04:14 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | 1,152 | $156.8K | 94,304 | 79,532 | +14,772 | open | — | 03-24 10:02 |
| EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | 999 | $114.1K | 58,228 | 60,225 | -1,997 | open | — | 03-11 14:32 |
| EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch? | 757 | $88.8K | 49,131 | 41,236 | +7,895 | open | — | 03-24 10:01 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 15 | $74.2K | 76,440 | 6,474 | +69,966 | open | — | 01-13 04:56 |
| lol gen fox1 2026 03 01 | 5 | $40.5K | 40,576 | 0 | +40,576 | open | — | 03-01 10:38 |
| Based FDV above $4B one day after launch? | 357 | $26.3K | 12,687 | 13,631 | -944 | open | — | 03-13 01:58 |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 125 | $26.2K | 19,760 | 20,892 | -1,132 | open | — | 03-13 01:31 |
| Based FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 146 | $23.5K | 17,117 | 6,499 | +10,618 | open | — | 03-30 02:14 |
| EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | 187 | $23.4K | 12,453 | 15,087 | -2,634 | open | — | 03-17 00:40 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 10 | $23.0K | 18,598 | 18,598 | +0 | open | — | 06-02 01:32 |
| lol fox1 dk 2026 02 28 | 30 | $18.1K | 18,282 | 250 | +18,032 | open | — | 02-28 10:46 |
| Based FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 143 | $16.7K | 11,069 | 5,758 | +5,311 | open | — | 03-31 09:44 |
| LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner | 2 | $16.0K | 16,294 | 0 | +16,294 | open | — | 05-04 12:46 |
| lol dnf kt 2026 04 18 game1 | 7 | $14.5K | 14,413 | 248 | +14,165 | open | — | 04-18 10:47 |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 7 | $14.2K | 14,394 | 586 | +13,807 | open | — | 04-22 15:47 |
| EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 73 | $14.2K | 14,619 | 12,619 | +2,000 | open | — | 03-31 14:23 |
| EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 71 | $13.2K | 15,500 | 699 | +14,801 | open | — | 03-31 09:38 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 11 | $12.8K | 107,377 | 82,800 | +24,577 | open | — | 01-10 13:22 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 11 | $11.7K | 7,000 | 6,501 | +499 | open | — | 04-05 05:44 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 32 | $11.3K | 11,730 | 11,751 | -22 | open | — | 03-31 13:29 |
| Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 14 | $10.8K | 7,174 | 7,031 | +143 | open | — | 02-23 13:09 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | 19 | $10.7K | 8,100 | 7,100 | +1,000 | open | — | 05-03 09:01 |
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 3 | $10.5K | 9,996 | 530 | +9,467 | open | — | 03-23 13:41 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs | 15 | $10.1K | 10,100 | 0 | +10,100 | open | — | 05-19 09:32 |
| Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? | 3 | $10.0K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | open | — | 03-23 17:30 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | 6 | $9.4K | 0 | 10,876 | -10,876 | open | — | 06-04 07:06 |
| Based FDV above $3B one day after launch? | 172 | $9.4K | 6,084 | 3,343 | +2,741 | open | — | 03-26 03:34 |
| will a white spoon win season 2 of culinary class wars | 80 | $8.5K | 6,612 | 2,942 | +3,670 | open | — | 01-13 06:07 |
| USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | 11 | $8.4K | 9,253 | 1,374 | +7,879 | open | — | 04-22 15:47 |
| Over $500K committed to the Bitway public sale? | 13 | $7.9K | 3,966 | 3,966 | +0 | open | — | 01-25 15:05 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||