Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$2,276
Trades
429
Unique wallets
108
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-10-14
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-14 19:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.7¢
(top1%: 21% YES on $932
vs crowd: 22% YES on $2.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 49 | $292 | $974 | $682 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $95 | $463 | $368 |
| 🐟 Fish | 22 | $47 | $160 | $113 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $38 | $45 | $7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 38 | $192 | $740 | $549 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $7 | $143 | $136 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $56 | $56 |
| Median | 2 | — | $144 | $144 |
| Below median | 12 | $39 | $46 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $4 | $68 | $64 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $114 | $196 | $82 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 15 | $116 | $249 | $132 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tidy-Set 0xbd0f…48fd | Up | +227 | $102 | $102 | 13 | 10-14 19:30 |
| Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb | Down | +167 | $143 | $143 | 13 | 10-14 19:41 |
| Standard-Divine 0x344f…9dec | Up | +150 | $66 | $66 | 30 | 10-14 19:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Up | +145 | $19 | $19 | 8 | 10-14 19:38 |
| Each-Topsail 0x098e…310d | Down | +144 | $141 | $141 | 1 | 10-14 19:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Down | +132 | $122 | $122 | 12 | 10-14 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x51c4…aa06 | Up | +128 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 10-14 19:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Down | +128 | $93 | $93 | 8 | 10-14 19:41 |
| Quick-Witted-Recognition 0x1b58…6f11 | Down | +119 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 10-14 19:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xf5f0…840d | Down | +101 | $100 | $100 | 4 | 10-14 19:43 |
| Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3 | Up | +94 | $8 | $8 | 11 | 10-14 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x7db9…a5e5 | Up | +83 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-14 19:33 |
| Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3 | Down | +82 | $44 | $44 | 9 | 10-14 19:30 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Down | +80 | $65 | $65 | 3 | 10-14 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | +80 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-14 19:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | +77 | $4 | $4 | 6 | 10-14 19:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Down | +76 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 10-14 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +66 | $3 | $3 | 7 | 10-14 19:44 |
| Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Up | +63 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-14 19:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa6d…7619 | Up | +54 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 10-14 19:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xba67…4727 | Up | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-14 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x7400…79b9 | Down | +50 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 10-14 19:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x1603…6312 | Up | +47 | $10 | $10 | 13 | 10-14 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x1603…6312 | Down | +47 | $38 | $38 | 11 | 10-14 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +46 | $35 | $35 | 8 | 10-14 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x082f…9d98 | Up | +40 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 10-14 19:29 |
| Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Down | +38 | $33 | $33 | 10 | 10-14 19:43 |
| Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Up | +37 | $5 | $5 | 9 | 10-14 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x8589…e2de | Down | +36 | $24 | $24 | 6 | 10-14 19:32 |
| Loud-Township 0x5c46…753d | Up | +36 | $2 | $2 | 6 | 10-14 19:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x31f1…5903 | Up | +34 | $3 | $3 | 6 | 10-14 19:41 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Down | +33 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 10-14 19:37 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Down | +33 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-14 19:32 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Up | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-14 19:42 |
| Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 10-14 19:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0363…cac1 | Down | +31 | $26 | $26 | 4 | 10-14 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xd15c…9e61 | Down | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 10-14 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Down | +30 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-14 19:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x7209…53ff | Up | +29 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 10-14 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb8ce…d6c3 | Down | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 10-14 19:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4a0…c6df | Down | +27 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-14 19:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x63d2…ed0d | Up | +27 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 10-14 19:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | +27 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-14 19:32 |
| Utilized-Corn 0xfc10…1c00 | Down | +27 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 10-14 19:28 |
| Lumpy-Pagoda 0x3615…8fdf | Up | +26 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-14 19:30 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Up | +25 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-14 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x8589…e2de | Up | +24 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-14 19:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b26…42f1 | Up | +24 | $1 | $1 | 6 | 10-14 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1f5…224a | Up | +24 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-14 19:37 |
| Natural-Dragonfly 0x00f8…153b | Up | +22 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-14 19:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | Down | +21 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-14 19:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Down | +21 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 10-14 19:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5603…7a24 | Down | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-14 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Down | +19 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-14 19:31 |
| Vicious-Bowl 0x5042…f296 | Down | +19 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 10-14 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xac4c…2200 | Up | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-14 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x31f1…5903 | Down | +17 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 10-14 19:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Up | +17 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 10-14 19:34 |
| Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Down | +17 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 10-14 19:41 |
| Peppery-Egghead 0xdf52…3170 | Up | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-14 19:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 19:44:15 | (anonymous) 0x440b…6570 | Down | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x1ce3cc… |
| 10-14 19:44:15 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x1ce3cc… |
| 10-14 19:44:04 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Up | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x62908d… |
| 10-14 19:44:04 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x62908d… |
| 10-14 19:44:04 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x55790d… |
| 10-14 19:44:04 | Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0x62908d… |
| 10-14 19:44:04 | Probable-Burst 0x5008…fe38 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x55790d… |
| 10-14 19:44:04 | Defensive-Pawnshop 0x878b…72ec | Up | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x62908d… |
| 10-14 19:44:04 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x62908d… |
| 10-14 19:43:33 | (anonymous) 0x7209…53ff | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x17fa87… |
| 10-14 19:43:33 | (anonymous) 0xdd71…f6e8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x17fa87… |
| 10-14 19:43:30 | Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Up | BUY | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xeb064a… |
| 10-14 19:43:30 | Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Up | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xeb064a… |
| 10-14 19:43:28 | (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Down | BUY | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0xf7def2… |
| 10-14 19:43:28 | Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Up | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf7def2… |
| 10-14 19:43:25 | (anonymous) 0xac4c…2200 | Up | BUY | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf346fc… |
| 10-14 19:43:25 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xf346fc… |
| 10-14 19:43:25 | Loud-Township 0x5c46…753d | Down | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xf346fc… |
| 10-14 19:43:22 | (anonymous) 0x1603…6312 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xd0abf6… |
| 10-14 19:43:22 | (anonymous) 0xf5f0…840d | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd0abf6… |
| 10-14 19:43:22 | Tired-Departure 0x64c7…985f | Down | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xd0abf6… |
| 10-14 19:43:22 | Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd0abf6… |
| 10-14 19:43:21 | (anonymous) 0xf35e…41ec | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1902f9… |
| 10-14 19:43:21 | (anonymous) 0xf5f0…840d | Down | BUY | 45 | 99¢ | $45 | 0x1902f9… |
| 10-14 19:43:21 | (anonymous) 0xba67…4727 | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1902f9… |
| 10-14 19:42:40 | (anonymous) 0xf5f0…840d | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4850a4… |
| 10-14 19:42:40 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4850a4… |
| 10-14 19:42:37 | (anonymous) 0xf5f0…840d | Down | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0xce6018… |
| 10-14 19:42:37 | (anonymous) 0x8589…e2de | Up | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xce6018… |
| 10-14 19:42:37 | (anonymous) 0x3ffd…60f1 | Down | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0xce6018… |
| 10-14 19:42:37 | (anonymous) 0x8441…bc73 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xce6018… |
| 10-14 19:42:10 | Loud-Township 0x5c46…753d | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1bfa49… |
| 10-14 19:42:10 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1bfa49… |
| 10-14 19:42:10 | Each-Topsail 0x098e…310d | Down | BUY | 144 | 98¢ | $141 | 0x1bfa49… |
| 10-14 19:42:10 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | BUY | 59 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1bfa49… |
| 10-14 19:42:10 | (anonymous) 0x7209…53ff | Up | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1bfa49… |
| 10-14 19:42:10 | Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Up | BUY | 33 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1bfa49… |
| 10-14 19:42:04 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x0da12f… |
| 10-14 19:42:04 | (anonymous) 0x7209…53ff | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0da12f… |
| 10-14 19:41:54 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xdbab3c… |
| 10-14 19:41:54 | Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb | Down | BUY | 23 | 98¢ | $23 | 0xaeb0bf… |
| 10-14 19:41:54 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdbab3c… |
| 10-14 19:41:54 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 23 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xaeb0bf… |
| 10-14 19:41:52 | (anonymous) 0x2b26…42f1 | Up | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x04ddd0… |
| 10-14 19:41:52 | (anonymous) 0x2b26…42f1 | Up | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf7fb6a… |
| 10-14 19:41:52 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe70035… |
| 10-14 19:41:52 | (anonymous) 0x8421…f3d8 | Up | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x04ddd0… |
| 10-14 19:41:52 | (anonymous) 0x2b26…42f1 | Up | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe70035… |
| 10-14 19:41:52 | Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb | Down | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xf7fb6a… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x969c6b… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x31f1…5903 | Up | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdb9a83… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | (anonymous) 0xd1e8…239f | Down | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xf3fc6a… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Down | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x969c6b… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb | Down | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xdb9a83… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x3ffd…60f1 | Up | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe110e5… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x31f1…5903 | Up | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa574ab… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3 | Up | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdfe3ac… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3 | Up | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x969c6b… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x31f1…5903 | Up | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf3fc6a… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Down | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xe110e5… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | Phony-Grandparent 0x3be0…9b50 | Up | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf3fc6a… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x6ed5…3028 | Up | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdfe3ac… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa574ab… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3 | Up | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe110e5… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x1014…c141 | Up | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x969c6b… |
| 10-14 19:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x31f1…5903 | Up | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdfe3ac… |
| 10-14 19:41:48 | (anonymous) 0x6ed5…3028 | Up | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa90321… |
| 10-14 19:41:48 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xa90321… |
| 10-14 19:41:48 | (anonymous) 0x7209…53ff | Up | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x172f90… |
| 10-14 19:41:48 | (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Down | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x172f90… |
| 10-14 19:41:48 | (anonymous) 0xd15c…9e61 | Down | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x172f90… |
| 10-14 19:41:48 | Vicious-Bowl 0x5042…f296 | Down | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xa90321… |
| 10-14 19:41:48 | (anonymous) 0x9ade…2d21 | Down | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xa90321… |
| 10-14 19:41:48 | Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Up | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x172f90… |
| 10-14 19:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x1603…6312 | Up | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd3885a… |
| 10-14 19:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x9122…04e8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd3885a… |
| 10-14 19:41:43 | Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9f9736… |
| 10-14 19:41:43 | Amusing-Inspection 0xcfd9…ab3f | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9f9736… |
| 10-14 19:41:43 | (anonymous) 0x3ffd…60f1 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x9f9736… |
| 10-14 19:41:12 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa8e674… |
| 10-14 19:41:12 | Amusing-Inspection 0xcfd9…ab3f | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa8e674… |
| 10-14 19:41:10 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x3b2563… |
| 10-14 19:41:10 | Amusing-Inspection 0xcfd9…ab3f | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd33475… |
| 10-14 19:41:10 | Amusing-Inspection 0xcfd9…ab3f | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3b2563… |
| 10-14 19:41:10 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb95023… |
| 10-14 19:41:10 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xd33475… |
| 10-14 19:41:10 | Amusing-Inspection 0xcfd9…ab3f | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb95023… |
| 10-14 19:41:09 | Amusing-Inspection 0xcfd9…ab3f | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa263c8… |
| 10-14 19:41:09 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa263c8… |
| 10-14 19:41:09 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xdfee30… |
| 10-14 19:41:09 | Amusing-Inspection 0xcfd9…ab3f | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x12131d… |
| 10-14 19:41:09 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x12131d… |
| 10-14 19:41:09 | Amusing-Inspection 0xcfd9…ab3f | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdfee30… |
| 10-14 19:41:07 | Amusing-Inspection 0xcfd9…ab3f | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5f558d… |
| 10-14 19:41:07 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5f558d… |
| 10-14 19:41:07 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1d6fb9… |
| 10-14 19:41:07 | Amusing-Inspection 0xcfd9…ab3f | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1d6fb9… |
| 10-14 19:40:31 | Defensive-Pawnshop 0x878b…72ec | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x2951a6… |
| 10-14 19:40:31 | Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Up | BUY | 63 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2951a6… |
| 10-14 19:40:31 | Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2951a6… |