Will KeyBank fail by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$631
$11 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$1,628
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-11 02:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $99
vs crowd: 1% YES on $493)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $102 | $102 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $2 | $153 | $151 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $232 | $232 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $4 | — | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $99 | $99 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $153 | $152 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | $232 | $231 |
| Below median | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | $2 | $2 |
| unranked | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | +156 | $153 | $153 | 2 | 06-11 02:46 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +144 | $142 | $323 | 6 | 06-11 02:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +136 | $1 | $3 | 8 | 06-11 02:46 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +130 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 02:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xc776…4c67 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-10 22:41 |
| Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | +60 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 02:46 |
| Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | No | +56 | $57 | $142 | 3 | 06-10 22:45 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +30 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 06-11 02:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 09:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 02:46:00 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0xa3f72f… |
| 06-11 02:46:00 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa3f72f… |
| 06-11 02:46:00 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa3f72f… |
| 06-11 02:45:57 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | BUY | 76 | 98¢ | $75 | 0xa6cd89… |
| 06-11 02:45:57 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa6cd89… |
| 06-11 02:45:57 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa6cd89… |
| 06-11 02:33:19 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 130 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xb85585… |
| 06-11 02:33:19 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xb85585… |
| 06-11 02:33:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb85585… |
| 06-11 02:33:01 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaedfa4… |
| 06-11 02:33:01 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xaedfa4… |
| 06-11 02:33:01 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaedfa4… |
| 06-10 22:45:48 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xacecb7… |
| 06-10 22:45:48 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xacecb7… |
| 06-10 22:45:48 | Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | No | SELL | 44 | 98¢ | $43 | 0xacecb7… |
| 06-10 22:41:42 | (anonymous) 0xc776…4c67 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8b2bd2… |
| 06-10 22:41:42 | Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | No | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $80 | 0x8b2bd2… |
| 06-10 22:41:28 | (anonymous) 0xc776…4c67 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeb4644… |
| 06-10 22:41:28 | Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xeb4644… |
| 06-07 20:56:52 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | Yes | SELL | 53 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1720bc… |
| 06-07 20:56:52 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1720bc… |
| 06-07 20:56:52 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 46 | 100¢ | $46 | 0x1720bc… |
| 06-07 04:44:19 | Tender-Multimedia 0x8d98…b6ae | Yes | SELL | 70 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x947f3b… |
| 06-07 04:44:19 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 43 | 100¢ | $43 | 0x947f3b… |
| 06-07 04:44:19 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x947f3b… |
| 05-31 13:33:04 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8bc41a… |
| 05-31 13:33:04 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x8bc41a… |
| 05-31 13:31:39 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf03e33… |
| 05-31 13:31:39 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xf03e33… |
| 05-31 13:30:46 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd0c2db… |
| 05-31 13:30:46 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd0c2db… |
| 05-28 09:25:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1d48a3… |
| 05-28 09:25:41 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1d48a3… |
| 05-28 09:25:41 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0x1d48a3… |