Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
open
Total volume
$296
Trades
25
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$6,433
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-18 21:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $199
vs crowd: 1% YES on $249)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | — | $205 | $205 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $2 | $40 | $38 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $199 | $199 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $40 | $40 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $1 | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…fda2 | Yes | +200 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 21:14 |
| Babyish-Ethyl 0x5d77…6bd8 | Yes | +200 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-18 21:41 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 06-10 21:14 |
| Identical-Receptor 0x723c…01eb | Yes | +167 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 19:58 |
| Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | +166 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-18 21:41 |
| Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | +163 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 06-14 12:19 |
| Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | +66 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-18 21:41 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 22:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 21:41:01 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Yes | SELL | 432 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x07c59b… |
| 06-18 21:41:01 | Babyish-Ethyl 0x5d77…6bd8 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x07c59b… |
| 06-18 21:41:01 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 166 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x07c59b… |
| 06-18 21:41:01 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x07c59b… |
| 06-14 12:19:16 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 117 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe2716b… |
| 06-14 12:19:16 | Thorny-Septicaemia 0xb088…1133 | Yes | SELL | 117 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe2716b… |
| 06-10 22:19:12 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa4b172… |
| 06-10 22:19:12 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa4b172… |
| 06-10 21:14:12 | (anonymous) 0x85a1…fda2 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x34d363… |
| 06-10 21:14:12 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0x34d363… |
| 06-08 04:07:40 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9f001f… |
| 06-08 04:07:40 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9f001f… |
| 06-08 03:15:45 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x354b3a… |
| 06-08 03:15:45 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x354b3a… |
| 06-04 20:13:13 | Meaty-Project 0xf68c…d5b1 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7328e5… |
| 06-04 20:13:13 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7328e5… |
| 06-03 22:26:07 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Yes | SELL | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33c907… |
| 06-03 22:26:07 | Salty-Face 0x5f9d…cf72 | No | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x33c907… |
| 06-03 22:26:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x098c91… |
| 06-03 22:26:01 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x098c91… |
| 06-03 22:26:01 | Salty-Face 0x5f9d…cf72 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x098c91… |
| 05-31 01:27:33 | Short-Wingtip 0xf631…ae29 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x60bfac… |
| 05-31 01:27:33 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x60bfac… |
| 05-30 19:58:58 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Yes | SELL | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xcd2890… |
| 05-30 19:58:58 | Identical-Receptor 0x723c…01eb | Yes | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xcd2890… |