Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$494
$25 in 24h
Trades
50
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$1,456
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 05:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $75 | $75 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $0 | $126 | $126 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $5 | $189 | $184 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $2 | $104 | $102 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 6 | — | $168 | $168 |
| Below median | 14 | $3 | $66 | $63 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $37 | $37 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $15 | $15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | +261 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 23:31 |
| Thorny-Arrival 0xa64a…0e1b | Yes | +149 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 23:14 |
| Cooked-Biosphere 0xaf83…c799 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-15 02:20 |
| Puny-Aspic 0xcaf9…876e | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:01 |
| Frosty-Epithelium 0xf430…e6bc | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:01 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +59 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 05-16 03:26 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +37 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-16 05:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | +31 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 11:44 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-16 04:14 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-16 01:53 |
| Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 4 | 05-14 14:56 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-16 04:14 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +16 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 04:29 |
| Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 06:16 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 05-16 04:14 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 19:21 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-16 04:14 |
| Mealy-Developer 0xa1ad…e485 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-16 00:56 |
| Glass-Villa 0xa7aa…7b67 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 14:46 |
| Wild-Deputy 0x708b…e937 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 14:29 |
| Expert-Independence 0x6cb7…0664 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 16:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 05:01:10 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 37 | 100¢ | $37 | 0x25cbec… |
| 05-16 04:29:24 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x49ce51… |
| 05-16 04:15:58 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f6d8e… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd143e3… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x41f64a… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x3c9b24… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xdd92e6… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12dbaf… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd06b64… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e4b4b… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3364a8… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x3c4207… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1d9e0… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3ac2e… |
| 05-16 03:26:02 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf25f3c… |
| 05-16 03:26:02 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x45f36d… |
| 05-16 03:26:02 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x463baf… |
| 05-16 03:26:02 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xb8045c… |
| 05-16 02:53:37 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xed5af7… |
| 05-16 02:53:37 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93b566… |
| 05-16 01:53:32 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x66ce7b… |
| 05-16 01:53:32 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa2a5c8… |
| 05-16 01:53:32 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x51cea4… |
| 05-16 00:56:03 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x496b97… |
| 05-16 00:56:03 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3e5e2e… |
| 05-16 00:56:03 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x414e4c… |
| 05-16 00:56:03 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x654b87… |
| 05-16 00:56:03 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x6bef44… |
| 05-16 00:56:03 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x740904… |
| 05-16 00:56:03 | Mealy-Developer 0xa1ad…e485 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xd47808… |
| 05-16 00:00:56 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1399ec… |
| 05-16 00:00:56 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb8ee1e… |
| 05-15 16:02:09 | Expert-Independence 0x6cb7…0664 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x7e2f31… |
| 05-15 14:46:35 | Glass-Villa 0xa7aa…7b67 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xe28fff… |
| 05-15 14:29:47 | Annual-Omega 0x6192…48ef | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x81d25d… |
| 05-15 11:01:25 | Puny-Aspic 0xcaf9…876e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd54534… |
| 05-15 11:01:16 | Frosty-Epithelium 0xf430…e6bc | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9c2154… |
| 05-15 10:31:07 | Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x48b45e… |
| 05-15 02:20:23 | Cooked-Biosphere 0xaf83…c799 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xb2df9d… |
| 05-14 23:31:48 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 261 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x66bc07… |
| 05-14 23:14:11 | Thorny-Arrival 0xa64a…0e1b | Yes | BUY | 149 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x950db3… |
| 05-14 19:21:56 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8292f7… |
| 05-14 16:46:42 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | SELL | 99 | 99¢ | $98 | 0xf2757b… |
| 05-14 14:56:31 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xcce391… |
| 05-14 14:39:32 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xeed723… |
| 05-14 14:29:32 | Wild-Deputy 0x708b…e937 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xee152b… |
| 05-14 14:11:18 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6849ee… |
| 05-14 13:54:32 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xfa2d1b… |
| 05-14 11:44:15 | (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | BUY | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x39f8d1… |
| 05-14 06:16:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xe0c31f… |