Realized P&L
-$73
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
22
Trades
1,829
lifetime
Volume
$60.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$741
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 06-14 17:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
58% 67% $-83
Politics
35% 50% +$2
Sports
3%
Tech
3%
Crypto
1% 100% +$9
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -257 $-162 61¢ $-156 +$6 06-14 17:22
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -62 $-57 96¢ $-59 $-2 05-28 20:21
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -62 $-55 94¢ $-58 $-3 05-28 20:24
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -58 $-53 97¢ $-56 $-4 05-28 20:20
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -61 $-51 88¢ $-54 $-3 05-28 20:21
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -55 $-51 96¢ $-53 $-1 05-28 20:24
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -30 $-27 93¢ $-28 $-1 05-28 20:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -28 $-26 97¢ $-27 $-1 05-28 20:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -32 $-24 84¢ $-27 $-3 05-28 20:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -34 $-23 80¢ $-27 $-4 05-28 20:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30 $-24 90¢ $-27 $-3 05-28 20:12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30 $-22 88¢ $-27 $-4 05-28 20:12
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No -27 $-24 94¢ $-26 $-1 05-28 20:17
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -42 $-18 58¢ $-24 $-7 05-28 20:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -44 $-20 56¢ $-24 $-5 05-28 20:13
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -18 $-16 94¢ $-17 $-1 05-28 20:20
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -18 $-14 88¢ $-16 $-2 05-28 20:27
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -16 $-13 94¢ $-15 $-2 05-28 20:27
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -18 $-10 46¢ $-8 +$2 05-28 20:15
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -20 $-8 32¢ $-6 +$2 05-28 20:15
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -22 $-7 24¢ $-5 +$2 05-28 20:15
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -0 $-0 86¢ $-0 $-0 05-28 20:14