Realized P&L
-$73
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
22
Trades
1,829
lifetime
Volume
$60.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$870
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 06-14 17:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
58% 67% $-83
Politics
35% 50% +$2
Sports
3%
Tech
3%
Crypto
1% 100% +$9
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -257 $-162 57¢ $-147 +$15 06-14 17:22
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -62 $-57 97¢ $-60 $-3 05-28 20:21
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -62 $-55 94¢ $-58 $-3 05-28 20:24
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -58 $-53 95¢ $-55 $-3 05-28 20:20
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -61 $-51 87¢ $-53 $-2 05-28 20:21
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -55 $-51 94¢ $-52 $-1 05-28 20:24
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No -45 $-39 99¢ $-45 $-6 05-28 20:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No -32 $-30 100¢ $-32 $-2 05-28 20:27
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No -31 $-28 99¢ $-31 $-3 05-28 20:20
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? No -30 $-29 100¢ $-30 $-1 05-28 20:16
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -30 $-27 92¢ $-28 $-1 05-28 20:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -28 $-26 96¢ $-27 $-1 05-28 20:14
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No -26 $-25 100¢ $-26 $-1 05-28 20:17
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No -27 $-24 94¢ $-25 $-1 05-28 20:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30 $-24 84¢ $-25 $-1 05-28 20:12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -30 $-22 78¢ $-23 $-1 05-28 20:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -32 $-24 70¢ $-23 +$1 05-28 20:12
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-18 100¢ $-20 $-2 05-28 20:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -34 $-23 54¢ $-18 +$4 05-28 20:12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No -18 $-15 99¢ $-17 $-2 05-28 20:27
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -18 $-16 94¢ $-17 $-0 05-28 20:20
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -18 $-14 86¢ $-16 $-2 05-28 20:27
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -16 $-13 94¢ $-15 $-2 05-28 20:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -44 $-20 16¢ $-7 +$13 05-28 20:13
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -18 $-10 38¢ $-7 +$3 05-28 20:15
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -20 $-8 26¢ $-5 +$3 05-28 20:15
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -22 $-7 22¢ $-5 +$2 05-28 20:15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -42 $-18 $-4 +$14 05-28 20:13
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -0 $-0 83¢ $-0 $-0 05-28 20:14