Timely-Care — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,829

lifetime

Volume

$60.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-14 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

58% 67% $-83

Politics

35% 50% +$2

Sports

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

1% 100% +$9

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$1.0K	530	530	+0	open	—	04-07 09:49
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$981	560	560	+0	open	—	02-11 08:17
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 28 567	13	$822	462	462	+0	open	—	01-29 09:43
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	14	$602	328	328	+0	open	—	04-22 11:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$574	297	297	+0	open	—	04-23 19:59
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$574	295	295	+0	open	—	04-30 02:40
Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	4	$531	338	307	+31	open	—	05-03 11:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	12	$520	410	405	+5	open	—	04-11 20:29
grok 4pt20 released by february 14	5	$498	272	272	+0	open	—	02-10 13:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	3	$479	250	250	+0	open	—	04-25 13:55
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	11	$441	305	305	+0	open	—	04-08 20:20
will trump say fuck or fucking or fucked in january	13	$441	337	174	+163	open	—	01-31 10:51
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	3	$409	235	235	+0	open	—	02-09 16:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$404	312	312	+0	open	—	04-07 23:42
will russia enter rizdvianka by february 28	21	$399	235	235	+0	open	—	02-08 16:48
phoenix open hole in one	5	$398	230	230	-0	open	—	02-08 21:29
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$392	235	235	+0	open	—	02-05 11:41
will a dozen eggs cost 2pt50 in january	3	$385	280	208	+72	open	—	02-11 07:48
highest temperature in atlanta on february 4 2026 54 55f	14	$382	427	0	+427	open	—	02-04 20:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	7	$369	223	216	+7	open	—	04-26 14:21
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in April 2026?	2	$369	201	201	+0	open	—	04-27 03:42
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	02-14 11:31
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$355	200	200	+0	open	—	02-11 15:48
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	9	$345	222	222	+0	open	—	04-18 05:42
will germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	8	$344	180	180	+0	open	—	02-19 14:20
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	4	$340	175	175	+0	open	—	04-14 17:33
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	4	$340	175	175	+0	open	—	04-26 06:54
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	2	$329	196	196	+0	open	—	01-30 22:18
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	4	$325	186	186	+0	open	—	04-28 08:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	3	$315	177	177	+0	No	+$36	04-28 08:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 17:22:04	Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	33	63¢	$21	0x166ed8…
06-11 08:41:04	Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x830168…
06-03 16:19:33	Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xb7264f…
06-02 06:21:53	Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	198	63¢	$125	0xa9b844…
06-01 21:32:41	Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x89534a…
05-30 08:24:07	Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x218b65…
05-28 20:28:41	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	No	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0xef8bc0…
05-28 20:27:57	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0x4d71a6…
05-28 20:27:39	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0xe6b587…
05-28 20:27:24	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	18	74¢	$14	0x97668a…
05-28 20:27:18	Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	84¢	$13	0x3687a9…
05-28 20:26:50	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	37	62¢	$23	0xa9af1b…
05-28 20:25:56	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	SELL	45	86¢	$39	0x35077e…
05-28 20:24:58	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0x3518ad…
05-28 20:24:50	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	62	88¢	$55	0x40a1fc…
05-28 20:21:34	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	61	84¢	$51	0x542f61…
05-28 20:21:25	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x70d43b…
05-28 20:21:14	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	62	92¢	$57	0x82e6d2…
05-28 20:20:48	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0x0e133a…
05-28 20:20:41	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	58	91¢	$53	0x516631…
05-28 20:20:31	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0x1fd3fc…
05-28 20:17:36	Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?	No	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0xf9ddeb…
05-28 20:17:08	Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x35706a…
05-28 20:16:43	Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x381047…
05-28 20:15:37	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	22	32¢	$7	0x0201c3…
05-28 20:15:31	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x06bd4d…
05-28 20:15:24	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x4db47f…
05-28 20:15:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0xd89d8c…
05-28 20:14:34	Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x6a6be6…
05-28 20:14:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0xdb7713…
05-28 20:14:06	Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xaa6d3b…
05-28 20:13:13	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	42¢	$18	0x42ce07…
05-28 20:13:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	45¢	$20	0x495457…
05-28 20:12:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	67¢	$23	0x07863a…
05-28 20:12:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0x9c7e07…
05-28 20:12:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0x77eeac…
05-28 20:12:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0x9134a4…
05-28 15:10:33	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0x0ec77c…
05-27 17:41:46	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xe0808c…
05-27 17:41:34	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xfbb192…
05-25 22:30:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x5343ce…
05-25 15:11:54	Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x167ab2…
05-25 12:57:52	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x259c14…
05-25 08:55:23	Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x158ad5…
05-24 06:56:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x5f891e…
05-23 15:19:42	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xf16108…
05-22 16:32:35	Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x1167b0…
05-22 09:10:39	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	No	SELL	24	95¢	$22	0xea0e99…
05-20 03:29:37	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xd4a371…
05-20 03:08:06	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x03a976…
05-20 03:07:59	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd28696…
05-17 21:35:32	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0xe753e1…
05-17 19:12:06	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc703e2…
05-17 16:45:32	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x455f28…
05-17 10:21:19	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd77c23…
05-17 10:05:34	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9f3d15…
05-17 09:53:35	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xac4e3c…
05-15 18:02:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	33	92¢	$30	0x5b807b…
05-15 14:18:21	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x431584…
05-15 13:52:11	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xcf76a4…
05-15 13:51:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x4600e8…
05-14 20:56:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xca6781…
05-14 19:53:52	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xd43314…
05-14 18:56:35	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	31	35¢	$11	0x3128f6…
05-14 14:23:23	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xfdbe4f…
05-14 06:25:43	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0x2b012a…
05-13 10:44:18	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	SELL	53	90¢	$48	0xd28028…
05-13 00:25:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x45ce66…
05-12 21:31:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x66d000…
05-12 21:30:24	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xbf4d8e…
05-12 00:38:59	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0xa99174…
05-10 20:37:21	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	No	SELL	31	37¢	$11	0x327456…
05-10 20:14:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x42e88e…
05-10 18:25:43	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	33	71¢	$23	0xd28214…
05-10 18:00:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0xdc3aaf…
05-10 12:49:19	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa0dd89…
05-10 12:48:37	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa17e68…
05-10 08:06:32	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x97a8e9…
05-09 22:36:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0xe55d9a…
05-09 19:04:07	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xc62669…
05-09 16:07:01	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x591f9f…
05-09 15:01:34	Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xae30cb…
05-09 13:46:38	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc3bc67…
05-09 03:30:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x3e4a20…
05-08 23:17:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xeeb509…
05-08 22:07:47	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xfa8b86…
05-08 20:50:09	Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x48dab3…
05-08 18:41:02	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	33	77¢	$25	0x4cd26f…
05-08 18:28:01	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x02d4cf…
05-08 18:18:17	Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x5247bc…
05-08 18:17:08	Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x0e0154…
05-08 18:05:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xd564ee…
05-08 10:55:15	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xd7df8b…
05-07 20:58:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x9c5c5d…
05-07 20:54:36	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	32	76¢	$24	0x8853f9…
05-07 17:24:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x5473d7…
05-07 17:11:01	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x4b998a…
05-07 17:10:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x931cdb…
05-07 17:09:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xbdbf06…
05-07 17:08:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0x45db60…