(anonymous) 0xccdf09…ecb8a7
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$228
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
440
lifetime
Volume
$19.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$1.09K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 06-12 17:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
60% 100% +$5
Politics
19% 0% $-235
Crypto
13% — —
Sports
8% 100% +$2
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +520 $505 99¢ $517 +$12 06-10 17:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -345 $-314 90¢ $-312 +$2 06-11 22:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +100 $93 93¢ $93 +$1 06-10 03:07
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -51 $-47 90¢ $-46 +$2 06-12 17:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -45 $-39 82¢ $-37 +$2 06-10 21:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +30 $22 76¢ $23 +$1 05-29 09:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +8 $6 83¢ $7 +$1 06-01 15:57
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 05-30 12:58
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 06-02 12:53
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 06-03 20:09
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$1 06-01 11:25
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-05 13:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $2 82¢ $4 +$2 05-29 15:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 06-08 22:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 06-01 13:22
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$0 06-03 21:54
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +5 $2 74¢ $4 +$1 05-31 17:03
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 06-04 22:27
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 +$0 06-10 22:32
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +5 $4 58¢ $3 $-1 05-28 23:41
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? Yes +5 $3 30¢ $1 $-1 06-04 02:14