(anonymous) 0xccdf09…ecb8a7
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$228
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
484
lifetime
Volume
$19.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$532
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 07-02 02:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
61% 100% +$5
Politics
19% 0% $-235
Crypto
12% — —
Sports
8% 100% +$2
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -345 $-314 94¢ $-323 $-9 06-11 22:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -55 $-47 88¢ $-48 $-1 06-14 07:02
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -51 $-47 91¢ $-47 +$1 06-12 17:02
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No -39 $-32 86¢ $-34 $-2 06-14 02:48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -30 $-26 94¢ $-28 $-3 06-16 01:06
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes -50 $-15 18¢ $-9 +$6 07-02 02:46
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 05-30 12:58
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$1 06-16 11:30
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$1 06-18 03:11
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -5 $-5 90¢ $-4 +$1 06-28 15:25
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 06-27 22:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 06-17 19:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$1 06-15 12:07
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 75¢ $4 +$0 06-20 15:37
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 70¢ $3 +$1 06-16 07:08
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +5 $2 52¢ $3 +$1 06-24 05:14
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 39¢ $2 +$0 06-19 07:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -5 $-1 30¢ $-2 $-1 06-13 04:06