(anonymous) 0xccdf09…ecb8a7
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$228
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
485
lifetime
Volume
$19.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$488
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 07-18 19:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
61% 100% +$5
Politics
19% 0% $-235
Crypto
12% — —
Sports
8% 100% +$2
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -345 $-314 94¢ $-326 $-12 06-11 22:48
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -51 $-47 91¢ $-46 +$1 06-12 17:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -46 $-41 70¢ $-32 +$9 07-18 19:00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -30 $-26 93¢ $-28 $-2 06-16 01:06
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes -50 $-15 18¢ $-9 +$6 07-02 02:46
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 05-30 12:58
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 06-16 11:30
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -5 $-4 89¢ $-4 $-0 06-27 22:35
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -5 $-5 88¢ $-4 +$1 06-28 15:25
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 06-17 19:59
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 88¢ $4 +$2 06-16 07:08
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 83¢ $4 +$1 06-20 15:37
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 06-18 03:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$1 06-15 12:07
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +5 $2 58¢ $3 +$1 06-24 05:14
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 48¢ $2 +$1 06-19 07:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -5 $-1 26¢ $-1 $-1 06-13 04:06