Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Up won
Total volume
$30,107
Trades
1,894
Unique wallets
369
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
82¢
Latest NO mid
18¢
End date
2026-10-03
First seen
2026-10-03
last 10-03 12:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+3.3¢
(top1%: 84% YES on $14.4K
vs crowd: 81% YES on $28.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 105 | $15.8K | $3.0K | +$12.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 105 | $5.8K | $1.7K | +$4.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 92 | $1.1K | $382 | +$678 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 67 | $180 | $298 | $117 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 99 | $12.1K | $2.3K | +$9.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 55 | $3.3K | $312 | +$2.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 19 | $350 | $26 | +$324 |
| Median | 16 | $148 | $61 | +$87 |
| Below median | 62 | $294 | $320 | $26 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 36 | $394 | $442 | $48 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 39 | $2.7K | $668 | +$2.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 43 | $3.6K | $1.3K | +$2.2K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Down | +4,369 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 10-03 12:26 |
| Cavernous-Agriculture 0x7db2…1b3b | Up | +3,131 | $3,128 | $3,128 | 2 | 10-03 12:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xef56…9c5b | Down | +1,623 | $140 | $140 | 2 | 10-03 12:19 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Down | +1,477 | $74 | $75 | 36 | 10-03 12:20 |
| Whirlwind-Facsimile 0x064a…245d | Down | +1,386 | $41 | $41 | 40 | 10-03 12:23 |
| Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | +1,340 | $1,316 | $2,066 | 17 | 10-03 12:26 |
| Ornate-Outrun 0x7c69…5aeb | Up | +1,325 | $1,323 | $1,323 | 1 | 10-03 12:26 |
| Compassionate-Leverage 0x48e5…a482 | Up | +1,195 | $780 | $780 | 32 | 10-03 12:18 |
| Funny-Keyboarding 0xa665…01e3 | Down | +1,036 | $538 | $538 | 9 | 10-03 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x3dcd…913d | Down | +1,000 | $30 | $30 | 28 | 10-03 12:21 |
| Compassionate-Leverage 0x48e5…a482 | Down | +695 | $187 | $187 | 21 | 10-03 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x664a…fc5f | Up | +692 | $327 | $327 | 7 | 10-03 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c2b…c79b | Up | +684 | $656 | $656 | 4 | 10-03 12:24 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +675 | $608 | $608 | 19 | 10-03 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7c4…73ee | Up | +658 | $320 | $320 | 13 | 10-03 12:15 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | +627 | $504 | $504 | 34 | 10-03 12:21 |
| Lumpy-Pagoda 0x3615…8fdf | Up | +567 | $351 | $351 | 3 | 10-03 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x90e3…34ad | Up | +560 | $278 | $278 | 11 | 10-03 12:15 |
| Loving-Confidentiality 0x68d3…d1b0 | Up | +555 | $531 | $531 | 12 | 10-03 12:23 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Down | +555 | $144 | $144 | 31 | 10-03 12:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x2106…4c18 | Down | +551 | $298 | $298 | 1 | 10-03 12:15 |
| Substantial-Biscuit 0xeef3…2f9b | Up | +550 | $527 | $527 | 11 | 10-03 12:23 |
| Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Down | +540 | -$1 | $3 | 10 | 10-03 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Down | +500 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-03 12:24 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | +485 | $367 | $367 | 25 | 10-03 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x01e8…e002 | Up | +435 | $214 | $214 | 8 | 10-03 12:15 |
| Cool-Trip 0x9184…9f9f | Up | +430 | $390 | $390 | 9 | 10-03 12:19 |
| Cool-Trip 0x9184…9f9f | Down | +420 | $80 | $80 | 17 | 10-03 12:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xa4eb…393f | Up | +418 | $406 | $406 | 4 | 10-03 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xd901…8e14 | Up | +413 | $198 | $198 | 2 | 10-03 12:15 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Up | +403 | $305 | $305 | 4 | 10-03 12:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x071a…7400 | Down | +400 | $208 | $208 | 1 | 10-03 12:15 |
| Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a | Up | +392 | $341 | $488 | 10 | 10-03 12:19 |
| Descriptive-Spectrograph 0x672c…881b | Down | +389 | $206 | $206 | 1 | 10-03 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | +380 | $207 | $416 | 13 | 10-03 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x424e…263b | Up | +358 | $177 | $177 | 2 | 10-03 12:16 |
| Elastic-Condition 0xb452…db61 | Up | +355 | $325 | $325 | 4 | 10-03 12:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Down | +353 | $207 | $264 | 22 | 10-03 12:20 |
| Incomplete-Cherry 0x107f…bb8c | Up | +352 | $351 | $351 | 6 | 10-03 12:26 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Down | +351 | $105 | $105 | 18 | 10-03 12:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x7903…df88 | Down | +340 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 10-03 12:20 |
| Cautious-Toreador 0xe309…1433 | Up | +325 | $292 | $307 | 5 | 10-03 12:19 |
| Cautious-Toreador 0xe309…1433 | Down | +325 | $33 | $33 | 6 | 10-03 12:20 |
| Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Down | +317 | $80 | $80 | 16 | 10-03 12:20 |
| Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Up | +317 | $239 | $239 | 9 | 10-03 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5380…d4b3 | Down | +300 | $153 | $153 | 5 | 10-03 12:15 |
| Leading-Altar 0x86b9…6d67 | Down | +300 | $49 | $49 | 16 | 10-03 12:20 |
| Leading-Altar 0x86b9…6d67 | Up | +300 | $260 | $260 | 14 | 10-03 12:21 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +297 | $81 | $81 | 22 | 10-03 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +291 | $43 | $43 | 15 | 10-03 12:25 |
| Stylish-Tremor 0xca8c…5d88 | Up | +275 | $256 | $256 | 1 | 10-03 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +273 | $240 | $240 | 8 | 10-03 12:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x78a0…0e82 | Down | +272 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 10-03 12:23 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | +250 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 10-03 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x9427…7fcb | Down | +250 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-03 12:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | +250 | $127 | $127 | 2 | 10-03 12:15 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +237 | $29 | $29 | 11 | 10-03 12:23 |
| True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | +224 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-03 12:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | +223 | $23 | $23 | 16 | 10-03 12:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Down | +207 | $60 | $60 | 9 | 10-03 12:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 12:31:12 | (anonymous) 0x5d27…45e4 | Up | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x34295b… |
| 10-03 12:31:12 | (anonymous) 0x9ae7…84fe | Up | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x34295b… |
| 10-03 12:29:32 | Zany-Consensus 0x1777…d59c | Up | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x51ff8c… |
| 10-03 12:29:32 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Down | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x51ff8c… |
| 10-03 12:28:47 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Down | SELL | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8083aa… |
| 10-03 12:28:47 | Huge-Browser 0x0719…8413 | Up | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x8083aa… |
| 10-03 12:26:48 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Down | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xec5a6f… |
| 10-03 12:26:48 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Down | BUY | 3,891 | 0¢ | $4 | 0xec5a6f… |
| 10-03 12:26:48 | Ornate-Outrun 0x7c69…5aeb | Up | BUY | 1,325 | 100¢ | $1,323 | 0xec5a6f… |
| 10-03 12:26:48 | Cavernous-Agriculture 0x7db2…1b3b | Up | BUY | 2,397 | 100¢ | $2,395 | 0xec5a6f… |
| 10-03 12:26:26 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | SELL | 123 | 100¢ | $123 | 0x4dd26e… |
| 10-03 12:26:26 | (anonymous) 0x8c17…9098 | Down | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4dd26e… |
| 10-03 12:26:26 | Healthy-Oats 0xe21e…4d48 | Down | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4dd26e… |
| 10-03 12:26:26 | Cavernous-Agriculture 0x7db2…1b3b | Up | BUY | 734 | 100¢ | $733 | 0x4dd26e… |
| 10-03 12:26:26 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Down | BUY | 590 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4dd26e… |
| 10-03 12:26:26 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4dd26e… |
| 10-03 12:26:15 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Up | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0xffa0b8… |
| 10-03 12:26:15 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | SELL | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0xffa0b8… |
| 10-03 12:26:15 | Incomplete-Cherry 0x107f…bb8c | Up | BUY | 96 | 100¢ | $96 | 0x7ecf4b… |
| 10-03 12:26:15 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | SELL | 96 | 100¢ | $96 | 0x7ecf4b… |
| 10-03 12:26:14 | (anonymous) 0x5d5a…97ad | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4c8009… |
| 10-03 12:26:14 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c8009… |
| 10-03 12:25:51 | (anonymous) 0xe117…461d | Down | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04d01e… |
| 10-03 12:25:51 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x04d01e… |
| 10-03 12:25:48 | (anonymous) 0x9427…7fcb | Down | BUY | 250 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9cbea4… |
| 10-03 12:25:48 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Down | SELL | 250 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9cbea4… |
| 10-03 12:25:36 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Up | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x9278b0… |
| 10-03 12:25:36 | (anonymous) 0x26ed…c0f0 | Down | BUY | 197 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9278b0… |
| 10-03 12:25:36 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x9278b0… |
| 10-03 12:25:36 | Incomplete-Cherry 0x107f…bb8c | Up | BUY | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0x9278b0… |
| 10-03 12:25:35 | Incomplete-Cherry 0x107f…bb8c | Up | BUY | 64 | 100¢ | $64 | 0x2bd77d… |
| 10-03 12:25:35 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | SELL | 64 | 100¢ | $64 | 0x2bd77d… |
| 10-03 12:25:33 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Down | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d09f7… |
| 10-03 12:25:33 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Down | BUY | 234 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd23b70… |
| 10-03 12:25:33 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Up | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0x8d09f7… |
| 10-03 12:25:33 | Incomplete-Cherry 0x107f…bb8c | Up | BUY | 96 | 100¢ | $96 | 0xc1ee57… |
| 10-03 12:25:33 | Green-Plunger 0x31f6…a051 | Up | BUY | 240 | 100¢ | $240 | 0xd23b70… |
| 10-03 12:25:33 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Down | BUY | 96 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1ee57… |
| 10-03 12:25:33 | Healthy-Oats 0xe21e…4d48 | Down | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd23b70… |
| 10-03 12:25:17 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf26e19… |
| 10-03 12:25:17 | Huge-Browser 0x0719…8413 | Up | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xf26e19… |
| 10-03 12:25:17 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa44a7f… |
| 10-03 12:25:17 | Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | Up | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xa44a7f… |
| 10-03 12:25:08 | (anonymous) 0x3c1a…06ff | Up | SELL | 41 | 99¢ | $41 | 0x00a4c9… |
| 10-03 12:25:08 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | BUY | 41 | 99¢ | $41 | 0x00a4c9… |
| 10-03 12:24:53 | (anonymous) 0xbbe7…6114 | Down | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x26efcb… |
| 10-03 12:24:53 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 240 | 99¢ | $238 | 0x26efcb… |
| 10-03 12:24:53 | (anonymous) 0x0795…b281 | Down | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x26efcb… |
| 10-03 12:24:53 | (anonymous) 0x4c2b…c79b | Up | BUY | 134 | 99¢ | $133 | 0x26efcb… |
| 10-03 12:24:53 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Down | BUY | 478 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x26efcb… |
| 10-03 12:24:53 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | BUY | 56 | 99¢ | $56 | 0x26efcb… |
| 10-03 12:24:53 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Down | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x26efcb… |
| 10-03 12:24:53 | (anonymous) 0x7e53…a456 | Down | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x26efcb… |
| 10-03 12:24:53 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x26efcb… |
| 10-03 12:24:47 | (anonymous) 0x6d2a…fbf3 | Down | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0bea8e… |
| 10-03 12:24:47 | (anonymous) 0x3f59…f8fb | Up | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0bea8e… |
| 10-03 12:24:44 | (anonymous) 0x5eb5…17d3 | Up | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xba2ad2… |
| 10-03 12:24:44 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xba2ad2… |
| 10-03 12:24:29 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 112 | 99¢ | $111 | 0x342fb9… |
| 10-03 12:24:29 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 112 | 99¢ | $111 | 0x97232d… |
| 10-03 12:24:29 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 112 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x342fb9… |
| 10-03 12:24:29 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Down | BUY | 112 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x97232d… |
| 10-03 12:24:23 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $148 | 0x4703b4… |
| 10-03 12:24:23 | (anonymous) 0x582c…3266 | Up | SELL | 150 | 99¢ | $148 | 0x4703b4… |
| 10-03 12:24:18 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 386 | 99¢ | $382 | 0x7c8a11… |
| 10-03 12:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Down | BUY | 440 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x7c8a11… |
| 10-03 12:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $54 | 0x7c8a11… |
| 10-03 12:24:12 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1e59fc… |
| 10-03 12:24:12 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 56 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1e59fc… |
| 10-03 12:24:12 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Down | SELL | 88 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1e59fc… |
| 10-03 12:24:08 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf11d71… |
| 10-03 12:24:08 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 51 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf11d71… |
| 10-03 12:24:08 | Elastic-Condition 0xb452…db61 | Up | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0xf11d71… |
| 10-03 12:23:54 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xad7a3b… |
| 10-03 12:23:54 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x20152f… |
| 10-03 12:23:54 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x20152f… |
| 10-03 12:23:54 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xad7a3b… |
| 10-03 12:23:47 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x605202… |
| 10-03 12:23:47 | Formal-City 0x3b9e…cb21 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x605202… |
| 10-03 12:23:47 | Healthy-Oats 0xe21e…4d48 | Down | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x605202… |
| 10-03 12:23:15 | Formal-City 0x3b9e…cb21 | Down | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2f7c9e… |
| 10-03 12:23:15 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 104 | 98¢ | $102 | 0x2f7c9e… |
| 10-03 12:23:15 | (anonymous) 0x78a0…0e82 | Down | BUY | 105 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2f7c9e… |
| 10-03 12:23:14 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0xf6e1e4… |
| 10-03 12:23:14 | Formal-City 0x3b9e…cb21 | Down | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf6e1e4… |
| 10-03 12:23:14 | Lone-Boon 0x4c04…7dca | Up | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf6e1e4… |
| 10-03 12:23:14 | (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Down | BUY | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf6e1e4… |
| 10-03 12:23:08 | (anonymous) 0x5fc0…b227 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbdc4cc… |
| 10-03 12:23:08 | (anonymous) 0x7c54…6c48 | Down | BUY | 65 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd50f38… |
| 10-03 12:23:08 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Up | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x020041… |
| 10-03 12:23:08 | (anonymous) 0x6de1…65a2 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd50f38… |
| 10-03 12:23:08 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd50f38… |
| 10-03 12:23:08 | (anonymous) 0x49f4…a9e1 | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xbdc4cc… |
| 10-03 12:23:08 | Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbdc4cc… |
| 10-03 12:23:08 | Substantial-Biscuit 0xeef3…2f9b | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x020041… |
| 10-03 12:23:08 | Healthy-Oats 0xe21e…4d48 | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbdc4cc… |
| 10-03 12:23:08 | Healthy-Oats 0xe21e…4d48 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaa21fe… |
| 10-03 12:23:08 | (anonymous) 0x64e5…7cfe | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xaa21fe… |
| 10-03 12:23:08 | Whirlwind-Facsimile 0x064a…245d | Down | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbdc4cc… |
| 10-03 12:23:08 | (anonymous) 0x7c54…6c48 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x891afc… |