Will South Africa reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
open
Total volume
$12,068
Trades
110
Unique wallets
51
Liquidity
$105
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-28 20:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $134
vs crowd: 0% YES on $9.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $1 | $4.3K | $4.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $30 | $669 | $639 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $8 | $3.9K | $3.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $5 | $70 | $65 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $134 | $134 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $25 | $31 | $6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $1 | $192 | $191 |
| Median | 6 | $0 | $840 | $839 |
| Below median | 5 | $0 | $200 | $199 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $1 | $154 | $153 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $3 | $4.3K | $4.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 21 | $12 | $3.0K | $3.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortunate-Box 0xb12b…5a89 | No | +4,297 | $4,271 | $4,271 | 2 | 06-28 20:57 |
| Definitive-Settlement 0x088e…bc56 | Yes | +3,000 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-27 13:40 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1,103 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-28 19:22 |
| Agile-Lemur 0x80e1…3830 | No | +801 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 06-28 09:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xbfba…583c | Yes | +359 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-28 11:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xf79c…cb96 | Yes | +348 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-28 20:57 |
| Trustworthy-Niece 0x1683…3348 | Yes | +203 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | +200 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 20:57 |
| Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | +154 | $153 | $153 | 1 | 06-28 11:28 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +150 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xf79c…cb96 | No | +148 | $147 | $147 | 2 | 06-28 11:28 |
| Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | +135 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 06-17 18:38 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $1 | 4 | 06-28 19:24 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-25 07:29 |
| Animated-Homogenate 0x4f28…969f | No | +100 | $100 | $299 | 3 | 06-28 20:57 |
| Silver-Boxspring 0x3d70…2471 | Yes | +62 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 11:40 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +51 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-17 18:38 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 18:38 |
| Barren-Edge 0xca6e…af60 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-28 11:28 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 06-12 11:40 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +38 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-26 07:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3fe3…d5ff | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 06-26 07:18 |
| Hasty-Institute 0x97df…3088 | No | +32 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 06-17 14:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xb545…9d97 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 20:57 |
| Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | +18 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-02 06:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-25 08:28 |
| Bustling-Navigation 0x850c…3645 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-16 19:38 |
| Reckless-Parchment 0x3c14…95d5 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-26 13:28 |
| Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 08:28 |
| Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 08:28 |
| Infamous-Reef 0x5e1b…e63c | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-13 20:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 08:28 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +4 | $4 | $16 | 4 | 06-13 20:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x7efb…b193 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-26 14:11 |
| Serious-Motivation-Discrepancy 0x1d4b…50c5 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-22 02:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x41c7…1514 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 20:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 20:57:17 | (anonymous) 0xb545…9d97 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x227e9f… |
| 06-28 20:57:17 | (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x227e9f… |
| 06-28 20:57:17 | Fussy-Nightmare 0x1bfa…9e61 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x227e9f… |
| 06-28 20:57:17 | Jolly-Switchboard 0xd119…0536 | No | SELL | 725 | 100¢ | $724 | 0x227e9f… |
| 06-28 20:57:17 | Animated-Homogenate 0x4f28…969f | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x227e9f… |
| 06-28 20:57:17 | Fortunate-Box 0xb12b…5a89 | No | BUY | 1,255 | 100¢ | $1,254 | 0x227e9f… |
| 06-28 20:57:17 | Infantile-Net 0x9a95…111b | No | SELL | 99 | 100¢ | $99 | 0x227e9f… |
| 06-28 20:57:17 | (anonymous) 0xf79c…cb96 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x227e9f… |
| 06-28 19:24:32 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa6877… |
| 06-28 19:24:32 | Animated-Homogenate 0x4f28…969f | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xfa6877… |
| 06-28 19:24:11 | (anonymous) 0xf79c…cb96 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x339b5f… |
| 06-28 19:24:11 | Animated-Homogenate 0x4f28…969f | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x339b5f… |
| 06-28 19:22:07 | (anonymous) 0xf79c…cb96 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2b467f… |
| 06-28 19:22:07 | Jolly-Switchboard 0xd119…0536 | No | BUY | 725 | 100¢ | $723 | 0x2b467f… |
| 06-28 19:22:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 570 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2b467f… |
| 06-28 19:22:07 | Earnest-Elk 0xcbf0…0536 | No | SELL | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0x2b467f… |
| 06-28 11:28:13 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | BUY | 154 | 99¢ | $153 | 0xe05a46… |
| 06-28 11:28:13 | Barren-Edge 0xca6e…af60 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xe05a46… |
| 06-28 11:28:13 | (anonymous) 0xbfba…583c | Yes | BUY | 359 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xe05a46… |
| 06-28 11:28:13 | Earnest-Elk 0xcbf0…0536 | No | BUY | 55 | 99¢ | $55 | 0xe05a46… |
| 06-28 11:28:13 | (anonymous) 0xf79c…cb96 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xe05a46… |
| 06-28 09:57:08 | (anonymous) 0x2275…fb3c | Yes | SELL | 500 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xb6cc92… |
| 06-28 09:57:08 | (anonymous) 0xc650…72b1 | No | SELL | 500 | 100¢ | $498 | 0xb6cc92… |
| 06-28 09:57:01 | (anonymous) 0xc650…72b1 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $498 | 0xabba67… |
| 06-28 09:57:01 | (anonymous) 0x2275…fb3c | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xabba67… |
| 06-28 09:56:49 | (anonymous) 0xc650…72b1 | No | SELL | 500 | 100¢ | $498 | 0x23b771… |
| 06-28 09:56:49 | (anonymous) 0x2275…fb3c | Yes | SELL | 500 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x23b771… |
| 06-28 09:56:41 | (anonymous) 0x2275…fb3c | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xc8a29b… |
| 06-28 09:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xc650…72b1 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $498 | 0xc8a29b… |
| 06-28 09:48:56 | (anonymous) 0x2275…fb3c | Yes | SELL | 350 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x6957c9… |
| 06-28 09:48:56 | (anonymous) 0xc650…72b1 | No | SELL | 350 | 100¢ | $348 | 0x6957c9… |
| 06-28 09:48:47 | (anonymous) 0x2275…fb3c | Yes | BUY | 350 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x67cb74… |
| 06-28 09:48:47 | (anonymous) 0xc650…72b1 | No | BUY | 350 | 100¢ | $348 | 0x67cb74… |
| 06-28 09:28:32 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 283 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd7ee94… |
| 06-28 09:28:32 | Fussy-Nightmare 0x1bfa…9e61 | No | SELL | 470 | 100¢ | $470 | 0xd7ee94… |
| 06-28 09:28:32 | Agile-Lemur 0x80e1…3830 | No | BUY | 801 | 100¢ | $800 | 0xd7ee94… |
| 06-28 09:28:32 | (anonymous) 0xf79c…cb96 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd7ee94… |
| 06-27 13:40:46 | Earnest-Elk 0xcbf0…0536 | No | SELL | 42 | 99¢ | $42 | 0x8c010c… |
| 06-27 13:40:46 | Fortunate-Box 0xb12b…5a89 | No | BUY | 3,042 | 99¢ | $3,018 | 0x8c010c… |
| 06-27 13:40:46 | Definitive-Settlement 0x088e…bc56 | Yes | BUY | 3,000 | 1¢ | $24 | 0x8c010c… |
| 06-26 14:11:12 | Earnest-Elk 0xcbf0…0536 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x7cd5a7… |
| 06-26 14:11:12 | (anonymous) 0x7efb…b193 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x7cd5a7… |
| 06-26 13:28:48 | Earnest-Elk 0xcbf0…0536 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xba129b… |
| 06-26 13:28:48 | Reckless-Parchment 0x3c14…95d5 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xba129b… |
| 06-26 07:18:23 | (anonymous) 0x3fe3…d5ff | No | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x41edf7… |
| 06-26 07:18:23 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x41edf7… |
| 06-25 13:18:25 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f5117… |
| 06-25 13:18:25 | Trustworthy-Niece 0x1683…3348 | Yes | BUY | 203 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8f5117… |
| 06-25 13:18:25 | Earnest-Elk 0xcbf0…0536 | No | BUY | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0x8f5117… |
| 06-25 13:18:25 | (anonymous) 0xf79c…cb96 | No | BUY | 48 | 100¢ | $48 | 0x8f5117… |
| 06-25 08:28:34 | Fussy-Nightmare 0x1bfa…9e61 | No | SELL | 174 | 100¢ | $174 | 0xedde9b… |
| 06-25 08:28:34 | Earnest-Elk 0xcbf0…0536 | No | SELL | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xedde9b… |
| 06-25 08:28:34 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedde9b… |
| 06-25 08:28:34 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedde9b… |
| 06-25 08:28:34 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedde9b… |
| 06-25 08:28:34 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedde9b… |
| 06-25 08:28:34 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedde9b… |
| 06-25 08:28:34 | (anonymous) 0x7b15…9b1f | Yes | SELL | 400 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedde9b… |
| 06-25 08:28:34 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedde9b… |
| 06-25 08:28:34 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedde9b… |
| 06-25 08:28:34 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedde9b… |
| 06-25 08:22:19 | (anonymous) 0x7b15…9b1f | Yes | BUY | 400 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x8e285f… |
| 06-25 08:22:19 | Courteous-Dwell 0xe068…c5ea | Yes | SELL | 400 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x8e285f… |
| 06-25 07:29:29 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x26fae7… |
| 06-25 07:29:29 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x26fae7… |
| 06-25 07:29:29 | Earnest-Elk 0xcbf0…0536 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x26fae7… |
| 06-25 02:24:29 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x805af2… |
| 06-25 02:24:29 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x805af2… |
| 06-22 18:01:58 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b825e… |
| 06-22 18:01:58 | Infantile-Net 0x9a95…111b | No | BUY | 99 | 100¢ | $99 | 0x8b825e… |
| 06-22 17:12:17 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 250 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x631b59… |
| 06-22 17:12:17 | Courteous-Dwell 0xe068…c5ea | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x631b59… |
| 06-22 17:12:17 | Fussy-Nightmare 0x1bfa…9e61 | No | BUY | 650 | 100¢ | $648 | 0x631b59… |
| 06-22 02:02:34 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x37bffd… |
| 06-22 02:02:34 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x37bffd… |
| 06-22 02:01:38 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9dc6b0… |
| 06-22 02:01:38 | Serious-Motivation-Discrepancy 0x1d4b…50c5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9dc6b0… |
| 06-22 00:28:43 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xfc2874… |
| 06-22 00:28:43 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfc2874… |
| 06-22 00:28:23 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb84fea… |
| 06-22 00:28:23 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb84fea… |
| 06-17 18:38:34 | Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | BUY | 135 | 99¢ | $134 | 0x5c2b84… |
| 06-17 18:38:34 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5c2b84… |
| 06-17 18:38:34 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5c2b84… |
| 06-17 18:38:34 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5c2b84… |
| 06-17 14:38:40 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcd0094… |
| 06-17 14:38:40 | Hasty-Institute 0x97df…3088 | No | BUY | 32 | 99¢ | $31 | 0xcd0094… |
| 06-16 19:38:07 | Bustling-Navigation 0x850c…3645 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xdc0f5f… |
| 06-16 19:38:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdc0f5f… |
| 06-13 20:01:18 | Infamous-Reef 0x5e1b…e63c | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1422e5… |
| 06-13 20:01:18 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1422e5… |
| 06-13 20:00:24 | Infamous-Reef 0x5e1b…e63c | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x1acbee… |
| 06-13 20:00:24 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x1acbee… |
| 06-13 19:53:12 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x26bdff… |
| 06-13 19:53:12 | Infamous-Reef 0x5e1b…e63c | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x26bdff… |
| 06-12 11:40:42 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x99ed23… |
| 06-12 11:40:42 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x99ed23… |
| 06-12 11:40:42 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x99ed23… |
| 06-12 11:40:40 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa35c1a… |
| 06-12 11:40:40 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xa35c1a… |