Trustworthy-Niece — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$655

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 07-19 13:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% $-7

Politics

13% 50% +$62

Crypto

12% — —

Tech

11% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	2	$216	290	290	+0	open	—	05-17 00:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$53	33	33	+0	open	—	05-06 12:38
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$48	54	54	+0	open	—	05-17 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$30	1,062	0	+1,062	open	—	05-14 15:07
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	2	$29	34	34	+0	open	—	05-17 00:39
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	1	$20	56	0	+56	open	—	04-18 05:59
Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?	1	$20	46	0	+46	open	—	04-18 07:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	04-18 06:01
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	2	$16	302	0	+302	open	—	06-16 01:43
spacex ipo closing share price updown on second day 20260608224427017	2	$13	3,603	0	+3,603	open	—	06-16 02:19
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	1	$12	42	0	+42	open	—	04-18 07:19
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$11	65	0	+65	open	—	06-16 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$10	45	45	+0	open	—	05-14 15:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$10	167	167	+0	open	—	05-17 00:28
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	1	$10	79	0	+79	open	—	05-14 14:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	05-02 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$10	259	0	+259	open	—	05-14 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-14 15:03
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	1	$8	11	0	+11	Yes	$-8	05-02 01:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$6	0	7	-7	open	—	06-17 07:44
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	1	$6	33	0	+33	open	—	06-16 01:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	06-17 07:44
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	05-06 12:45
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$5	33	0	+33	open	—	05-02 01:18
will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	06-16 02:45
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	05-14 14:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	75	0	+75	Yes	+$70	05-02 01:00
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	05-20 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-14 15:27
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	05-02 00:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 13:35:34	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x452721…
07-06 02:24:32	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 extra time	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2449b5…
06-25 13:24:47	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc22cfa…
06-25 13:24:47	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x13096a…
06-25 13:23:53	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x9ed603…
06-25 13:23:41	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0xd1b72b…
06-25 13:18:25	Will South Africa reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	203	0¢	$1	0x8f5117…
06-25 13:18:14	Will Saudi Arabia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$1	0xb3807e…
06-25 13:16:14	Will Iraq reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x25335c…
06-25 13:01:10	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbe1ed6…
06-17 07:44:59	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x3faa04…
06-17 07:44:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xdb6851…
06-16 04:26:34	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x091fc7…
06-16 02:45:18	will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1f679e…
06-16 02:19:04	spacex ipo closing share price updown on second day 20260608224427017	Down	BUY	1,273	1¢	$8	0x9f6714…
06-16 02:12:51	spacex ipo closing share price updown on second day 20260608224427017	Down	BUY	2,330	0¢	$5	0xc968b6…
06-16 01:46:42	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0xfac4ef…
06-16 01:44:07	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa0b94e…
06-16 01:43:24	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x235275…
06-16 01:43:01	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	208	5¢	$11	0xf61641…
06-16 01:41:48	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x12d938…
06-16 01:41:36	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0x3835cd…
06-16 01:39:10	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xdcf7a8…
05-20 15:03:42	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xe21256…
05-17 00:44:35	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	290	68¢	$196	0xc1e574…
05-17 00:39:37	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	34	56¢	$19	0x8ebf99…
05-17 00:39:04	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	54	72¢	$38	0x73f38f…
05-17 00:28:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x8ce3a8…
05-14 15:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x54e910…
05-14 15:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe9aad8…
05-14 15:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x12fec1…
05-14 15:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x80a26b…
05-14 15:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x72f0c2…
05-14 15:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	45	12¢	$5	0x13f77f…
05-14 15:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x06df60…
05-14 15:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeb6f7c…
05-14 15:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x9c60d1…
05-14 15:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x000c58…
05-14 15:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd9518b…
05-14 15:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6ac009…
05-14 14:51:16	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x73b5f5…
05-14 14:50:50	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xff2439…
05-14 14:50:11	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x1aba9d…
05-14 14:44:42	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8e2d73…
05-06 13:03:10	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	127	2¢	$3	0xf547f0…
05-06 13:01:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x50f895…
05-06 12:59:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9507c9…
05-06 12:55:24	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	290	7¢	$20	0x01f2e3…
05-06 12:45:54	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x9ad26c…
05-06 12:38:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x776c49…
05-02 01:18:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x612ac9…
05-02 01:05:14	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x1126b7…
05-02 01:03:16	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x5958de…
05-02 01:00:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0xfa4dde…
05-02 00:58:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xf19b1c…
05-02 00:58:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x013a42…
05-02 00:40:00	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf96ac3…
04-18 07:19:12	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	42	29¢	$12	0x0994f3…
04-18 07:15:52	Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x905125…
04-18 06:25:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xc6b9b1…
04-18 06:01:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xb7c6ca…
04-18 05:59:32	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xcc960f…