Will BNY fail by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$741
$1 in 24h
Trades
56
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$604
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-06-06
last 06-29 17:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $0 | $319 | $319 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $0 | $64 | $64 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $1 | $156 | $156 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $329 | $329 |
| Median | 4 | $0 | $64 | $64 |
| Below median | 8 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 16 | $1 | $156 | $155 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | +320 | $319 | $319 | 2 | 06-28 12:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +250 | $0 | $0 | 7 | 06-25 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2524…6f1e | No | +108 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 06-25 15:31 |
| Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | +64 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 06-29 17:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d34…b0ba | No | +41 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-25 15:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +31 | $0 | $1 | 13 | 06-29 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-28 12:09 |
| Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2966…edfe | No | +1 | $1 | $14 | 2 | 06-23 03:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 17:04:46 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 64 | 100¢ | $64 | 0x4124c3… |
| 06-29 17:04:46 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 64 | 100¢ | $64 | 0x4124c3… |
| 06-29 12:29:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8a87ef… |
| 06-29 12:29:25 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 86 | 100¢ | $85 | 0x8a87ef… |
| 06-29 12:29:25 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8a87ef… |
| 06-29 12:29:25 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8a87ef… |
| 06-28 16:24:25 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x66699d… |
| 06-28 16:24:25 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x66699d… |
| 06-28 12:09:59 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93b166… |
| 06-28 12:09:59 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x93b166… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 140 | 100¢ | $140 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-28 12:07:38 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74396c… |
| 06-25 15:54:34 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04ce64… |
| 06-25 15:54:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04ce64… |
| 06-25 15:50:55 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ea9da… |
| 06-25 15:50:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ea9da… |
| 06-25 15:47:32 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x89cbd1… |
| 06-25 15:47:32 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x89cbd1… |
| 06-25 15:44:11 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcfcb44… |
| 06-25 15:44:11 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcfcb44… |
| 06-25 15:38:55 | (anonymous) 0x3d34…b0ba | No | BUY | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0xd02e21… |
| 06-25 15:38:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 41 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd02e21… |
| 06-25 15:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x2524…6f1e | No | BUY | 108 | 100¢ | $108 | 0x60a6a0… |
| 06-25 15:31:38 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 108 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x60a6a0… |
| 06-23 10:49:13 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7de2f7… |
| 06-23 10:49:13 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x7de2f7… |
| 06-23 10:49:13 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7de2f7… |
| 06-23 03:22:50 | (anonymous) 0x2966…edfe | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x90e717… |
| 06-23 03:22:50 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x90e717… |
| 06-23 03:22:37 | (anonymous) 0x2966…edfe | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xa87026… |
| 06-23 03:22:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa87026… |
| 06-22 05:24:58 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4a8479… |
| 06-22 05:24:58 | Lovely-Land 0xe944…0837 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4a8479… |
| 06-22 05:24:58 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 180 | 100¢ | $179 | 0x4a8479… |
| 06-15 12:36:51 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8efa05… |
| 06-15 12:36:51 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8efa05… |
| 06-06 18:12:37 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x096025… |
| 06-06 18:12:37 | Adept-Dock 0x6026…f93a | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x096025… |