Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
open
Total volume
$7,291
Trades
70
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$1,857
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-06-06
last 07-01 19:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.2K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $7.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $0 | $6.2K | $6.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $1 | $776 | $775 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $45 | $25 | +$20 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $4 | $44 | $40 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $3 | $2.1K | $2.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $4 | $622 | $618 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 5 | $4 | $796 | $792 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | $66 | $66 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 9 | $39 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +4,788 | $38 | $38 | 8 | 07-01 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +2,183 | $2,173 | $2,173 | 3 | 07-01 17:46 |
| Repulsive-Darkness 0x7b75…3fd1 | No | +2,085 | $2,073 | $2,073 | 3 | 07-01 06:35 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +1,239 | $1,213 | $1,213 | 3 | 06-12 16:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x4286…4372 | Yes | +1,020 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 07-01 19:26 |
| Unused-Hepatitis 0xdf97…4653 | No | +777 | $776 | $776 | 1 | 07-01 19:26 |
| Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | +622 | $621 | $621 | 1 | 07-01 19:26 |
| Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | Yes | +400 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-01 19:26 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 16:59 |
| Bright-Bronco 0x3ef9…297c | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-24 06:41 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 16:59 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 16:59 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +67 | $66 | $66 | 3 | 06-26 22:15 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +65 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-24 06:41 |
| Extra-Small-Thermals 0x8842…023c | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 08:41 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +37 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-25 14:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x3576…e553 | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-06 16:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x56f8…4910 | Yes | +28 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 16:00 |
| Deficient-Anyone 0x788e…e086 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-01 08:46 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-07 08:42 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-24 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x452f…a0ab | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-24 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $1 | 4 | 06-19 16:00 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-25 06:29 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 17:46 |
| Wiggly-Grassland 0x23d7…2b2b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 09:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 19:26:38 | Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | BUY | 622 | 100¢ | $621 | 0xd19d2d… |
| 07-01 19:26:38 | Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd19d2d… |
| 07-01 19:26:38 | (anonymous) 0x4286…4372 | Yes | BUY | 610 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd19d2d… |
| 07-01 19:26:14 | Trusty-Close 0x04db…f0fd | Yes | BUY | 388 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x210417… |
| 07-01 19:26:14 | Unused-Hepatitis 0xdf97…4653 | No | BUY | 777 | 100¢ | $776 | 0x210417… |
| 07-01 19:26:14 | (anonymous) 0x4286…4372 | Yes | BUY | 389 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x210417… |
| 07-01 17:46:52 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x43cfa1… |
| 07-01 17:46:52 | Secret-Allegation 0xfc76…0ad0 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x43cfa1… |
| 07-01 17:46:44 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xf1e088… |
| 07-01 17:46:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf1e088… |
| 07-01 17:46:44 | Secret-Allegation 0xfc76…0ad0 | No | SELL | 218 | 99¢ | $216 | 0xf1e088… |
| 07-01 09:08:56 | Wiggly-Grassland 0x23d7…2b2b | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd4b236… |
| 07-01 09:08:56 | (anonymous) 0x4286…4372 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd4b236… |
| 07-01 08:46:40 | Deficient-Anyone 0x788e…e086 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x166992… |
| 07-01 08:46:40 | (anonymous) 0x4286…4372 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x166992… |
| 07-01 06:35:55 | Repulsive-Darkness 0x7b75…3fd1 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xa866f0… |
| 07-01 06:35:55 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa866f0… |
| 06-30 00:16:56 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 987 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x5dfe56… |
| 06-30 00:16:56 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 987 | 100¢ | $984 | 0x5dfe56… |
| 06-26 22:15:20 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x30fc90… |
| 06-26 22:15:20 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30fc90… |
| 06-25 17:18:53 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 996 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x509086… |
| 06-25 17:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 996 | 100¢ | $991 | 0x509086… |
| 06-25 15:01:56 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x51dcee… |
| 06-25 15:01:56 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x51dcee… |
| 06-25 14:54:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb061ec… |
| 06-25 14:54:25 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xb061ec… |
| 06-25 14:53:22 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x269907… |
| 06-25 14:53:22 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x269907… |
| 06-25 06:29:53 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x454592… |
| 06-25 06:29:53 | Repulsive-Darkness 0x7b75…3fd1 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x454592… |
| 06-25 04:04:10 | Extraneous-Nest 0xad9d…9dcf | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x410439… |
| 06-25 04:04:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x410439… |
| 06-24 06:41:29 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x119ccd… |
| 06-24 06:41:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x119ccd… |
| 06-24 06:41:29 | Bright-Bronco 0x3ef9…297c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x119ccd… |
| 06-24 06:41:29 | Extraneous-Nest 0xad9d…9dcf | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa5cc15… |
| 06-24 06:41:29 | (anonymous) 0x452f…a0ab | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x207ad7… |
| 06-24 06:41:29 | Repulsive-Darkness 0x7b75…3fd1 | No | BUY | 1,075 | 99¢ | $1,064 | 0x119ccd… |
| 06-24 06:41:29 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x207ad7… |
| 06-24 06:41:29 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x119ccd… |
| 06-24 06:41:29 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa5cc15… |
| 06-23 22:02:29 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xefaafa… |
| 06-23 22:02:29 | Bright-Bronco 0x3ef9…297c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xefaafa… |
| 06-19 16:00:25 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x87dba3… |
| 06-19 16:00:25 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x87dba3… |
| 06-19 16:00:25 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x87dba3… |
| 06-19 16:00:25 | (anonymous) 0x56f8…4910 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x87dba3… |
| 06-17 04:10:31 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x980c64… |
| 06-17 04:10:31 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x980c64… |
| 06-16 01:34:16 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x39dd3b… |
| 06-16 01:34:16 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x39dd3b… |
| 06-12 16:59:15 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe416f5… |
| 06-12 16:59:15 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 320 | 99¢ | $316 | 0xe416f5… |
| 06-12 16:59:15 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe416f5… |
| 06-12 16:59:15 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe416f5… |
| 06-12 16:59:15 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe416f5… |
| 06-07 08:42:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x61d788… |
| 06-07 08:42:42 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x61d788… |
| 06-07 08:42:42 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x61d788… |
| 06-07 08:42:42 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 535 | 98¢ | $524 | 0x61d788… |
| 06-07 08:41:22 | (anonymous) 0xb6f3…b163 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7008e1… |
| 06-07 08:41:22 | Extra-Small-Thermals 0x8842…023c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7008e1… |
| 06-07 08:41:22 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7008e1… |
| 06-07 08:41:22 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 288 | 3¢ | $9 | 0x7008e1… |
| 06-07 08:41:22 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 384 | 97¢ | $373 | 0x7008e1… |
| 06-07 08:41:22 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7008e1… |
| 06-06 16:25:40 | (anonymous) 0x3576…e553 | No | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xdbb6ab… |
| 06-06 16:25:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdbb6ab… |
| 06-06 16:25:40 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xdbb6ab… |