Realized P&L
-$399
Unrealized P&L
-$193
Hit rate
63.1%
Resolved
1,531
Trades
51,703
lifetime
Volume
$689.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$8.13K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 10-05 21:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Politics
58% 63% -$808
Other
37% 63% -$520
Sports
4% 77% +$622
Tech
1% 78% +$474
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$133
Crypto
0% 50% -$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 301 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -801 -$745 94¢ $-757 -$12 10-05 17:35
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -714 -$604 83¢ $-589 +$15 10-05 17:36
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No -401 -$399 100¢ $-400 -$1 10-05 17:36
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -365 -$361 99¢ $-363 -$2 10-05 17:36
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? No -350 -$349 100¢ $-349 -$1 10-05 17:36
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -300 -$299 100¢ $-299 +$0 10-05 17:36
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -300 -$299 100¢ $-299 +$0 10-05 17:36
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -300 -$294 98¢ $-294 $0 10-05 17:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -300 -$291 96¢ $-288 +$3 10-05 17:36
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -300 -$286 96¢ $-287 -$1 10-05 17:36
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -305 -$196 90¢ $-274 -$79 10-05 17:36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -300 -$273 91¢ $-273 +$0 10-05 17:36
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -275 -$272 99¢ $-272 +$0 10-05 17:36
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -336 -$229 78¢ $-261 -$32 10-05 17:36
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -250 -$243 98¢ $-245 -$1 10-05 17:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -292 -$245 80¢ $-232 +$13 10-05 17:36
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No -230 -$228 98¢ $-225 +$3 10-05 17:36
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes -640 -$122 34¢ $-214 -$93 10-05 20:49
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -220 -$215 96¢ $-212 +$3 10-05 17:36
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -227 -$209 92¢ $-210 -$1 10-05 17:36
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -208 -$205 98¢ $-205 +$0 10-05 17:36
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -192 -$190 99¢ $-190 $0 10-05 17:36
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No -196 -$182 96¢ $-188 -$6 10-05 17:36
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -183 -$181 98¢ $-180 +$1 10-05 17:36
Human moon landing in 2026? No -177 -$174 99¢ $-175 -$1 10-05 17:36
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No -205 -$182 85¢ $-175 +$7 10-05 17:36
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No -181 -$178 96¢ $-174 +$4 10-05 17:36
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No -172 -$171 99¢ $-171 $0 10-05 17:36
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -211 -$150 78¢ $-165 -$15 10-05 17:36
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No -278 -$161 57¢ $-159 +$3 10-05 17:36