Realized P&L
+$2.58K
Unrealized P&L
-$63
Hit rate
84.3%
Resolved
107
Trades
675
lifetime
Volume
$106.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$158
Open exposure
$38.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 10-21 14:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
42%
76%
-$998
Crypto
28%
50%
+$850
Politics
17%
70%
+$259
Sports
12%
91%
+$2,469
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk
• peak 23 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | 23 | $16.6K | 12,377 | 6,188 | +6,188 | $80k | +$1,722 | 05-04 02:00 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 51 | $14.4K | 14,621 | 866 | +13,755 | open | — | 07-21 15:32 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 14 | $4.9K | 2,680 | 2,680 | +0 | open | — | 08-01 19:18 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 3 | $4.7K | 4,131 | 50,000 | -45,869 | No | +$891 | 07-02 19:24 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 5 | $3.9K | 3,995 | 0 | +3,995 | No | +$125 | 07-06 02:05 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 5 | $3.3K | 5,755 | 0 | +5,755 | open | — | 09-20 14:51 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | 20 | $2.8K | 3,810 | 0 | +3,810 | open | — | 09-23 09:35 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 11 | $2.3K | 2,850 | 0 | +2,850 | open | — | 09-18 01:40 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | 7 | $2.0K | 2,100 | 0 | +2,100 | open | — | 10-21 14:46 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 7 | $1.6K | 1,826 | 800 | +1,026 | No | -$558 | 04-18 03:44 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 5 | $1.6K | 1,101 | 500 | +601 | No | +$14 | 06-24 10:59 |
| will the us invade iran by march 31 | 19 | $1.4K | 800 | 800 | +0 | No | -$5 | 03-30 14:30 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 66 | $1.4K | 0 | 380,282 | -380,282 | No | +$1,364 | 06-12 05:08 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $1.3K | 1,800 | 0 | +1,800 | open | — | 05-16 12:23 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $1.3K | 1,500 | 0 | +1,500 | open | — | 09-03 23:23 |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | 23 | $1.2K | 4,264 | 0 | +4,264 | open | — | 09-17 17:51 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | 6 | $1.2K | 1,291 | 0 | +1,291 | open | — | 09-18 18:48 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | 3 | $1.0K | 1,100 | 0 | +1,100 | open | — | 06-22 19:25 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | 5 | $984 | 504 | 504 | +0 | No | +$6 | 05-11 16:01 |
| iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546 | 1 | $963 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | No | +$37 | 07-21 16:00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | 1 | $952 | 1,700 | 0 | +1,700 | open | — | 05-05 14:40 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 4 | $900 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | open | — | 07-17 15:56 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | 1 | $900 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | open | — | 07-20 13:15 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 4 | $888 | 500 | 500 | +0 | Yes | +$108 | 05-05 01:17 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 3 | $879 | 900 | 0 | +900 | No | +$21 | 03-24 08:34 |
| will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026 | 8 | $860 | 800 | 300 | +500 | No | -$17 | 06-29 18:03 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3 | $842 | 900 | 0 | +900 | No | +$58 | 05-30 22:33 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | 23 | $837 | 900 | 0 | +900 | open | — | 09-16 19:30 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | 3 | $834 | 600 | 600 | +0 | No | +$138 | 05-16 07:49 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | 17 | $724 | 765 | 0 | +765 | No | +$41 | 07-21 01:53 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||