Hungry-Flan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,683

lifetime

Volume

$3.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-03 06:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

49% 0% $-7

Other

41% 43% $-6

Sports

8% 53% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$103	116	116	+0	open	—	05-27 00:36
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	22	$60	65	65	+0	open	—	04-14 04:08
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	24	$57	88	88	+0	open	—	04-15 21:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	28	$55	163	179	-16	open	—	06-01 15:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	19	$51	129	134	-5	open	—	06-26 11:59
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	18	$50	56	51	+5	open	—	04-19 19:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	21	$49	104	110	-6	open	—	05-25 22:00
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	23	$46	70	70	+0	open	—	04-22 13:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	15	$44	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 12:57
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	17	$40	126	133	-7	open	—	05-30 10:32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	13	$40	27	32	-5	open	—	05-23 05:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	12	$39	31	31	+0	open	—	06-20 02:46
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	12	$38	51	63	-12	open	—	05-28 13:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	16	$38	77	77	+0	open	—	04-28 15:14
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	14	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	04-28 03:24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Bellucci	11	$37	48	48	+0	Mattia Bellucci	+$4	05-07 13:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	11	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	05-23 18:45
76ers vs. Celtics	4	$34	30	30	+0	open	—	04-29 01:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$34	36	36	+0	open	—	05-29 11:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	12	$32	70	25	+45	open	—	06-20 20:56
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	8	$31	24	24	+0	open	—	05-29 11:02
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	13	$30	33	33	+0	open	—	06-17 09:22
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	04-16 14:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	11	$30	44	44	+0	open	—	04-25 01:13
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	17	$27	116	94	+22	open	—	06-25 07:44
nhl van sj 2026 04 11	8	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	04-12 04:04
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	8	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	05-24 00:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	11	$25	27	27	+0	open	—	06-30 11:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	11	$25	30	30	+0	open	—	04-22 12:56
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	7	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	06-25 14:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 06:09:43	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x7056dc…
07-01 03:10:26	Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xacd9c2…
07-01 03:10:10	will the odyssey be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	No	SELL	26	12¢	$3	0x46d64e…
06-30 12:36:08	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x9eff5e…
06-30 12:36:05	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xa177f6…
06-30 12:36:01	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x4df86b…
06-30 12:35:55	will russia capture stavky by july 31	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x0d0b33…
06-30 12:01:50	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe1ab67…
06-30 12:01:47	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x202c3a…
06-30 12:01:46	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2a8f79…
06-30 12:01:41	Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x19c880…
06-30 12:01:37	Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xeebf77…
06-30 12:01:28	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x56a25b…
06-30 12:01:23	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x37d6ac…
06-30 12:01:17	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x940cf5…
06-30 12:01:13	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3b4ed7…
06-30 12:01:10	spacex vs tesla higher valuation on june 30	SpaceX	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdc4f96…
06-30 12:01:08	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9a1105…
06-30 12:01:05	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x473e72…
06-30 12:01:01	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x146261…
06-30 12:00:58	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xf8ee38…
06-30 12:00:53	Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xb2c14f…
06-30 12:00:50	Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xc9ad9d…
06-30 12:00:49	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xfce836…
06-30 12:00:46	Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x9c50bb…
06-30 12:00:44	Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x0bf38e…
06-30 12:00:41	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9ef17c…
06-30 12:00:34	Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x07e301…
06-30 12:00:19	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf3dad2…
06-30 12:00:17	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xd84883…
06-30 12:00:16	nick fuentes arrested by june 30	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbd4814…
06-30 12:00:13	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x8e2c21…
06-30 12:00:07	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x183905…
06-30 12:00:04	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xba4509…
06-30 12:00:02	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xad0c00…
06-30 11:59:59	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x0ab470…
06-30 11:59:58	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x7e8d24…
06-30 11:59:50	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0xd03a83…
06-30 11:59:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xaa7eda…
06-30 11:59:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x9aac76…
06-30 11:59:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x5f2af6…
06-30 11:59:41	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0xdf8512…
06-30 11:59:37	another pandemic before gta vi	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0xc163cf…
06-30 11:59:35	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x177607…
06-30 11:59:34	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x7cdc3d…
06-30 11:59:28	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xae0d8a…
06-30 11:59:25	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x1ffc56…
06-30 11:59:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x50134f…
06-30 11:59:16	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0x60b1a4…
06-30 11:59:13	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x26436e…
06-30 11:59:10	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x4d1ffd…
06-30 11:59:07	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	12	54¢	$7	0x584d53…
06-30 11:59:05	will trump speak to elon musk in june	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x615c93…
06-30 11:58:59	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x2b8b0c…
06-30 11:58:58	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x4b9387…
06-30 11:58:56	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x881cc1…
06-30 11:58:44	will russia capture stavky by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x8b11fc…
06-30 11:58:40	Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xfb20fc…
06-30 11:58:34	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0xdc9dbf…
06-30 11:58:26	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	27	6¢	$1	0xc07ad4…
06-29 01:32:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0xfc6817…
06-28 01:54:28	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x364e8c…
06-27 18:02:17	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x976b77…
06-27 14:07:10	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc2c9c4…
06-27 12:28:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x87d111…
06-27 12:15:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xce6351…
06-27 12:15:53	will russia capture stavky by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xd51bda…
06-27 12:03:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xf2a22a…
06-27 01:35:02	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbd8b99…
06-27 01:10:02	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfc0f3b…
06-27 00:03:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x45f027…
06-26 23:00:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xfeffb4…
06-26 21:03:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$1	0x3271a5…
06-26 20:49:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xac3dfd…
06-26 18:15:19	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x0cb6c1…
06-26 18:02:38	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x8c52bc…
06-26 17:49:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xc22fcb…
06-26 17:12:01	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x19768e…
06-26 14:43:41	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xc31d2f…
06-26 14:02:42	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x182171…
06-26 12:25:10	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x419d10…
06-26 11:59:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x9533d0…
06-26 11:47:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xfeb169…
06-26 08:12:44	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4928e5…
06-26 04:53:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xd59991…
06-26 04:30:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x576171…
06-26 03:08:47	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xa53d73…
06-26 02:55:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x966199…
06-26 01:16:49	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2fca96…
06-26 01:04:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x0ac463…
06-26 00:39:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfe7d05…
06-25 22:47:41	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x220d8b…
06-25 20:13:08	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x52fa01…
06-25 16:45:38	will spy dip to 725 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xebee22…
06-25 16:10:20	will spy dip to 725 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xd7a813…
06-25 14:44:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x6a28fc…
06-25 14:31:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xaf7fd3…
06-25 14:18:05	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x909170…
06-25 14:04:32	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xc5b09c…
06-25 11:34:46	will russia enter myrne by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x956043…