Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
51.4%
Resolved
46
Trades
1,683
lifetime
Volume
$3.84K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$48
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 07-03 06:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
49% 0% $-7
Other
41% 43% $-6
Sports
8% 53% $-0
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -17 $-10 64¢ $-11 $-1 06-07 22:51
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No -16 $-6 48¢ $-8 $-2 06-30 11:58
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -12 $-7 64¢ $-8 $-1 06-30 12:36
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 74¢ $-6 $-0 06-05 14:23
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -2 $-1 74¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:00
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1 $-1 80¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:00
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -1 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:00
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:01
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:01
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 16:04
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 08:07
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:01
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes -1 $-1 80¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 12:00
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +2 $1 46¢ $1 $-0 06-05 13:59
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -1 $0 57¢ $-1 $-1 06-30 12:36
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-30 11:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 14:54
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +4 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-05 14:00
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -7 $-0 $-1 $-0 06-30 11:58
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-1 11¢ $-0 +$0 06-24 17:32
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +0 $-3 83¢ $0 +$3 06-30 11:59