Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
53.0%
Resolved
583
Trades
2,419
lifetime
Volume
$5.24K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$28
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 09-17 06:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Politics
48% 51% +$104
Other
40% 43% -$163
Sports
9% 44% +$33
Tech
1% 60% +$13
Crypto
1% 50% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -10 -$6 86¢ $-9 -$2 06-05 14:23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$6 96¢ $-7 -$1 05-03 06:21
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -2 -$1 66¢ $-2 $0 05-06 05:29
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -2 -$1 78¢ $-2 -$1 05-06 05:29
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2 $1 44¢ $1 +$0 05-18 06:33
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +62 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 06-28 06:54
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 05-18 06:34
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $0 05-18 06:33
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 05-18 06:33
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $0 05-18 06:34
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes -1 -$1 75¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 12:00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 85¢ $1 $0 05-18 06:33
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +34 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 05-03 07:07
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 -$1 5¢ $-0 +$0 06-24 17:32
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +4 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-05 14:00
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +0 -$3 90¢ $0 +$3 06-30 11:59
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +20 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-25 13:33