Hungry-Flan 0xb25f6a…fd4724
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Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
51.4%
Resolved
46
Trades
1,278
lifetime
Volume
$2.92K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$120
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-10 00:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
50% 0% $-7
Other
38% 43% $-6
Sports
10% 53% $-0
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -17 $-10 54¢ $-9 +$1 06-07 22:51
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +8 $6 82¢ $6 +$0 06-06 02:28
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +8 $6 80¢ $6 +$1 06-07 00:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 72¢ $-6 +$0 06-05 14:23
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-03 05:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +7 $4 79¢ $5 +$1 06-07 22:51
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 05-28 20:31
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-05 16:09
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $6 55¢ $5 $-1 06-03 06:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +8 $6 60¢ $5 $-1 05-29 01:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 23:48
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-05 13:58
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +15 $4 27¢ $4 +$0 06-05 13:57
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 06-10 00:51
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? Yes +12 $5 32¢ $4 $-1 06-02 11:30
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 75¢ $4 +$0 06-07 13:45
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-4 24¢ $-4 +$1 06-02 23:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 06-05 13:58
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 06-05 13:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -5 $-1 76¢ $-3 $-3 06-08 04:17
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 63¢ $3 +$0 06-08 12:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 $-0 06-10 06:40
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +5 $3 61¢ $3 +$0 06-07 01:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes +7 $4 40¢ $3 $-1 05-28 15:39
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No +4 $3 71¢ $3 +$0 06-05 13:59
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +37 $4 6¢ $2 $-2 06-05 14:23
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 22¢ $2 $-0 06-10 01:45
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +4 $1 29¢ $1 +$0 06-05 14:00
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 06-09 10:09
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 06-05 13:58