Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
51.4%
Resolved
46
Trades
1,680
lifetime
Volume
$3.83K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$65
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-30 12:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
49% 0% $-7
Other
41% 43% $-6
Sports
8% 53% $-0
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -17 $-10 56¢ $-9 +$1 06-07 22:51
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -12 $-7 60¢ $-7 $-0 06-30 12:36
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-1 06-05 14:23
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No -16 $-6 40¢ $-7 $-0 06-30 11:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-4 100¢ $-5 $-1 06-02 23:48
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -5 $-1 100¢ $-5 $-4 06-08 04:17
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 09:34
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -2 $-1 70¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:00
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -1 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:00
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-26 08:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 13:10
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:01
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1 $-1 73¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 12:00
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:01
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes -1 $-1 83¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 16:04
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 08:07
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:01
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-12 11:31
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 00:30
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:01
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -1 $-1 85¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:01
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-12 11:31
Trump out as President by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 12:01
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 12:01
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 12:01
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 12:01
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 10¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 11:58
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-1 22¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 17:32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 14:54