Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
356
lifetime
Volume
$398
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$29
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 05-31 01:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
85% 0% $-5
Other
14% 0% $-1
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +2 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 05-30 21:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:44
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:44
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:44
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2 $-1 82¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:45
Trump out as President before 2027? No -2 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:45
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-30 21:13
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:46
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 +$0 05-30 08:45
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:45
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:47
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:46
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:47
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 05-31 01:40
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 05-31 00:40
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 05-30 10:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:47
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -1 $-1 82¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:47
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -1 $-1 78¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 08:47
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No -12 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-30 08:49