Will Mike Cubbard win the 2026 Galway West by-election?
open
Total volume
$472
$86 in 24h
Trades
95
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$4,750
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2027-03-31
First seen
2026-02-26
last 04-27 11:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $29
vs crowd: 10% YES on $445)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $3 | $340 | $337 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $5 | $17 | $12 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $2 | $27 | $24 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $33 | $18 | +$15 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $29 | $29 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $4 | $39 | $35 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $2 | $24 | $22 |
| Median | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| Below median | 6 | $1 | $22 | $20 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $3 | $4 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | $8 | $8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | — | $263 | $263 |
| unranked | 1 | $33 | — | +$33 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | +362 | $33 | $33 | 18 | 04-27 08:04 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +239 | $235 | $235 | 3 | 04-15 17:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-10 22:46 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +55 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-10 22:46 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +55 | $2 | $2 | 8 | 03-27 01:31 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +36 | $29 | $29 | 6 | 04-27 08:04 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +24 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 04-08 21:39 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 04-27 11:53 |
| Ill-Diving 0x5fdd…2132 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 03-27 01:27 |
| Comfortable-Chard 0x0999…dd96 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 04-08 21:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-27 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xe51f…3b96 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 03-16 20:45 |
| Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 03-27 01:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x6586…497c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 03-27 00:57 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 04-08 21:52 |
| Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 03-27 01:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xe6bd…0f6d | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 04-08 21:39 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 04-27 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 03-27 01:31 |
| Nifty-Receptor 0x0800…ceb0 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 04-16 08:50 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +4 | $-3 | $4 | 6 | 04-22 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b54…5eff | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-26 10:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xb939…81b8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-26 10:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 11:57:42 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x713292… |
| 04-27 11:57:42 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x713292… |
| 04-27 11:53:56 | Same-Diner 0xfd45…c05e | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x899327… |
| 04-27 11:53:56 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x899327… |
| 04-27 11:53:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x899327… |
| 04-27 08:04:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x03e552… |
| 04-27 08:04:06 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x03e552… |
| 04-26 21:44:18 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xa3c6d1… |
| 04-26 21:44:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xa3c6d1… |
| 04-26 19:57:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xbc49fe… |
| 04-26 19:57:06 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xbc49fe… |
| 04-26 19:52:54 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x074c12… |
| 04-26 19:52:54 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x074c12… |
| 04-23 10:23:42 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x7e02d7… |
| 04-23 10:23:42 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x7e02d7… |
| 04-23 10:23:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x7e02d7… |
| 04-22 14:28:24 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xd989ce… |
| 04-22 14:28:24 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xd989ce… |
| 04-22 14:24:12 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xf0d661… |
| 04-22 14:24:12 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | SELL | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xf0d661… |
| 04-22 14:16:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x11664b… |
| 04-22 14:16:28 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x11664b… |
| 04-20 11:04:14 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xb25aaf… |
| 04-20 11:04:14 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xb25aaf… |
| 04-18 10:10:52 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0x4b5411… |
| 04-18 10:10:52 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x4b5411… |
| 04-18 08:37:56 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x4f43bb… |
| 04-18 08:37:56 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x4f43bb… |
| 04-17 09:35:10 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x25cc5b… |
| 04-17 09:35:10 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x25cc5b… |
| 04-16 14:51:36 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xb2d343… |
| 04-16 14:51:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xb2d343… |
| 04-16 08:50:30 | Nifty-Receptor 0x0800…ceb0 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x378647… |
| 04-16 08:50:30 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x378647… |
| 04-15 17:40:46 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | SELL | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe91f54… |
| 04-15 17:40:46 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xe91f54… |
| 04-15 17:40:46 | Same-Diner 0xfd45…c05e | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xe91f54… |
| 04-15 17:40:46 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 45 | 96¢ | $43 | 0xe91f54… |
| 04-15 17:40:46 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe91f54… |
| 04-15 17:21:02 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xd8e49c… |
| 04-15 17:21:02 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xd8e49c… |
| 04-15 17:16:36 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc64d03… |
| 04-15 17:16:36 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc64d03… |
| 04-15 17:16:36 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc64d03… |
| 04-13 22:28:59 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeafa85… |
| 04-13 22:28:59 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeafa85… |
| 04-13 20:43:15 | Black-University 0x0044…cb2c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x586064… |
| 04-13 20:43:15 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x586064… |
| 04-10 22:46:27 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 155 | 99¢ | $153 | 0x333615… |
| 04-10 22:46:27 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 55 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x333615… |
| 04-10 22:46:27 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x333615… |
| 04-10 12:25:31 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xba5515… |
| 04-10 12:25:31 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 39 | 96¢ | $38 | 0xba5515… |
| 04-10 12:25:31 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xba5515… |
| 04-10 12:25:31 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xba5515… |
| 04-08 21:52:23 | Black-University 0x0044…cb2c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x4d2059… |
| 04-08 21:52:23 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x4d2059… |
| 04-08 21:52:13 | Black-University 0x0044…cb2c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x4fb317… |
| 04-08 21:52:13 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x4fb317… |
| 04-08 21:39:05 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf92f32… |
| 04-08 21:39:05 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x78e41e… |
| 04-08 21:39:05 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xf92f32… |
| 04-08 21:39:05 | (anonymous) 0xe6bd…0f6d | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x78e41e… |
| 04-08 21:39:03 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x2d1cd2… |
| 04-08 21:39:03 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2d1cd2… |
| 04-08 21:38:59 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf01fad… |
| 04-08 21:38:59 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x469c05… |
| 04-08 21:38:59 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5f2f8b… |
| 04-08 21:38:59 | (anonymous) 0xe6bd…0f6d | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xf01fad… |
| 04-08 21:38:59 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x5f2f8b… |
| 04-08 21:38:59 | (anonymous) 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x469c05… |
| 04-08 21:38:51 | Comfortable-Chard 0x0999…dd96 | No | BUY | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x9524f1… |
| 04-08 21:38:51 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9524f1… |
| 04-01 22:34:27 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x3a91b6… |
| 04-01 22:34:27 | Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x3a91b6… |
| 04-01 22:34:27 | Quarterly-Roast 0x98ff…0196 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x3a91b6… |
| 03-27 01:31:49 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4ca895… |
| 03-27 01:31:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf52f0b… |
| 03-27 01:31:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4ca895… |
| 03-27 01:31:49 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xf52f0b… |
| 03-27 01:27:51 | Ill-Diving 0x5fdd…2132 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x8a6f80… |
| 03-27 01:27:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8a6f80… |
| 03-27 01:27:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6e1ef9… |
| 03-27 01:27:49 | Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x6e1ef9… |
| 03-27 00:58:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xae5666… |
| 03-27 00:58:13 | Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xae5666… |
| 03-27 00:57:41 | Ill-Diving 0x5fdd…2132 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x7dc394… |
| 03-27 00:57:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7dc394… |
| 03-27 00:57:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc8e2e1… |
| 03-27 00:57:41 | (anonymous) 0x6586…497c | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xc8e2e1… |
| 03-16 20:45:21 | (anonymous) 0xe51f…3b96 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xa156a3… |
| 03-16 20:45:21 | Sweltering-Policy 0xe1d2…0ecf | Yes | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa156a3… |
| 03-16 20:45:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa156a3… |
| 02-26 10:48:22 | (anonymous) 0xb939…81b8 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xfaf657… |
| 02-26 10:48:22 | (anonymous) 0x0b54…5eff | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfaf657… |