Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 18 be between 85 and 90?
open
Total volume
$2,277
$137 in 24h
Trades
64
Unique wallets
46
Liquidity
$2,504
Latest YES mid
97¢
Latest NO mid
3¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-14 15:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 44 | $2.2K | $12 | +$2.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Median | 7 | $2.2K | — | +$2.2K |
| Below median | 19 | $15 | $1 | +$14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| unranked | 15 | $14 | $8 | +$6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | Yes | +2,254 | $2,200 | $2,200 | 2 | 05-11 13:56 |
| Frozen-Sherbet 0xe155…2aec | No | +207 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 21:01 |
| Neighboring-Prior 0x9a0d…c5e9 | No | +78 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:50 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 09:06 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +40 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 05-13 19:48 |
| Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | No | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:00 |
| Impossible-Julienne 0xf823…49e0 | No | +28 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 13:14 |
| Glum-Windchime 0x38f0…cf7d | No | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 09:25 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-13 19:48 |
| Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 03:03 |
| Cheerful-Ladybug 0xa136…2965 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:56 |
| Alert-Arrival 0x040f…1504 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:18 |
| Unfit-Hay 0xc094…b341 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:18 |
| Free-Chip 0xd1e1…cc4a | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:18 |
| Offbeat-Wilderness 0x894c…f9f5 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:18 |
| Stupendous-Hemp 0x8768…4bb1 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:18 |
| Darling-Eligibility 0x0812…1e19 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:18 |
| Equatorial-Forager 0xa0af…c1ca | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:47 |
| Smug-Jockey 0xf2de…3835 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:47 |
| Disastrous-Familiar 0x62ac…43ed | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:48 |
| Sudden-Reliability 0xb98b…392c | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:47 |
| Vigorous-Poppy 0x0d40…192b | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:48 |
| Soupy-Granny 0x9b2f…3ddd | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:08 |
| Warlike-Wholesaler 0xe9a4…d04e | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:08 |
| Severe-Raiment 0xcbaa…4ea3 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:08 |
| Well-Worn-Cashier 0xd9c4…4e2f | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:08 |
| Authentic-Retrospective 0x1aac…80a0 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 15:59:10 | Considerate-Trapdoor 0x6936…cde3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf0bc84… |
| 05-14 04:50:29 | Neighboring-Prior 0x9a0d…c5e9 | No | BUY | 78 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x001afd… |
| 05-13 19:48:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1092c5… |
| 05-13 19:48:15 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3a1a89… |
| 05-13 03:03:42 | Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x62ff2c… |
| 05-13 00:08:35 | Soupy-Granny 0x9b2f…3ddd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd08283… |
| 05-13 00:08:33 | Severe-Raiment 0xcbaa…4ea3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x75dbb5… |
| 05-13 00:08:31 | Authentic-Retrospective 0x1aac…80a0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x041d9b… |
| 05-13 00:08:28 | Well-Worn-Cashier 0xd9c4…4e2f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x3b6c7a… |
| 05-13 00:08:28 | Warlike-Wholesaler 0xe9a4…d04e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc5ff64… |
| 05-11 14:04:05 | Frayed-Teepee 0xa068…1dfb | No | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8335ab… |
| 05-11 14:03:12 | Frayed-Teepee 0xa068…1dfb | No | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcfc468… |
| 05-11 14:02:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc2bdaa… |
| 05-11 14:02:13 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaa6716… |
| 05-11 14:01:55 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8af01a… |
| 05-11 13:56:00 | Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | Yes | BUY | 1,643 | 97¢ | $1,600 | 0x58b19e… |
| 05-11 13:14:33 | Impossible-Julienne 0xf823…49e0 | No | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5d642d… |
| 05-11 10:42:13 | Frank-Steel 0x6c83…ea52 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x86e6fd… |
| 05-11 10:42:13 | Sarcastic-Level 0x6559…bbb7 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x92cd19… |
| 05-11 10:42:10 | Free-Tent 0x4aa5…0de9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1850af… |
| 05-11 10:42:08 | Dead-Meander 0x758d…d822 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x9431c2… |
| 05-11 10:41:26 | Liquid-Bun 0x936c…daa1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x856eaa… |
| 05-11 10:41:24 | Agitated-Office 0x022d…ab31 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf726ee… |
| 05-11 10:41:21 | Safe-Pain 0x2522…9714 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8d325f… |
| 05-11 10:41:21 | Lone-Start 0x421d…29bd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8b4d4f… |
| 05-11 10:41:19 | Silver-Mound 0x4b9c…dc95 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x338982… |
| 05-11 10:41:17 | Spotted-Reservoir 0x068e…0b4f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x7c8a60… |
| 05-11 10:36:14 | Agitated-Office 0x022d…ab31 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x9409c2… |
| 05-11 10:35:57 | Frank-Steel 0x6c83…ea52 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb28636… |
| 05-11 10:35:57 | Dead-Meander 0x758d…d822 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7e9216… |
| 05-11 10:35:57 | Safe-Pain 0x2522…9714 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7765dd… |
| 05-11 10:35:48 | Spotted-Reservoir 0x068e…0b4f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x1a9a57… |
| 05-11 10:35:36 | Sarcastic-Level 0x6559…bbb7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x6b497a… |
| 05-11 10:35:34 | Liquid-Bun 0x936c…daa1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x98fc11… |
| 05-11 10:35:31 | Lone-Start 0x421d…29bd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x36865d… |
| 05-11 10:35:31 | Free-Tent 0x4aa5…0de9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x89ec25… |
| 05-11 10:35:31 | Silver-Mound 0x4b9c…dc95 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa6e6a0… |
| 05-11 06:18:49 | Practical-Leveret 0x7540…c809 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x51023d… |
| 05-11 06:18:47 | Tight-Immigration 0x8d9e…4b07 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x16328c… |
| 05-11 04:48:12 | Practical-Leveret 0x7540…c809 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x03b1fe… |
| 05-11 04:48:12 | Vigorous-Poppy 0x0d40…192b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5b8d1a… |
| 05-11 04:48:08 | Tight-Immigration 0x8d9e…4b07 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0579e4… |
| 05-11 04:48:06 | Disastrous-Familiar 0x62ac…43ed | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3a0c4f… |
| 05-11 04:47:56 | Sudden-Reliability 0xb98b…392c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x28dd8c… |
| 05-11 04:47:52 | Smug-Jockey 0xf2de…3835 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xfef102… |
| 05-11 04:47:45 | Equatorial-Forager 0xa0af…c1ca | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x7a2ef3… |
| 05-11 02:34:30 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x53cc92… |
| 05-10 21:01:32 | Frozen-Sherbet 0xe155…2aec | No | BUY | 207 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xc42df2… |
| 05-10 19:39:04 | Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | Yes | BUY | 610 | 98¢ | $600 | 0x4fd538… |
| 05-10 12:00:27 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | No | BUY | 34 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe53683… |
| 05-10 09:06:51 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x243eff… |
| 05-10 08:56:21 | Cheerful-Ladybug 0xa136…2965 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x7009b0… |
| 05-10 08:03:36 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xd6ddee… |
| 05-09 09:25:09 | Glum-Windchime 0x38f0…cf7d | No | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x7e13b0… |
| 05-09 03:38:52 | Negative-Hydrolyze 0xfcef…864f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x68e177… |
| 05-09 03:36:05 | Chilly-Keystone 0xc33b…4995 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x246b0f… |
| 05-09 03:35:58 | Elastic-Ladybug 0x78e4…a906 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa235dc… |
| 05-09 03:35:53 | Private-Parliament 0xe3e4…5f62 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x00a02a… |
| 05-09 03:18:35 | Offbeat-Wilderness 0x894c…f9f5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x3b92d2… |
| 05-09 03:18:25 | Stupendous-Hemp 0x8768…4bb1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x073c4b… |
| 05-09 03:18:16 | Darling-Eligibility 0x0812…1e19 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x2cd4fc… |
| 05-09 03:18:13 | Unfit-Hay 0xc094…b341 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x1cec2d… |
| 05-09 03:18:04 | Alert-Arrival 0x040f…1504 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x55d024… |
| 05-09 03:18:04 | Free-Chip 0xd1e1…cc4a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x8fb75c… |