Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$770
$116 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$715
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 04:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $305 | $305 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $2 | $319 | $316 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $70 | $70 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $54 | $54 |
| Median | 10 | — | $239 | $239 |
| Below median | 7 | $1 | $196 | $195 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $74 | $74 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extra-Small-Thermals 0x8842…023c | Yes | +149 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 15:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | +85 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 05-15 13:04 |
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +76 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-15 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | +74 | $74 | $74 | 2 | 05-15 11:25 |
| Equatorial-Bridge 0x6a8b…f42d | No | +72 | $72 | $97 | 2 | 05-16 04:21 |
| Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | +61 | $60 | $60 | 12 | 05-14 21:02 |
| Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | +55 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-14 05:50 |
| Cold-Hog 0x81a6…070f | Yes | +53 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 16:36 |
| Horrible-Hoof 0x8337…2827 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-16 04:09 |
| Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-16 04:44 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-16 00:45 |
| Ironclad-Tog 0xa26b…b683 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-16 03:49 |
| Stimulating-Capacity 0xca7f…0fd6 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-16 00:15 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 22:40 |
| Hungry-Labor 0x7dc6…b32c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 19:17 |
| Grounded-Destruction 0x6ecc…e381 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 00:07 |
| Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 03:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 03:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 04:44:13 | Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xcde587… |
| 05-16 04:21:00 | Equatorial-Bridge 0x6a8b…f42d | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x2cd5e1… |
| 05-16 04:15:56 | Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x81158e… |
| 05-16 04:09:20 | Horrible-Hoof 0x8337…2827 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xaff084… |
| 05-16 04:01:03 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 121 | 100¢ | $121 | 0xeeb0cc… |
| 05-16 04:00:48 | Equatorial-Bridge 0x6a8b…f42d | No | BUY | 85 | 100¢ | $85 | 0xe96fbd… |
| 05-16 03:49:13 | Ironclad-Tog 0xa26b…b683 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x0e9a71… |
| 05-16 03:49:08 | Vain-Trek 0xf1ce…90a5 | Yes | SELL | 160 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x11f226… |
| 05-16 02:54:04 | Bleak-Perception 0x6c9f…8e7d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5be6e0… |
| 05-16 00:45:47 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xb4cacf… |
| 05-16 00:15:41 | Stimulating-Capacity 0xca7f…0fd6 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xdf20c5… |
| 05-15 15:01:47 | Extra-Small-Thermals 0x8842…023c | Yes | BUY | 149 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x47f19b… |
| 05-15 13:04:21 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe071bc… |
| 05-15 12:59:45 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $80 | 0x7e1521… |
| 05-15 11:25:17 | (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0x48bc35… |
| 05-15 10:20:04 | (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | BUY | 47 | 100¢ | $47 | 0xd27f02… |
| 05-15 03:10:30 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x69ec3f… |
| 05-15 03:10:28 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x759882… |
| 05-15 01:18:16 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 76 | 99¢ | $76 | 0x71a816… |
| 05-15 00:12:59 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x235289… |
| 05-15 00:07:42 | Grounded-Destruction 0x6ecc…e381 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc302a6… |
| 05-14 22:40:21 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7c57f7… |
| 05-14 22:40:19 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x66d6d5… |
| 05-14 21:02:39 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2ed005… |
| 05-14 21:02:37 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9a2e8b… |
| 05-14 21:02:33 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8b479b… |
| 05-14 21:02:30 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3a7046… |
| 05-14 21:02:26 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x290613… |
| 05-14 21:02:25 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x25012e… |
| 05-14 21:02:21 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7cac8d… |
| 05-14 21:02:18 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2b4784… |
| 05-14 21:02:14 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3d137e… |
| 05-14 21:02:11 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5c22ed… |
| 05-14 21:02:07 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x555f92… |
| 05-14 21:02:05 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x71e93f… |
| 05-14 19:57:36 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8f3c6d… |
| 05-14 19:17:35 | Hungry-Labor 0x7dc6…b32c | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xca682b… |
| 05-14 19:16:36 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x11d4ca… |
| 05-14 18:57:07 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xa94a0d… |
| 05-14 16:36:39 | Cold-Hog 0x81a6…070f | Yes | BUY | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x02eef8… |
| 05-14 05:50:08 | Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | BUY | 55 | 99¢ | $54 | 0xcee0a0… |