Realized P&L
-$28
Unrealized P&L
+$46
Hit rate
93.3%
Resolved
112
Trades
1,713
lifetime
Volume
$58.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$565
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 05-26 14:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Other
58% 65% -$72
Politics
31% 75% +$15
Sports
10% 70% +$24
Crypto
1% 46% -$1
Tech
0% 100% +$6
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-26).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -118 -$109 96¢ $-113 -$4 05-26 14:40
Human moon landing in 2026? No -100 -$97 99¢ $-99 -$2 05-26 13:37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -56 -$50 98¢ $-55 -$4 05-26 14:40
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -54 -$50 97¢ $-53 -$2 05-26 13:45
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -52 -$51 99¢ $-51 -$1 05-26 13:44
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No -52 -$50 98¢ $-51 -$1 05-26 13:35
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -50 -$46 97¢ $-48 -$2 05-26 13:28
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -30 -$28 99¢ $-30 -$2 05-26 13:24
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -114 -$26 16¢ $-19 +$7 05-18 07:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -18 -$15 96¢ $-17 -$2 05-26 13:23
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No -50 -$45 25¢ $-12 +$33 05-26 13:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -58 -$19 18¢ $-11 +$8 05-26 13:31
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -77 -$11 6¢ $-5 +$6 05-26 13:22
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -38 -$13 4¢ $-2 +$12 05-26 11:15