Severe-Prostacyclin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,562

lifetime

Volume

$51.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-26 13:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$9

Politics

33% — —

Sports

8% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	245	$11.8K	5,993	5,988	+6	open	—	03-18 18:54
trump out as president by march 31	202	$11.5K	5,898	5,844	+54	open	—	03-24 15:29
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	231	$6.6K	3,569	3,368	+201	Yes	+$9	04-27 21:26
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	79	$3.0K	1,542	1,542	+0	open	—	03-01 05:51
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	73	$2.3K	1,203	1,149	+54	open	—	03-24 22:16
another us strike on venezuela by march 31	62	$2.2K	1,210	1,110	+100	open	—	04-02 01:30
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	33	$2.0K	1,016	1,016	+0	open	—	03-18 17:53
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	42	$1.3K	720	668	+52	open	—	02-14 08:13
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	27	$1.3K	663	662	+1	open	—	01-26 18:27
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	33	$1.2K	614	614	+0	open	—	02-05 12:05
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	39	$882	453	453	+0	Yes	+$1	04-27 22:57
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	19	$811	408	408	-0	open	—	03-09 03:11
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	14	$804	407	407	+0	open	—	03-08 00:19
will no one dissent the january fed decision	32	$740	432	318	+115	open	—	01-28 17:33
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	26	$583	326	358	-31	open	—	04-27 13:26
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	31	$556	294	273	+21	open	—	03-10 07:23
Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	13	$393	204	193	+11	open	—	04-28 07:11
Will Broja Iglesias be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	8	$243	122	122	+0	open	—	04-27 11:00
Will Robert Lewandowski be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	6	$212	102	111	-9	open	—	04-27 08:02
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	5	$199	200	0	+200	open	—	04-06 04:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	05-26 12:54
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by march 31 2026	25	$192	144	62	+83	open	—	02-22 18:50
will no one dissent the march fed decision	7	$170	86	86	+0	open	—	03-11 00:25
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$167	84	84	+0	open	—	03-09 14:08
Will Gonzalo Garcia be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	6	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	03-13 03:38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	3	$126	64	64	+0	open	—	05-26 13:43
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$109	65	44	+21	open	—	02-25 20:45
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-01 01:33
bitcoin above 70k on february 8	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	02-08 16:51
will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	7	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	03-29 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 13:43:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$63	0x2666ef…
05-26 12:54:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x98225f…
05-16 00:50:11	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x890e9f…
05-15 23:45:56	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xdabbdc…
05-15 22:30:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xde8fff…
05-15 15:05:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0xd21289…
05-15 13:23:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf6d10f…
04-28 07:11:40	Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x27a253…
04-28 07:10:46	Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xe6f915…
04-27 22:57:12	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xaa41bc…
04-27 21:26:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x261ff5…
04-27 13:26:06	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x264d4e…
04-27 11:29:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x2861e2…
04-27 11:00:36	Will Broja Iglesias be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5252fd…
04-27 11:00:36	Will Broja Iglesias be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x224566…
04-27 08:02:24	Will Robert Lewandowski be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x775cf9…
04-26 20:23:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x5249f5…
04-26 16:29:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x50e07b…
04-26 16:14:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x1d07f2…
04-26 13:05:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x758608…
04-26 13:05:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x44ca4b…
04-26 12:09:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x7bfb90…
04-26 10:28:26	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xb9cead…
04-26 04:56:16	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xf2b515…
04-26 03:55:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x430b8a…
04-26 00:52:12	Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x3613c7…
04-25 20:38:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x80f96f…
04-25 16:26:24	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xeb2b6f…
04-25 10:30:16	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xdb83c5…
04-25 10:04:04	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf3499a…
04-25 09:20:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xa71112…
04-25 08:50:40	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xdb11ff…
04-25 07:02:22	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xaa7e80…
04-25 06:18:10	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x661624…
04-25 05:38:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xd7e703…
04-25 05:38:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x52c80b…
04-25 05:13:18	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd3993c…
04-25 04:56:36	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x594915…
04-25 04:51:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x15311d…
04-25 01:54:40	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x28992a…
04-25 00:01:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x825f74…
04-25 00:00:24	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xbf84a3…
04-24 23:34:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb103f9…
04-24 22:13:10	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf6ec3b…
04-24 20:59:24	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0xdef1ec…
04-24 19:28:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x3222e3…
04-24 16:57:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xa001ac…
04-24 16:30:24	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x8e444e…
04-24 15:58:02	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x09d522…
04-24 15:10:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x928af1…
04-24 14:04:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x8e9af2…
04-23 07:05:24	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x08ea3b…
04-22 21:51:22	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x63b9ba…
04-22 21:13:54	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x05fbe5…
04-22 21:13:44	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x39555d…
04-22 19:47:24	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x43c6ab…
04-22 14:58:44	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf8c730…
04-22 13:20:10	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa7565b…
04-22 07:53:36	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xa66e21…
04-22 01:36:38	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0xfd19fa…
04-21 15:26:06	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x94e679…
04-20 18:35:58	Will Broja Iglesias be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdea6ef…
04-19 11:26:44	Will Broja Iglesias be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7a13fb…
04-19 11:26:44	Will Broja Iglesias be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x534ab7…
04-19 05:19:36	Will Broja Iglesias be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x551bf4…
04-19 04:30:12	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x88a658…
04-19 02:28:16	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x57e2fa…
04-17 22:40:38	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x2a2b57…
04-17 13:37:56	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x25ff8c…
04-17 07:25:38	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xc2de25…
04-16 01:34:44	Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0xda2570…
04-16 00:51:26	Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xd5c0e2…
04-16 00:51:26	Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x57434b…
04-15 18:24:10	Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x913059…
04-15 14:21:18	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0x9ec389…
04-15 11:50:06	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x8a04e9…
04-15 11:48:58	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x8e2726…
04-15 11:47:56	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3282d7…
04-15 11:46:54	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc29e04…
04-15 11:45:52	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x565de6…
04-15 11:44:50	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x858efc…
04-15 11:43:48	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x749c67…
04-15 11:42:48	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf33074…
04-15 11:41:48	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0139a3…
04-15 11:40:42	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xdabd71…
04-15 11:39:38	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7cc688…
04-15 02:27:18	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0x8f3485…
04-14 15:19:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xef62cb…
04-14 14:22:43	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x78a0ae…
04-14 14:22:19	Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x9af525…
04-14 14:11:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x10f843…
04-14 13:49:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	39	95¢	$38	0x6ef1f3…
04-14 12:33:53	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x29812d…
04-14 12:20:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0xa9369a…
04-14 07:40:57	Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x0eeb62…
04-13 19:53:55	Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xe094a0…
04-13 19:30:59	Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x08c64f…
04-13 17:50:39	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x161a54…
04-13 10:27:13	Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xdda45e…
04-12 21:04:07	Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xbea0d7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	62	$7.54K	2,212	05-24 07:30
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	59	$27.8K	12,415	04-19 01:19
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	49	$29.4K	447	05-22 06:51
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	42	$2.40M	16,892	04-28 04:32
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	42	$194.4K	3,060	04-27 13:05
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	42	$1.06K	473	03-27 18:41
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	41	$281.7K	11,559	04-13 16:13
Vivid-Macrofauna 0x63d4…a2f1	40	$736.0K	2,897	03-25 14:29