Mortified-Grey 0xff57ce…9656d1
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
44.3%
Resolved (90d)
6
Trades (90d)
23
23 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$440
$440 lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$450
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-14 18:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
82% 60% +$4
Crypto
16% — —
Politics
2% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 14? No +124 $69 100¢ $124 +$54 05-14 16:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? No -88 $-86 99¢ $-87 $-1 05-11 21:08
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14? No +50 $40 100¢ $50 +$10 05-14 17:26
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? No -31 $-23 89¢ $-27 $-5 05-11 21:08
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 05-14 16:46
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw? No +20 $17 100¢ $20 +$3 05-14 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on May 15? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $-0 05-14 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 15? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $-0 05-14 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 15? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 $-0 05-14 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 15? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 $-0 05-14 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 15? No +20 $17 92¢ $18 +$2 05-14 14:01
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day? Yes -19 $-2 34¢ $-7 $-5 05-13 23:06
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? No -6 $-6 99¢ $-6 $-0 05-11 21:08
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-14 18:09
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $-0 05-14 18:09
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 15? No +20 $3 10¢ $2 $-1 05-14 14:04
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? No +50 $36 0¢ $0 $-36 05-14 17:26