Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$1,383
$10 in 24h
Trades
126
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$4,603
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-19 06:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $19
vs crowd: 4% YES on $841)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $3 | $280 | $277 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $12 | $321 | $309 |
| 🐟 Fish | 20 | $10 | $117 | $106 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $12 | $87 | $75 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $8 | $609 | $601 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $3 | $31 | $28 |
| unranked | 21 | $20 | $145 | $125 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | No | +239 | $230 | $230 | 2 | 06-07 19:39 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +90 | $2 | $5 | 12 | 06-17 21:17 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +65 | $2 | $2 | 5 | 06-09 00:47 |
| Aggravating-Schooner 0x373c…367e | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-28 15:33 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +44 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-17 21:17 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +36 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 23:48 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +31 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 06-17 12:43 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 15:33 |
| Another-Layer 0xbd8b…ed0d | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 15:33 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-19 06:44 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-28 03:29 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-08 20:29 |
| Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-12 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 00:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 06:44:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc63ae1… |
| 06-19 06:44:38 | Forthright-Extremist 0xde64…a821 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc63ae1… |
| 06-17 21:17:37 | Forthright-Extremist 0xde64…a821 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1bf964… |
| 06-17 21:17:37 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 41 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1bf964… |
| 06-17 21:17:37 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1bf964… |
| 06-17 21:17:37 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1bf964… |
| 06-17 13:27:41 | (anonymous) 0x9e6e…9f98 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x952ae9… |
| 06-17 13:27:41 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x952ae9… |
| 06-17 12:43:59 | (anonymous) 0xc798…6254 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x50d944… |
| 06-17 12:43:59 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x50d944… |
| 06-17 12:43:58 | (anonymous) 0x608f…9065 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xfb45c9… |
| 06-17 12:43:58 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfb45c9… |
| 06-17 12:43:58 | Insidious-Savior 0xcd20…6159 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x218ea1… |
| 06-17 12:43:58 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x218ea1… |
| 06-17 12:43:56 | (anonymous) 0x608f…9065 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x57f3e4… |
| 06-17 12:43:56 | (anonymous) 0xc798…6254 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x57f3e4… |
| 06-17 12:43:56 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $31 | 0x57f3e4… |
| 06-17 12:43:56 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 111 | 98¢ | $109 | 0x57f3e4… |
| 06-17 12:43:56 | (anonymous) 0x9e6e…9f98 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x57f3e4… |
| 06-17 12:43:56 | Insidious-Savior 0xcd20…6159 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x57f3e4… |
| 06-17 12:42:52 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x544193… |
| 06-17 12:42:52 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 111 | 98¢ | $109 | 0x544193… |
| 06-12 16:16:54 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf47f30… |
| 06-12 16:16:54 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf47f30… |
| 06-12 11:24:34 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x959d53… |
| 06-12 11:24:34 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x959d53… |
| 06-12 11:18:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6d4850… |
| 06-12 11:18:33 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6d4850… |
| 06-12 11:10:06 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfb7f00… |
| 06-12 11:10:06 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfb7f00… |
| 06-12 11:10:03 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7db971… |
| 06-12 11:10:03 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7db971… |
| 06-12 11:06:19 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x63b6c9… |
| 06-12 11:06:19 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x63b6c9… |
| 06-12 11:06:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd96378… |
| 06-12 11:06:15 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd96378… |
| 06-10 23:38:21 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0945f8… |
| 06-10 23:38:21 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0945f8… |
| 06-09 19:44:55 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | No | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xe8dd64… |
| 06-09 19:44:55 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe8dd64… |
| 06-09 14:51:48 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x175eeb… |
| 06-09 14:51:48 | Forthright-Extremist 0xde64…a821 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x175eeb… |
| 06-09 00:48:33 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xdf273d… |
| 06-09 00:48:33 | (anonymous) 0x48b7…6d53 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdf273d… |
| 06-09 00:48:31 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2c76b1… |
| 06-09 00:48:31 | (anonymous) 0xa285…0f24 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2c76b1… |
| 06-09 00:47:58 | (anonymous) 0xaa57…983e | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfb7ff5… |
| 06-09 00:47:58 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xfb7ff5… |
| 06-09 00:47:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x42e5f4… |
| 06-09 00:47:18 | (anonymous) 0xa285…0f24 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x42e5f4… |
| 06-09 00:47:16 | (anonymous) 0x15be…a62f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb07020… |
| 06-09 00:47:16 | (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb07020… |
| 06-09 00:47:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb07020… |
| 06-09 00:47:10 | (anonymous) 0x48b7…6d53 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x31077b… |
| 06-09 00:47:10 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x31077b… |
| 06-09 00:47:06 | (anonymous) 0xaa57…983e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xecb277… |
| 06-09 00:47:06 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xecb277… |
| 06-09 00:47:00 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb0975d… |
| 06-09 00:47:00 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x348bfb… |
| 06-09 00:47:00 | (anonymous) 0xd8df…ec75 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x348bfb… |
| 06-09 00:47:00 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9656fb… |
| 06-09 00:47:00 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x348bfb… |
| 06-09 00:47:00 | Delirious-Way 0x7b89…e155 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb0975d… |
| 06-09 00:47:00 | (anonymous) 0xcbab…ff55 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9656fb… |
| 06-08 20:29:00 | Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd22e28… |
| 06-08 20:29:00 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd22e28… |
| 06-08 19:08:39 | Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2dd9a1… |
| 06-08 19:08:39 | Cumbersome-Jogging-Xylophone 0xa9f0…78ba | Yes | SELL | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2dd9a1… |
| 06-08 19:08:24 | (anonymous) 0x15be…a62f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x81a2d1… |
| 06-08 19:08:24 | (anonymous) 0xaa57…983e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x81a2d1… |
| 06-08 19:08:24 | Delirious-Way 0x7b89…e155 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x81a2d1… |
| 06-08 19:08:24 | Forthright-Extremist 0xde64…a821 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x81a2d1… |
| 06-08 19:08:24 | Cumbersome-Jogging-Xylophone 0xa9f0…78ba | Yes | SELL | 180 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x81a2d1… |
| 06-08 19:08:24 | (anonymous) 0xd8df…ec75 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x81a2d1… |
| 06-08 19:08:24 | (anonymous) 0xa285…0f24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x81a2d1… |
| 06-08 19:08:24 | (anonymous) 0xcbab…ff55 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x81a2d1… |
| 06-08 19:08:24 | (anonymous) 0x48b7…6d53 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x81a2d1… |
| 06-08 19:08:24 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x81a2d1… |
| 06-08 18:42:33 | Cumbersome-Jogging-Xylophone 0xa9f0…78ba | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xfbeeaa… |
| 06-08 18:42:33 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xfbeeaa… |
| 06-08 10:14:19 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x359f8e… |
| 06-08 10:14:19 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x359f8e… |
| 06-08 02:20:49 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc220dd… |
| 06-08 02:20:49 | (anonymous) 0xe9f2…5508 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc220dd… |
| 06-08 00:19:51 | Giving-Tendency 0xb9f7…1494 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7b560a… |
| 06-08 00:19:51 | (anonymous) 0xe9f2…5508 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7b560a… |
| 06-08 00:15:22 | (anonymous) 0x4292…a0c2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa0b6f3… |
| 06-08 00:15:22 | Giving-Tendency 0xb9f7…1494 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa0b6f3… |
| 06-07 20:33:52 | (anonymous) 0x4292…a0c2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x039a1c… |
| 06-07 20:33:52 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x039a1c… |
| 06-07 19:58:33 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe7a36d… |
| 06-07 19:58:33 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe7a36d… |
| 06-07 19:39:40 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | No | BUY | 219 | 96¢ | $211 | 0xd3561f… |
| 06-07 19:39:40 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 219 | 96¢ | $211 | 0xd3561f… |
| 06-07 19:39:39 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x3d1f73… |
| 06-07 19:39:39 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x3d1f73… |
| 06-07 19:39:18 | Cumbersome-Jogging-Xylophone 0xa9f0…78ba | Yes | SELL | 66 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x51ca93… |
| 06-07 19:39:18 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x51ca93… |
| 06-07 19:39:18 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x51ca93… |
| 06-07 19:39:18 | Cloudy-Downfall 0x9b20…1a40 | No | SELL | 26 | 97¢ | $25 | 0x51ca93… |