Realized P&L
+$331
Unrealized P&L
-$97
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
2,585
Trades
3,395
lifetime
Volume
$16.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$528
24 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 10-27 11:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
77% 41% -$1
Sports
15% 50% -$58
Politics
7% 19% +$393
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% 83% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +294 $100 34¢ $101 +$1 10-26 07:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +222 $113 44¢ $97 -$16 10-27 08:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +370 $100 24¢ $87 -$13 10-22 06:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +524 $110 16¢ $86 -$24 10-22 06:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +201 $54 24¢ $49 -$4 10-27 12:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $37 36¢ $36 -$1 10-27 12:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +40 $13 31¢ $12 $0 10-27 08:00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +111 $10 8¢ $9 -$1 10-26 12:48
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +36 $10 24¢ $9 -$2 09-11 16:50
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A FaZe +8 $5 100¢ $8 +$3 10-27 10:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +91 $10 6¢ $6 -$4 10-26 06:57
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +83 $10 7¢ $6 -$4 10-26 10:57
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage Spirit +9 $5 55¢ $5 $0 10-27 11:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +77 $10 6¢ $5 -$5 10-22 06:31
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +273 $3 2¢ $4 +$1 10-26 10:57
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +62 $5 3¢ $2 -$3 10-22 06:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +109 $9 1¢ $1 -$7 10-26 12:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? No +109 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 10-26 06:56
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +5 $1 14¢ $1 -$1 09-04 20:42
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +400 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 10-26 10:58
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +4 $1 12¢ $0 $0 08-31 20:13
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +10 $8 3¢ $0 -$8 09-28 08:30
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 09-28 20:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +24 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 09-21 02:38