Will AVAX dip to $7 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$720
Trades
71
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$100
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-08-25
last 10-18 22:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+33.1¢
(top1%: 92% YES on $155
vs crowd: 59% YES on $555)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $193 | $37 | +$156 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $93 | $71 | +$22 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $32 | $109 | $77 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $8 | $14 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $142 | $13 | +$129 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Below median | 3 | $8 | $14 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $25 | $81 | $56 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $43 | $34 | +$8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $107 | $85 | +$22 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +176 | $75 | $75 | 7 | 10-18 22:03 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +139 | $37 | $37 | 7 | 10-16 11:32 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | +68 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 10-16 11:03 |
| Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | No | +48 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 10-16 11:03 |
| Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | +47 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 10-09 01:54 |
| Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 | Yes | +42 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 08-28 05:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | Yes | +40 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 10-16 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | No | +40 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 10-16 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | No | +40 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 10-03 10:06 |
| Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 | No | +21 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-08 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-08 10:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-08 08:34 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-25 10:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | Yes | +17 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-09 01:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-08 15:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-08 15:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | +13 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-08 15:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1cc…fa62 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-08 08:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 22:03:08 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 0 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x88a2f7… |
| 10-18 22:03:08 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | No | SELL | 0 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x88a2f7… |
| 10-18 22:03:08 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x54b2f6… |
| 10-18 22:03:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x54b2f6… |
| 10-16 11:32:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x37ab30… |
| 10-16 11:32:54 | (anonymous) 0x8bef…2bb4 | No | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x37ab30… |
| 10-16 11:03:12 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0xde036e… |
| 10-16 11:03:12 | (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0xde036e… |
| 10-16 11:03:10 | (anonymous) 0x8bef…2bb4 | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x4ab16d… |
| 10-16 11:03:10 | (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x4ab16d… |
| 10-16 11:03:10 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | No | BUY | 28 | 60¢ | $17 | 0x4ab16d… |
| 10-16 11:03:10 | Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 40¢ | $27 | 0x4ab16d… |
| 10-14 09:46:02 | (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x23f174… |
| 10-14 09:46:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x63ce7a… |
| 10-14 09:46:02 | (anonymous) 0xc7ce…fd65 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x23f174… |
| 10-14 09:46:02 | (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x63ce7a… |
| 10-09 01:54:15 | (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x243f47… |
| 10-09 01:54:15 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | BUY | 31 | 65¢ | $20 | 0x243f47… |
| 10-09 01:54:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 36¢ | $6 | 0x243f47… |
| 10-08 15:26:09 | (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | BUY | 13 | 62¢ | $8 | 0x3e5734… |
| 10-08 15:26:09 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 38¢ | $5 | 0x3e5734… |
| 10-08 15:26:08 | Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 38¢ | $5 | 0xd32534… |
| 10-08 15:26:08 | (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | BUY | 13 | 38¢ | $5 | 0xd32534… |
| 10-08 10:04:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0x112197… |
| 10-08 10:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0x112197… |
| 10-08 09:53:09 | (anonymous) 0xc7ce…fd65 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0x9dd5ee… |
| 10-08 09:53:09 | (anonymous) 0x8268…e7fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0x9dd5ee… |
| 10-08 08:34:23 | (anonymous) 0xa1cc…fa62 | No | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x565cec… |
| 10-08 08:34:23 | (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x565cec… |
| 10-08 08:34:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 81 | 39¢ | $32 | 0xec94ee… |
| 10-08 08:34:20 | Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 | No | BUY | 21 | 61¢ | $13 | 0xec94ee… |
| 10-08 08:34:20 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 39¢ | $16 | 0xec94ee… |
| 10-08 08:34:20 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0xec94ee… |
| 10-06 10:02:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x9166a5… |
| 10-06 10:02:30 | (anonymous) 0x8268…e7fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x9166a5… |
| 10-03 10:06:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xde96d0… |
| 10-03 10:06:54 | (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xde96d0… |
| 10-02 08:25:41 | New-Debtor 0xd56d…12a9 | No | SELL | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0xb49943… |
| 10-02 08:25:41 | Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 41¢ | $23 | 0xb49943… |
| 10-02 08:25:41 | Plastic-Adaptation 0x0b1b…be0d | No | SELL | 37 | 62¢ | $23 | 0xb49943… |
| 10-02 08:21:18 | New-Debtor 0xd56d…12a9 | No | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x9108bb… |
| 10-02 08:21:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x9108bb… |
| 10-01 10:35:06 | Plastic-Adaptation 0x0b1b…be0d | No | SELL | 16 | 62¢ | $10 | 0x05fe53… |
| 10-01 10:35:06 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | BUY | 16 | 62¢ | $10 | 0x05fe53… |
| 09-29 14:45:48 | (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0xe2d88d… |
| 09-29 14:45:48 | Plastic-Adaptation 0x0b1b…be0d | No | SELL | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0xe2d88d… |
| 09-29 14:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | SELL | 12 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x9ecd70… |
| 09-29 14:44:08 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 21 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x9ecd70… |
| 09-29 14:44:08 | Plastic-Adaptation 0x0b1b…be0d | No | BUY | 73 | 21¢ | $15 | 0x9ecd70… |
| 09-29 14:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 79¢ | $31 | 0x9ecd70… |
| 09-27 02:48:48 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6b5514… |
| 09-27 02:48:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6b5514… |
| 09-27 02:35:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x91a257… |
| 09-27 02:35:17 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x91a257… |
| 09-06 12:54:12 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x6c6c5a… |
| 09-06 12:54:12 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | SELL | 2 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x6c6c5a… |
| 09-01 23:59:18 | Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 90¢ | $63 | 0x42c4bd… |
| 09-01 23:59:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x42c4bd… |
| 09-01 23:59:18 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x42c4bd… |
| 09-01 23:59:18 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 90¢ | $17 | 0x42c4bd… |
| 09-01 23:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | BUY | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x42c4bd… |
| 08-28 05:19:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 21 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xe41c13… |
| 08-28 05:19:28 | Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 80¢ | $17 | 0xe41c13… |
| 08-28 03:55:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 21 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x843210… |
| 08-28 03:55:12 | Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 80¢ | $17 | 0x843210… |
| 08-25 18:24:45 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x4774ed… |
| 08-25 18:24:45 | Pretty-Index 0xf25b…82d0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x4774ed… |
| 08-25 10:24:42 | Humble-Coevolution 0x2ee8…b108 | No | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe8005c… |
| 08-25 10:24:42 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe8005c… |
| 08-25 10:18:48 | Pretty-Index 0xf25b…82d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xbefb0a… |
| 08-25 10:18:48 | Humble-Coevolution 0x2ee8…b108 | No | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xbefb0a… |