Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,173
$3,556 in 24h
Trades
230
Unique wallets
64
Liquidity
$303,874
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-01-20
last 04-25 09:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.4K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $2.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 23 | $26 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $34 | $10 | +$24 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $28 | $14 | +$14 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $5 | $18 | $12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $2 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $33 | $304 | $272 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $3 | $10 | $7 |
| Median | 7 | $3 | $14 | $11 |
| Below median | 13 | $23 | $27 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $0 | $98 | $98 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $7 | $65 | $58 |
| unranked | 5 | $16 | $18 | $2 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unnatural-Foodstuffs 0xe5c2…cfb5 | Yes | +1,827 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 02-13 03:42 |
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | No | +735 | $687 | $687 | 1 | 01-24 00:40 |
| Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | +659 | $651 | $651 | 10 | 03-05 15:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | +410 | $1 | $1 | 11 | 04-02 11:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6 | Yes | +313 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 02-07 17:16 |
| Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | +209 | $2 | $2 | 7 | 02-13 12:44 |
| Candid-Sneeze 0x8646…ed78 | Yes | +179 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 03-20 16:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xef2a…bd7e | Yes | +143 | $0 | $0 | 10 | 02-12 19:59 |
| Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | Yes | +137 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 01-30 15:42 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +116 | $8 | $8 | 9 | 02-13 18:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fc5…610e | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 5 | 02-18 15:48 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 02-07 17:16 |
| Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a | No | +99 | $98 | $98 | 6 | 02-12 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | No | +98 | $98 | $98 | 4 | 03-04 16:17 |
| Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | +80 | $0 | $0 | 7 | 03-20 21:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x161f…b075 | Yes | +70 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 02-07 17:16 |
| Vivid-Macrofauna 0x63d4…a2f1 | No | +65 | $65 | $65 | 3 | 02-13 16:52 |
| oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c | No | +60 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 01-24 07:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xac89…7096 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 03-20 16:56 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 01-30 22:31 |
| Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 02-15 16:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1584…71b6 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 01-30 15:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 01-30 00:29 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 02-11 07:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x6586…497c | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 02-13 12:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x38fa…d9ca | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-13 12:29 |
| Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 02-13 16:52 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 13:09 |
| Nautical-Licensing 0x76d2…6bfc | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 02-18 15:48 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-20 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xe069…3c17 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 01-30 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd10…06d9 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-18 15:48 |
| Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 01-30 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x4df4…29bf | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 01-25 21:17 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-24 14:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-25 09:04:02 | (anonymous) 0xea0e…345a | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd53755… |
| 04-25 09:04:02 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd53755… |
| 04-24 14:47:18 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc57992… |
| 04-24 14:47:18 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc57992… |
| 04-21 15:36:42 | (anonymous) 0xea0e…345a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d8319… |
| 04-21 15:36:42 | (anonymous) 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d8319… |
| 04-21 15:36:38 | (anonymous) 0xea0e…345a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe9f44c… |
| 04-21 15:36:38 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe9f44c… |
| 04-21 15:07:28 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f3150… |
| 04-21 15:07:28 | (anonymous) 0xea0e…345a | Yes | BUY | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f3150… |
| 04-02 11:16:47 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x364b89… |
| 04-02 11:16:47 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x364b89… |
| 03-27 00:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd50d65… |
| 03-27 00:34:25 | Uniform-Botany 0xf0ed…47d8 | Yes | SELL | 372 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd50d65… |
| 03-20 21:46:27 | Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa1a237… |
| 03-20 21:46:27 | (anonymous) 0xaeb5…50ae | Yes | SELL | 333 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa1a237… |
| 03-20 21:46:27 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 285 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa1a237… |
| 03-20 16:56:31 | (anonymous) 0xac89…7096 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfbc6cc… |
| 03-20 16:56:31 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfbc6cc… |
| 03-20 16:56:31 | Candid-Sneeze 0x8646…ed78 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfbc6cc… |
| 03-18 11:28:01 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d68bf… |
| 03-18 11:28:01 | Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d68bf… |
| 03-18 11:10:11 | Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf569b3… |
| 03-18 11:10:11 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf569b3… |
| 03-12 07:56:19 | (anonymous) 0xf575…6423 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9d53a… |
| 03-12 07:56:19 | Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9d53a… |
| 03-08 09:50:57 | Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d21b… |
| 03-08 09:50:57 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97d21b… |
| 03-08 09:47:19 | Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0bd623… |
| 03-08 09:47:19 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0bd623… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c9e2b… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c9e2b… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb1c05… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb1c05… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xeb1c05… |
| 03-04 16:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5a132… |
| 03-04 16:59:37 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5a132… |
| 03-04 16:21:23 | (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x839d5f… |
| 03-04 16:21:23 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x839d5f… |
| 03-04 16:17:09 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2e5334… |
| 03-04 16:17:09 | (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x2e5334… |
| 03-01 04:55:35 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd6184… |
| 03-01 04:55:35 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd6184… |
| 02-23 08:33:46 | Candid-Sneeze 0x8646…ed78 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbee135… |
| 02-23 08:33:46 | (anonymous) 0xfbf2…887d | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbee135… |
| 02-23 08:18:50 | Candid-Sneeze 0x8646…ed78 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xecc12d… |
| 02-23 08:18:50 | Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xecc12d… |
| 02-23 08:18:50 | (anonymous) 0xf575…6423 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xecc12d… |
| 02-18 15:48:10 | (anonymous) 0xbd10…06d9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a1a16… |
| 02-18 15:48:10 | (anonymous) 0x5fc5…610e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3a1a16… |
| 02-18 15:48:10 | Nautical-Licensing 0x76d2…6bfc | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x3a1a16… |
| 02-17 22:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x5fc5…610e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xff36ae… |
| 02-17 22:34:01 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xff36ae… |
| 02-15 19:35:23 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5e8965… |
| 02-15 19:35:23 | (anonymous) 0x5fc5…610e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5e8965… |
| 02-15 16:51:25 | Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x1eee95… |
| 02-15 16:51:25 | (anonymous) 0x5fc5…610e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1eee95… |
| 02-13 18:59:51 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaf10d7… |
| 02-13 18:59:51 | Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0xaf10d7… |
| 02-13 16:52:47 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x32fa7e… |
| 02-13 16:52:47 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x32fa7e… |
| 02-13 16:52:45 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3e4046… |
| 02-13 16:52:45 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcfc562… |
| 02-13 16:52:45 | Vivid-Macrofauna 0x63d4…a2f1 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xcfc562… |
| 02-13 16:52:45 | Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x3e4046… |
| 02-13 13:29:35 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xee3d18… |
| 02-13 13:29:35 | (anonymous) 0xfbf2…887d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xee3d18… |
| 02-13 13:00:09 | Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x00c3f4… |
| 02-13 13:00:09 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x00c3f4… |
| 02-13 12:44:55 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | SELL | 78 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x917ba3… |
| 02-13 12:44:55 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x917ba3… |
| 02-13 12:43:15 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc6bc2b… |
| 02-13 12:43:15 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc6bc2b… |
| 02-13 12:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x6586…497c | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd30071… |
| 02-13 12:43:13 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x879a53… |
| 02-13 12:43:13 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3db3e4… |
| 02-13 12:43:13 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x879a53… |
| 02-13 12:43:13 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3db3e4… |
| 02-13 12:43:13 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd30071… |
| 02-13 12:42:07 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf8a2f1… |
| 02-13 12:42:07 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf8a2f1… |
| 02-13 12:29:59 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9511d5… |
| 02-13 12:29:59 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…d9ca | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9511d5… |
| 02-13 10:48:21 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf50864… |
| 02-13 10:48:21 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x891c1c… |
| 02-13 10:48:21 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf50864… |
| 02-13 10:48:21 | (anonymous) 0x6586…497c | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x891c1c… |
| 02-13 10:48:19 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x25367c… |
| 02-13 10:48:19 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x25367c… |
| 02-13 03:42:07 | Unnatural-Foodstuffs 0xe5c2…cfb5 | Yes | BUY | 1,827 | 0¢ | $6 | 0xe72b85… |
| 02-13 03:42:07 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | SELL | 849 | 0¢ | $3 | 0xe72b85… |
| 02-13 03:42:07 | Vain-Fairness 0x6814…4d2d | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe72b85… |
| 02-13 03:42:07 | (anonymous) 0x5081…a309 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe72b85… |
| 02-13 03:42:07 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe72b85… |
| 02-13 03:42:07 | (anonymous) 0x6993…c79a | Yes | SELL | 431 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xe72b85… |
| 02-13 03:42:07 | Friendly-Mastoid 0x293b…5d33 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe72b85… |
| 02-13 03:42:07 | (anonymous) 0xfbf2…887d | Yes | SELL | 155 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe72b85… |
| 02-13 03:42:07 | Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | Yes | SELL | 71 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe72b85… |
| 02-12 19:59:31 | Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x5c40e0… |
| 02-12 19:59:31 | (anonymous) 0xef2a…bd7e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c40e0… |