Will Rafael López Aliaga and Wolfgang Grozo advance to the runoff?
open
Total volume
$1,964
Trades
1,021
Unique wallets
91
Liquidity
$8,247
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-04-12
First seen
2026-03-24
last 04-24 17:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $585
vs crowd: 1% YES on $1.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 22 | $7 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $6 | $394 | $388 |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $6 | $57 | $51 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $8 | — | +$8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $1 | $584 | $583 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $5 | $196 | $190 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $2 | $25 | $23 |
| Median | 16 | $3 | $47 | $43 |
| Below median | 15 | $3 | $64 | $62 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $5 | $10 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $3 | $126 | $124 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $1 | $756 | $755 |
| unranked | 7 | $3 | $75 | $72 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | +3,708 | $5 | $5 | 108 | 04-24 17:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xac06…7ec8 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-18 10:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x9706…ba15 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-11 07:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xabfb…5089 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-12 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x34e1…4e12 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-18 10:36 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +900 | $1 | $1 | 76 | 04-24 01:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2dc…8503 | Yes | +680 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 04-04 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xc67f…dac8 | Yes | +615 | $1 | $1 | 123 | 04-11 23:45 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +500 | $0 | $0 | 19 | 04-03 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5a1…3840 | Yes | +474 | $1 | $1 | 29 | 04-11 21:45 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +453 | $451 | $451 | 8 | 04-12 15:40 |
| Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | +395 | $394 | $394 | 14 | 04-07 16:35 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +300 | $0 | $0 | 10 | 04-04 12:33 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | +167 | $0 | $0 | 16 | 04-11 23:37 |
| Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | +151 | $150 | $150 | 6 | 04-03 18:20 |
| Monstrous-Middleman 0x209f…0eb4 | Yes | +111 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 03-31 17:18 |
| Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | +100 | $99 | $99 | 2 | 04-03 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 16 | 03-27 06:05 |
| Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | +90 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 04-04 11:22 |
| Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | +86 | $85 | $85 | 3 | 04-06 13:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xea0e…345a | Yes | +84 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-10 07:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xa574…28dc | No | +75 | $75 | $75 | 13 | 04-08 21:17 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +74 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 04-10 05:13 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +69 | $69 | $69 | 2 | 03-31 17:18 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +62 | $1 | $4 | 12 | 03-29 00:03 |
| Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 03-31 17:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d36…52f7 | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 03-31 17:18 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 04-02 15:32 |
| Violent-Doorway 0x9631…a38c | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-12 18:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | +47 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 04-04 11:23 |
| Bite-Sized-Clerk 0x39fd…849e | No | +46 | $45 | $45 | 5 | 03-31 01:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4cf…78c4 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 03-29 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5686…690a | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 6 | 03-31 17:18 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +29 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 03-27 06:05 |
| Impossible-Architecture 0xa3ad…6866 | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 4 | 04-07 17:06 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-11 23:36 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-04 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa208…2e1b | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 03-30 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x64df…421d | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 03-31 17:18 |
| Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 04-06 13:49 |
| Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 04-06 07:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xafbc…18c6 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 03-24 11:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5562…3b41 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 03-24 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ecc…480a | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-05 00:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-10 07:10 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 03-29 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd73b…d8e4 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 03-30 19:59 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 03-24 08:23 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 03-24 11:20 |
| Lasting-Integral 0xb94f…04d8 | Yes | +6 | $-0 | $0 | 7 | 04-04 17:04 |
| Pristine-Soul 0x5edc…bbad | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 04-03 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-03 18:19 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-07 17:06 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 03-24 07:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e84…d064 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-02 15:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f9e…9ec0 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-03 18:19 |
| Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-02 15:58 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-11 10:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 17:44:08 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ac674… |
| 04-24 17:44:08 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 56 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ac674… |
| 04-24 16:58:48 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c0459… |
| 04-24 16:58:48 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c0459… |
| 04-24 16:58:42 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x07fc84… |
| 04-24 16:58:42 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x07fc84… |
| 04-24 16:57:46 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdde803… |
| 04-24 16:57:46 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdde803… |
| 04-24 01:09:04 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x560555… |
| 04-24 01:09:04 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x560555… |
| 04-24 01:08:18 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc26963… |
| 04-24 01:08:18 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc26963… |
| 04-24 01:07:48 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcdb93b… |
| 04-24 01:07:48 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcdb93b… |
| 04-24 01:07:38 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8fb76… |
| 04-24 01:07:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8fb76… |
| 04-24 01:07:26 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d9def… |
| 04-24 01:07:26 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d9def… |
| 04-24 01:05:10 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xea413b… |
| 04-24 01:05:10 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xea413b… |
| 04-24 01:04:22 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab4de0… |
| 04-24 01:04:22 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab4de0… |
| 04-24 01:03:54 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xed6923… |
| 04-24 01:03:54 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xed6923… |
| 04-24 01:03:34 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52223b… |
| 04-24 01:03:34 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52223b… |
| 04-24 01:03:06 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf6f78… |
| 04-24 01:03:06 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf6f78… |
| 04-24 01:02:36 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2cc384… |
| 04-24 01:02:36 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2cc384… |
| 04-24 01:02:26 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb830d1… |
| 04-24 01:02:26 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb830d1… |
| 04-24 01:02:14 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0844d7… |
| 04-24 01:02:14 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0844d7… |
| 04-24 01:01:42 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a738f… |
| 04-24 01:01:42 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a738f… |
| 04-24 01:01:36 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3394c3… |
| 04-24 01:01:36 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3394c3… |
| 04-24 01:01:08 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c6903… |
| 04-24 01:01:08 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c6903… |
| 04-21 13:24:22 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3de1b7… |
| 04-21 13:24:22 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3de1b7… |
| 04-21 13:23:02 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa5774… |
| 04-21 13:23:02 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa5774… |
| 04-21 10:28:12 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c23a2… |
| 04-21 10:28:12 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19a5bf… |
| 04-21 10:28:12 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19a5bf… |
| 04-21 10:28:12 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c23a2… |
| 04-21 10:27:14 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce8a40… |
| 04-21 10:27:14 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce8a40… |
| 04-21 10:26:56 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d24eb… |
| 04-21 10:26:56 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d24eb… |
| 04-21 07:54:26 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9465aa… |
| 04-21 07:54:26 | (anonymous) 0x611e…b025 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9465aa… |
| 04-21 07:47:48 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0799e9… |
| 04-21 07:47:48 | (anonymous) 0xec4e…4e9e | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0799e9… |
| 04-21 07:37:30 | (anonymous) 0x8f70…a2d1 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7bbc5a… |
| 04-21 07:37:30 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7bbc5a… |
| 04-21 07:28:22 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0fa8d5… |
| 04-21 07:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x0f53…a7ff | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0fa8d5… |
| 04-21 06:53:48 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3fcb2a… |
| 04-21 06:53:48 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3fcb2a… |
| 04-20 13:03:32 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe70fa… |
| 04-20 13:03:32 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe70fa… |
| 04-20 13:02:12 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4666e8… |
| 04-20 13:02:12 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4666e8… |
| 04-20 10:43:58 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x632f42… |
| 04-20 10:43:58 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x632f42… |
| 04-20 09:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x8f81…b938 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf12310… |
| 04-20 09:03:46 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf12310… |
| 04-20 09:02:54 | (anonymous) 0xd9f4…4977 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbcc51f… |
| 04-20 09:02:54 | (anonymous) 0x2e7e…1a20 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa2d169… |
| 04-20 09:02:54 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbcc51f… |
| 04-20 09:02:54 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa2d169… |
| 04-20 07:13:22 | (anonymous) 0x1eef…9f3a | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x21af92… |
| 04-20 07:13:22 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x21af92… |
| 04-20 07:12:54 | (anonymous) 0x3ca9…0176 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc46022… |
| 04-20 07:12:54 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc46022… |
| 04-20 07:12:54 | (anonymous) 0x2038…8307 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0f4ff7… |
| 04-20 07:12:54 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0f4ff7… |
| 04-18 10:36:44 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 211 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe553af… |
| 04-18 10:36:44 | (anonymous) 0x34e1…4e12 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe553af… |
| 04-18 10:36:44 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe553af… |
| 04-18 10:36:36 | (anonymous) 0xac06…7ec8 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x089889… |
| 04-18 10:36:36 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x089889… |
| 04-18 10:36:36 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x089889… |
| 04-15 17:02:44 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad885d… |
| 04-15 17:02:44 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad885d… |
| 04-15 17:01:10 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe28f7b… |
| 04-15 17:01:10 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe28f7b… |
| 04-15 17:01:04 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0e5b4… |
| 04-15 17:01:04 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0e5b4… |
| 04-15 17:01:04 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0e5b4… |
| 04-15 17:00:58 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d34b9… |
| 04-15 17:00:58 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d34b9… |
| 04-15 17:00:46 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2df92e… |
| 04-15 17:00:46 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2df92e… |
| 04-15 17:00:44 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8c721… |
| 04-15 17:00:44 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8c721… |
| 04-15 17:00:44 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8c721… |