Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 8?
Yes won
Total volume
$4,683
Trades
607
Unique wallets
156
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-11-08
First seen
2026-11-06
last 11-09 08:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.0¢
(top1%: 45% YES on $836
vs crowd: 60% YES on $3.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 30 | $934 | $547 | +$388 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 39 | $811 | $593 | +$218 |
| 🐟 Fish | 57 | $371 | $329 | +$42 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $186 | $56 | +$130 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 34 | $378 | $459 | $81 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 36 | $455 | $274 | +$181 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $238 | $32 | +$206 |
| Median | 5 | $20 | $10 | +$10 |
| Below median | 31 | $268 | $156 | +$111 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $553 | $26 | +$526 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $75 | $152 | $77 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $317 | $416 | $100 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | +427 | $427 | $427 | 8 | 11-09 07:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | No | +218 | $115 | $115 | 12 | 11-08 15:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +190 | $80 | $80 | 17 | 11-09 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +189 | $115 | $115 | 18 | 11-09 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xe95f…8e05 | No | +168 | $81 | $122 | 16 | 11-08 23:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9711…8ee7 | Yes | +158 | $72 | $72 | 8 | 11-08 13:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xedbe…84d1 | No | +154 | $76 | $76 | 10 | 11-08 23:57 |
| Sorrowful-Text 0x3dd1…557e | No | +146 | $80 | $80 | 9 | 11-08 22:37 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | +127 | $69 | $69 | 9 | 11-07 03:32 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | +124 | $47 | $47 | 14 | 11-08 23:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb65…2dfc | Yes | +119 | $54 | $54 | 9 | 11-07 22:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c23…7c89 | Yes | +115 | $62 | $62 | 10 | 11-08 22:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xa347…5ba7 | Yes | +110 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 11-08 15:35 |
| Submissive-Obi 0x73e0…e538 | Yes | +110 | $110 | $110 | 2 | 11-09 01:01 |
| Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | No | +105 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 11-07 07:39 |
| Ready-Visitor 0xaa37…d346 | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 4 | 11-09 01:04 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | +97 | $34 | $34 | 9 | 11-08 23:58 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +95 | $52 | $60 | 4 | 11-08 13:58 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +95 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 11-08 13:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x53b9…4b3d | No | +86 | $47 | $47 | 6 | 11-08 23:58 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | +84 | $42 | $42 | 22 | 11-08 22:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x53b9…4b3d | Yes | +75 | $36 | $36 | 10 | 11-08 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0f3…817b | No | +75 | $59 | $59 | 4 | 11-08 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x083b…8a8a | No | +72 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-09 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f7f…759d | Yes | +72 | $32 | $32 | 6 | 11-08 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xedbe…84d1 | Yes | +68 | $39 | $39 | 7 | 11-08 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | No | +61 | $0 | $0 | 7 | 11-09 08:32 |
| Quizzical-Observation 0xd3ed…159e | Yes | +61 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 11-09 00:08 |
| Shrill-Netsuke 0x3f30…f8de | Yes | +60 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 11-08 13:58 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +58 | $91 | $91 | 2 | 11-09 01:33 |
| Fussy-Skylight 0xb226…4163 | Yes | +58 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 11-07 03:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | +56 | $26 | $44 | 5 | 11-08 15:35 |
| Unselfish-Duster 0xb2f5…3a23 | Yes | +55 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 11-09 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d7b…3114 | Yes | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 11-08 23:58 |
| Pessimistic-Hospital 0xcef6…2ade | No | +53 | $29 | $29 | 7 | 11-07 03:32 |
| Grizzled-Beam 0xf84d…5e65 | Yes | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 11-08 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2a5…9ae8 | Yes | +50 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 11-08 07:50 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-09 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | Yes | +50 | -$89 | $363 | 22 | 11-09 02:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | No | +49 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 11-08 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | +47 | $8 | $8 | 7 | 11-09 01:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x298e…ea06 | No | +47 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 11-08 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ffa…cd11 | No | +44 | $19 | $19 | 12 | 11-08 23:59 |
| Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | +44 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 11-09 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x33c8…de24 | No | +42 | $0 | $90 | 10 | 11-08 23:18 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +40 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 11-08 22:45 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +40 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 11-09 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0f3…817b | Yes | +39 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 11-08 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc52…795b | Yes | +39 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-08 04:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ffa…cd11 | Yes | +34 | $15 | $15 | 8 | 11-08 23:57 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +34 | $14 | $14 | 6 | 11-08 22:41 |
| Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | Yes | +34 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 11-08 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | +32 | $17 | $17 | 7 | 11-08 05:02 |
| Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | +31 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 11-09 00:00 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | +31 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 11-07 04:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | No | +30 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 11-06 22:36 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 11-07 23:33 |
| Nutty-Advice 0x3904…539b | No | +30 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 11-08 14:39 |
| Muted-Handball 0x6354…a1c0 | No | +30 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 11-08 23:58 |
| Pure-Behest 0x759d…cc80 | Yes | +30 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 11-07 07:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-09 08:32:25 | (anonymous) 0x3cef…23e0 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x1bb7b9… |
| 11-09 08:32:25 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | No | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1bb7b9… |
| 11-09 07:34:33 | Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | BUY | 95 | 100¢ | $95 | 0x5807a1… |
| 11-09 07:34:33 | (anonymous) 0xafd5…62f3 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 100¢ | $95 | 0x5807a1… |
| 11-09 04:14:31 | (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xb61862… |
| 11-09 04:14:31 | Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xb61862… |
| 11-09 03:57:42 | (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x0284e4… |
| 11-09 03:57:42 | Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x0284e4… |
| 11-09 03:47:16 | Bronze-Optimisation 0xd68a…fdc0 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x7f2500… |
| 11-09 03:47:16 | Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x7f2500… |
| 11-09 02:04:52 | (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xa3663b… |
| 11-09 02:04:52 | Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xa3663b… |
| 11-09 02:02:06 | Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | BUY | 82 | 100¢ | $82 | 0xa463c3… |
| 11-09 02:02:06 | (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | Yes | SELL | 82 | 100¢ | $82 | 0xa463c3… |
| 11-09 01:59:25 | (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | Yes | SELL | 130 | 100¢ | $130 | 0xa6086c… |
| 11-09 01:59:25 | Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | BUY | 130 | 100¢ | $130 | 0xa6086c… |
| 11-09 01:33:30 | Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | BUY | 77 | 100¢ | $77 | 0xed039e… |
| 11-09 01:33:30 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 73 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xed039e… |
| 11-09 01:33:30 | (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0xed039e… |
| 11-09 01:04:12 | (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xaa64d7… |
| 11-09 01:04:12 | Ready-Visitor 0xaa37…d346 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xaa64d7… |
| 11-09 01:03:03 | (anonymous) 0x083b…8a8a | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb38d41… |
| 11-09 01:03:03 | Ready-Visitor 0xaa37…d346 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb38d41… |
| 11-09 01:03:01 | Ready-Visitor 0xaa37…d346 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x9c2336… |
| 11-09 01:03:01 | Ready-Visitor 0xaa37…d346 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xa15be8… |
| 11-09 01:03:01 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c2336… |
| 11-09 01:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x083b…8a8a | No | BUY | 52 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa15be8… |
| 11-09 01:01:24 | (anonymous) 0x0737…5b91 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x7935bc… |
| 11-09 01:01:24 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7935bc… |
| 11-09 01:01:24 | Submissive-Obi 0x73e0…e538 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x7935bc… |
| 11-09 00:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x0737…5b91 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xb7b54e… |
| 11-09 00:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | No | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb7b54e… |
| 11-09 00:59:07 | Submissive-Obi 0x73e0…e538 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xb7b54e… |
| 11-09 00:59:07 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb7b54e… |
| 11-09 00:59:07 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb7b54e… |
| 11-09 00:59:07 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb7b54e… |
| 11-09 00:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x23c8…0d93 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb7b54e… |
| 11-09 00:40:42 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | No | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x82eb92… |
| 11-09 00:40:42 | Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x82eb92… |
| 11-09 00:40:39 | Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x0641de… |
| 11-09 00:40:39 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | No | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0641de… |
| 11-09 00:21:52 | (anonymous) 0xc79e…6ef0 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x789a3c… |
| 11-09 00:21:52 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | No | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x789a3c… |
| 11-09 00:15:06 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | No | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f0b95… |
| 11-09 00:15:06 | (anonymous) 0xf115…0c0b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x1f0b95… |
| 11-09 00:14:48 | Bold-Everybody 0x2d3a…9302 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x11581a… |
| 11-09 00:14:48 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | No | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x11581a… |
| 11-09 00:14:48 | Unselfish-Duster 0xb2f5…3a23 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0x11581a… |
| 11-09 00:08:01 | Kind-Rotation 0x3646…ba5a | Yes | SELL | 61 | 99¢ | $61 | 0x4fac60… |
| 11-09 00:08:01 | Quizzical-Observation 0xd3ed…159e | Yes | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $61 | 0x4fac60… |
| 11-09 00:03:30 | Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x094f8f… |
| 11-09 00:03:30 | (anonymous) 0xafd5…62f3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x094f8f… |
| 11-09 00:03:30 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x094f8f… |
| 11-09 00:03:04 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xea332d… |
| 11-09 00:03:04 | (anonymous) 0xafd5…62f3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xea332d… |
| 11-09 00:02:43 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x89c8d9… |
| 11-09 00:02:43 | (anonymous) 0xafd5…62f3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x89c8d9… |
| 11-09 00:01:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x48ea1b… |
| 11-09 00:01:00 | (anonymous) 0xafd5…62f3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x48ea1b… |
| 11-09 00:01:00 | Roasted-Trapezium 0x1a11…e55d | Yes | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x48ea1b… |
| 11-09 00:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x9c58b8… |
| 11-09 00:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x4f0f…6f7e | No | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9c58b8… |
| 11-09 00:00:52 | (anonymous) 0xafd5…62f3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x9c58b8… |
| 11-09 00:00:52 | Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9c58b8… |
| 11-09 00:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0x0ddec8… |
| 11-09 00:00:52 | Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | BUY | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0ddec8… |
| 11-09 00:00:52 | (anonymous) 0xafd5…62f3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x0ddec8… |
| 11-09 00:00:19 | Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9e5ddd… |
| 11-09 00:00:19 | Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9e5ddd… |
| 11-09 00:00:19 | (anonymous) 0xc1dc…48fa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9e5ddd… |
| 11-09 00:00:19 | (anonymous) 0xafd5…62f3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x9e5ddd… |
| 11-09 00:00:19 | (anonymous) 0x4f0f…6f7e | No | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9e5ddd… |
| 11-08 23:59:30 | Grizzled-Beam 0xf84d…5e65 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x1cef7a… |
| 11-08 23:59:30 | Stormy-Landform 0x82df…0f66 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x1cef7a… |
| 11-08 23:59:30 | (anonymous) 0x4f0f…6f7e | No | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1cef7a… |
| 11-08 23:59:25 | Stormy-Landform 0x82df…0f66 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x7a7ced… |
| 11-08 23:59:25 | (anonymous) 0xafd5…62f3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x7a7ced… |
| 11-08 23:59:22 | Shameful-Raiment 0xaaf7…443b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x7f5f8f… |
| 11-08 23:59:22 | (anonymous) 0xafd5…62f3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x7f5f8f… |
| 11-08 23:59:21 | (anonymous) 0xd04e…122e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x7e15dd… |
| 11-08 23:59:21 | (anonymous) 0xafd5…62f3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x7e15dd… |
| 11-08 23:59:13 | (anonymous) 0xafd5…62f3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5004db… |
| 11-08 23:59:13 | (anonymous) 0x1ffa…cd11 | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5004db… |
| 11-08 23:58:51 | (anonymous) 0x4f0f…6f7e | No | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b4412… |
| 11-08 23:58:51 | Muted-Handball 0x6354…a1c0 | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1b4412… |
| 11-08 23:58:51 | Sizzling-Paramedic-Collector 0x7bbe…b95e | No | SELL | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1b4412… |
| 11-08 23:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x7d9a45… |
| 11-08 23:58:43 | (anonymous) 0xa1cc…fa62 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x7d9a45… |
| 11-08 23:58:42 | (anonymous) 0x476e…1eec | No | BUY | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0xf9c16a… |
| 11-08 23:58:42 | Pure-Eyeliner 0x1abc…45e7 | No | BUY | 14 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x155b9e… |
| 11-08 23:58:42 | (anonymous) 0x2ebb…35d7 | No | SELL | 14 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x155b9e… |
| 11-08 23:58:42 | (anonymous) 0x2ebb…35d7 | No | SELL | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0xf9c16a… |
| 11-08 23:58:40 | (anonymous) 0xed30…7fe5 | No | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9dc240… |
| 11-08 23:58:40 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9dc240… |
| 11-08 23:58:40 | Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9dc240… |
| 11-08 23:58:39 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x680fde… |
| 11-08 23:58:39 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x680fde… |
| 11-08 23:58:39 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 0 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x01778b… |
| 11-08 23:58:39 | Bold-Everybody 0x2d3a…9302 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x5ac42d… |
| 11-08 23:58:39 | Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x01778b… |