Will the highest temperature in Austin be 81°F or below on May 6?
open
Total volume
$397
$724 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$1,611
Latest YES mid
76¢
Latest NO mid
24¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 03:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $60 | $304 | $244 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $62 | $62 |
| Median | 5 | — | $218 | $218 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| unranked | 18 | $52 | $24 | +$28 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Happy-Precedence 0x4a91…983f | No | +245 | $209 | $209 | 1 | 05-05 10:45 |
| Excellent-Oats 0x5264…9a63 | Yes | +187 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-05 08:11 |
| Delicious-Dysfunction 0x4254…1d02 | No | +64 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 05-05 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3d7…e878 | Yes | +60 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-05 08:21 |
| Lavish-Sibling 0x9008…09f0 | Yes | +31 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 16:09 |
| Vibrant-Publisher 0x47dc…6663 | Yes | +25 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 17:29 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-05 01:15 |
| Impure-Middle 0xa0b1…6754 | Yes | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-06 02:38 |
| Discrete-Precision 0xfe3d…73e0 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 13:27 |
| Anchored-Waste 0x6fd8…4ed3 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 16:42 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 15:49 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 04:55 |
| Tan-Messy 0x6734…c3d2 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 00:44 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 04:55 |
| Close-Beyond 0x15ef…396c | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 23:00 |
| Mortified-Frown 0x2dba…5b01 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 23:00 |
| Fickle-Talk 0x67e9…7827 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 15:59 |
| Severe-Sulfur 0x5184…0d3f | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 21:04 |
| Unused-Arch 0xd481…cda7 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 21:44 |
| Definitive-Credential 0x0616…ea27 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 20:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 23:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 03:39:26 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | SELL | 92 | 19¢ | $18 | 0x925f31… |
| 05-06 02:38:44 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 68¢ | $6 | 0x97c778… |
| 05-06 02:38:44 | Impure-Middle 0xa0b1…6754 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 67¢ | $6 | 0x52cd88… |
| 05-06 00:44:32 | Tan-Messy 0x6734…c3d2 | No | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xf020c9… |
| 05-05 23:40:28 | Joyful-Ginger 0xfe86…53e3 | No | SELL | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x709329… |
| 05-05 23:00:10 | (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x85bda2… |
| 05-05 23:00:08 | Mortified-Frown 0x2dba…5b01 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xd9eace… |
| 05-05 23:00:08 | Close-Beyond 0x15ef…396c | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xa9ce3a… |
| 05-05 21:59:32 | Original-Beret 0x2231…3ed6 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xca315b… |
| 05-05 21:44:52 | Unused-Arch 0xd481…cda7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x4292b7… |
| 05-05 21:04:46 | Severe-Sulfur 0x5184…0d3f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x0031fa… |
| 05-05 20:25:04 | Definitive-Credential 0x0616…ea27 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xd7d741… |
| 05-05 19:47:24 | Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | SELL | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0x58312d… |
| 05-05 17:29:42 | Vibrant-Publisher 0x47dc…6663 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 40¢ | $10 | 0x2b764c… |
| 05-05 16:42:44 | Anchored-Waste 0x6fd8…4ed3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x0f1663… |
| 05-05 16:09:50 | Lavish-Sibling 0x9008…09f0 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x64788d… |
| 05-05 15:59:46 | Fickle-Talk 0x67e9…7827 | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x7e77f9… |
| 05-05 15:49:44 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x384a51… |
| 05-05 13:27:02 | Discrete-Precision 0xfe3d…73e0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xb2fde9… |
| 05-05 10:45:10 | Happy-Precedence 0x4a91…983f | No | BUY | 245 | 86¢ | $209 | 0xd3e3fb… |
| 05-05 08:21:00 | (anonymous) 0xb3d7…e878 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe7e62f… |
| 05-05 08:15:14 | Delicious-Dysfunction 0x4254…1d02 | No | BUY | 64 | 90¢ | $57 | 0xa2d2db… |
| 05-05 08:15:12 | (anonymous) 0xb3d7…e878 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 13¢ | $7 | 0xad5831… |
| 05-05 08:11:06 | Excellent-Oats 0x5264…9a63 | Yes | BUY | 187 | 10¢ | $19 | 0xc3ef55… |
| 05-05 04:55:44 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x9327a8… |
| 05-05 04:55:44 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x79ed38… |
| 05-05 04:55:44 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x800282… |
| 05-05 04:55:44 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x55c0d0… |
| 05-05 03:25:22 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcb0760… |
| 05-05 03:25:02 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4342f3… |
| 05-05 01:15:08 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x50ef3a… |
| 05-04 22:24:58 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x2115ed… |
| 05-04 20:14:32 | Whopping-Larch 0xf740…d999 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x73ff9f… |