Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
10
1,319 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.82K
$244.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$185
Open exposure
$57.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 13:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 92% +$250
Other
25% 85% +$348
Politics
16% 79% +$81
Tech
0% 100% +$66
Sports
0% 17% -$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +9,791 $9,233 97¢ $9.5K +$250 09-08 10:56
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No -7,272 -$7,203 99¢ $-7203 +$0 08-20 01:42
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +6,836 $6,520 96¢ $6.5K +$22 10-08 21:30
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6,063 -$6,060 99¢ $-6011 +$49 08-28 18:52
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +3,700 $3,645 100¢ $3.7K +$42 10-24 12:38
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3,227 $3,113 97¢ $3.1K +$29 09-28 00:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,300 $3,037 94¢ $3.1K +$82 10-20 12:48
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +6,400 $2,611 39¢ $2.5K -$135 07-22 16:45
US recession by end of 2026? No +2,200 $2,041 94¢ $2.1K +$16 10-24 07:26
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1,802 $1,755 99¢ $1.8K +$36 10-22 18:12
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,607 -$1,633 100¢ $-1603 +$30 07-10 11:34
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +7,400 $1,948 20¢ $1.5K -$479 07-19 18:47
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,200 $1,115 97¢ $1.2K +$48 10-25 23:23
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,200 $1,114 96¢ $1.2K +$40 07-14 03:07
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 -$948 98¢ $-980 -$32 09-01 20:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +800 $766 95¢ $763 -$3 10-02 13:54
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +700 $669 97¢ $676 +$7 10-08 11:48
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +700 $567 70¢ $490 -$77 10-15 01:05
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $475 96¢ $478 +$2 08-19 16:04
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,440 $483 19¢ $453 -$30 07-24 02:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +400 $264 97¢ $389 +$125 10-15 18:17
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +717 $301 50¢ $355 +$54 10-26 13:46
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? No +300 $286 98¢ $293 +$7 10-21 17:45
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +400 $340 73¢ $292 -$48 10-14 22:51
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +300 $271 96¢ $288 +$17 09-11 05:14
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +301 $268 93¢ $281 +$13 08-01 15:14
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +300 $276 94¢ $280 +$4 10-07 01:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $279 92¢ $278 -$2 09-28 22:09
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +287 $270 94¢ $271 +$1 09-17 20:07
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +297 $273 88¢ $260 -$13 08-25 21:18