Realized P&L
+$1.38K
Unrealized P&L
+$485
Hit rate
94.3%
Resolved
101
Trades
1,321
lifetime
Volume
$244.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$185
Open exposure
$52.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 02:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 93% +$262
Other
25% 86% +$447
Politics
16% 85% +$643
Tech
0% 100% +$66
Sports
0% 17% -$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +9,791 $9,233 98¢ $9.6K +$328 09-08 10:56
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No -7,272 -$7,203 99¢ $-7232 -$29 08-20 01:42
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +6,836 $6,520 97¢ $6.7K +$131 10-08 21:30
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6,063 -$6,060 99¢ $-6023 +$37 08-28 18:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,300 $3,037 97¢ $3.2K +$172 10-20 12:48
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3,227 $3,113 99¢ $3.2K +$77 09-28 00:27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +6,400 $2,611 34¢ $2.2K -$419 07-22 16:45
US recession by end of 2026? No +2,200 $2,041 96¢ $2.1K +$78 10-24 07:26
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,607 -$1,633 100¢ $-1605 +$28 07-10 11:34
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +7,400 $1,948 20¢ $1.5K -$498 07-19 18:47
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,200 $1,115 98¢ $1.2K +$60 10-25 23:23
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,200 $1,114 97¢ $1.2K +$52 07-14 03:07
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 -$948 98¢ $-985 -$37 09-01 20:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +800 $766 97¢ $775 +$9 10-02 13:54
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +700 $669 98¢ $688 +$19 10-08 11:48
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +700 $567 76¢ $528 -$38 10-15 01:05
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $475 98¢ $488 +$13 08-19 16:04
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,440 $483 18¢ $431 -$52 07-24 02:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +400 $264 98¢ $390 +$127 10-15 18:17
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +400 $340 76¢ $306 -$34 10-14 22:51
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +301 $268 98¢ $295 +$27 08-01 15:14
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +300 $271 98¢ $292 +$22 09-11 05:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $279 94¢ $284 +$4 09-28 22:09
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +287 $270 96¢ $276 +$6 09-17 20:07
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -250 -$230 98¢ $-245 -$15 05-25 04:55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,440 $342 10¢ $233 -$109 07-24 16:37
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +200 $193 98¢ $197 +$4 10-21 19:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -200 -$162 98¢ $-196 -$34 04-29 20:48
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +100 $78 84¢ $84 +$6 07-21 00:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,000 -$605 6¢ $-55 +$550 06-24 15:47