Immense-Roast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$396

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,672

lifetime

Volume

$8.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-05 21:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

83% — —

Politics

9% 100% +$450

Other

6% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-54

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$304	325	325	+0	open	—	02-28 19:32
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	5	$134	3,002	2,500	+501	open	—	02-08 16:29
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on january 31	2	$101	100	100	+0	open	—	01-31 16:55
xrp above 1pt4 on february 5	2	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	02-05 15:19
bitcoin above 68k on february 25	2	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	02-25 16:56
bitcoin above 70k on february 8	2	$89	100	100	+0	open	—	02-05 20:27
will solana dip to 80 february 2 8	2	$88	100	100	+0	open	—	02-05 18:35
xrp above 1pt3 on february 8	3	$88	150	100	+50	open	—	02-07 04:21
xrp above 1pt5 on february 6	2	$85	100	100	+0	open	—	02-06 15:45
bitcoin above 68k on february 8	2	$84	100	100	+0	open	—	02-05 23:46
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$84	1,324	1,000	+324	open	—	04-15 20:52
will the price of bitcoin be less than 68000 on february 8	2	$83	100	100	+0	open	—	02-05 23:46
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	2	$59	50	50	+0	open	—	03-19 16:11
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$54	250	0	+250	No	$-54	04-05 19:52
will xrp reach 1pt6 february 9 15	2	$53	50	50	+0	open	—	02-15 07:40
will bitcoin dip to 62k february 2 8	2	$53	50	50	+0	open	—	02-06 00:23
solana above 110 on january 31	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	01-31 16:55
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on february 1	2	$51	50	50	+0	open	—	02-01 16:58
ethereum above 2700 on february 1	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	01-31 16:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 8	2	$49	50	50	+0	open	—	02-08 15:44
xrp above 1pt4 on february 6	2	$49	50	50	+0	open	—	02-06 15:45
will the price of solana be between 80 90 on february 6	2	$49	50	50	+0	open	—	02-06 15:44
solana above 80 on february 6	2	$49	50	50	+0	open	—	02-06 00:23
solana above 90 on february 5	2	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	02-05 15:19
will the price of solana be between 80 90 on february 5	2	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	02-05 15:21
ethereum above 2100 on february 7	2	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	02-05 20:27
xrp above 1pt3 on february 7	3	$47	100	50	+50	open	—	02-07 04:19
bitcoin above 72k on february 7	2	$46	50	50	+0	open	—	02-05 17:38
will the price of bitcoin be less than 72000 on february 7	2	$46	50	50	+0	open	—	02-05 17:38
solana above 90 on february 7	2	$46	50	50	+0	open	—	02-05 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 21:54:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	156	4¢	$6	0x70280d…
06-14 04:16:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xdc0fbf…
06-14 04:15:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x61374d…
06-14 04:15:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	104	6¢	$6	0xcfd37f…
06-06 18:51:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	52	7¢	$4	0x149e0d…
06-06 18:46:54	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0xc262a0…
06-06 18:46:42	World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0xd4b0fb…
06-06 18:46:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x5ca11e…
06-06 18:46:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	104	1¢	$1	0xb12330…
06-06 18:46:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xcc2590…
06-06 18:46:00	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x55d910…
06-06 18:45:51	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xbaf06e…
06-06 18:45:09	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xca6c96…
06-06 18:45:03	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0xcab853…
06-06 18:44:58	Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?	No	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0xc81d7c…
06-06 18:44:25	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x3ac4d0…
06-06 18:44:15	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$6	0xcca58a…
06-06 18:44:10	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	350	2¢	$7	0xead6a1…
06-05 01:15:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	6¢	$9	0x982399…
06-05 01:15:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	501	2¢	$12	0x412f49…
05-23 06:11:28	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$4	0x6dc5ff…
05-23 06:01:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	521	1¢	$3	0xe79d13…
05-23 05:51:08	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$4	0x6f7e24…
05-13 06:08:35	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$4	0x588f3c…
05-13 04:52:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0xce3413…
05-13 04:49:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	521	1¢	$7	0x0a0158…
04-15 20:52:56	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	324	1¢	$4	0xfed88f…
04-15 20:52:26	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x73435f…
04-15 18:51:58	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x791e38…
04-15 18:51:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x6defa6…
04-15 18:47:30	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	450	1¢	$4	0x7f70f8…
04-15 18:33:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xac4f03…
04-15 18:32:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0xb0134f…
04-15 18:31:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x2e37fd…
04-15 18:20:46	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$27	0x58333c…
04-05 19:53:03	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x084172…
04-05 19:52:21	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x80f1fe…
03-27 03:25:51	will bully ye debut week album sales be at least 900k	Yes	BUY	210	7¢	$14	0xb34ea3…
03-23 16:11:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	5¢	$8	0xb050b7…
03-23 16:05:47	will iran strike lebanon in march	Yes	SELL	25	86¢	$22	0x92a0ee…
03-23 05:12:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xe1b9a2…
03-23 05:12:43	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x6533d3…
03-23 05:08:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x94d15d…
03-23 05:08:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xe2c578…
03-23 05:07:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe227d8…
03-23 05:03:39	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x86bc7b…
03-22 06:20:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x9e5184…
03-22 06:19:19	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0x7c8c3b…
03-22 06:18:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x4208d2…
03-22 06:17:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x445057…
03-19 16:11:03	bitcoin above 70k on march 19	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf298b0…
03-19 03:49:15	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x961921…
03-19 03:48:43	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x76ef30…
03-19 03:48:25	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xb35c4e…
03-19 03:48:11	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x70f22f…
03-16 07:14:27	will bnb dip to 500 in march	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xf90b19…
03-16 07:13:49	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8e06fc…
03-16 07:10:33	will hyperliquid dip to 28 in march	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x02ac02…
03-16 07:10:03	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0x18b507…
03-16 06:54:19	will xrp dip to 1 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x5166d5…
03-16 06:52:29	xrp above 1pt4 on march 17	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xe6f8b9…
03-16 06:49:55	xrp above 1pt4 on march 16	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xf3e64e…
03-16 06:45:39	solana above 90 on march 16	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0e5b62…
03-16 06:39:21	will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xf1fb45…
03-16 06:36:39	ethereum above 2100 on march 20	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x433218…
03-16 06:35:53	ethereum above 2100 on march 19	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xd5e797…
03-16 06:34:57	ethereum above 2100 on march 18	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xdc52e9…
03-16 06:34:11	ethereum above 2100 on march 17	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x4ee7d5…
03-16 06:32:51	ethereum above 2200 on march 16	No	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0x4d70a3…
03-16 06:22:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x5d8d61…
03-16 06:15:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 22	No	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0xefe3ed…
03-16 06:14:17	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xf75137…
03-16 06:13:21	bitcoin above 68k on march 20	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xda7494…
03-16 06:12:03	bitcoin above 70k on march 19	No	BUY	50	17¢	$9	0x81f9b2…
03-16 06:11:05	bitcoin above 70k on march 18	No	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0xe4ea3d…
03-16 06:10:07	bitcoin above 70k on march 17	No	BUY	49	9¢	$4	0xb34a1d…
03-16 06:05:31	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xf05388…
03-16 06:05:01	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	125	3¢	$4	0x8218ab…
03-16 06:04:45	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x5f384e…
03-13 07:03:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x5da82b…
03-13 07:03:29	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xe27e85…
03-10 17:46:43	bitcoin above 70k on march 10	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x000f03…
03-09 04:42:41	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of march	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xd50655…
03-09 04:40:29	will bitcoin hit 150k by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,001	1¢	$7	0x25f4f6…
03-09 04:35:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0xf992f2…
03-09 04:35:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	6¢	$8	0x208448…
03-09 04:34:27	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	375	2¢	$8	0xa5798e…
03-09 04:29:51	xrp above 1pt5 on march 13	Yes	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0x7d3d26…
03-09 04:29:13	xrp above 1pt5 on march 12	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0x7e5d63…
03-09 04:28:35	xrp above 1pt5 on march 11	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x1b91a0…
03-09 04:27:47	xrp above 1pt5 on march 10	Yes	BUY	65	6¢	$4	0x846aa4…
03-09 04:27:03	xrp above 1pt4 on march 9	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x3d80d1…
03-09 04:15:47	will solana reach 110 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x868a31…
03-09 04:04:39	solana above 100 on march 12	Yes	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0xfa88ee…
03-09 04:03:51	solana above 90 on march 11	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x13ebbc…
03-09 04:00:21	solana above 90 on march 10	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0x1512c0…
03-09 03:58:49	solana above 90 on march 9	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x8b9f6e…
03-09 03:53:29	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0xda18de…
03-09 03:49:23	ethereum above 2300 on march 14	Yes	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0x327334…
03-09 03:48:39	ethereum above 2200 on march 13	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0xd44970…