Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on November 2?
open
Total volume
$342
$353 in 24h
Trades
36
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,298
End date
2026-11-02
First seen
2026-10-31
last 11-01 01:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $153
vs crowd: 4% YES on $314)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $2 | $157 | $154 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $3 | $106 | $103 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $4 | $40 | $36 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $1 | $152 | $151 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $37 | $36 |
| Median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $48 | $47 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $33 | $33 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $5 | $28 | $23 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Useful-Carbohydrate 0x94e5…52be | Yes | +92 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 11-01 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +70 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 11-01 01:13 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +65 | $64 | $64 | 2 | 11-01 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x72da…a89e | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 10-31 15:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xace0…9c90 | Yes | +35 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 11-01 01:13 |
| Truthful-Interferometer 0xaf87…b064 | No | +34 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 11-01 00:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fd9…49b2 | Yes | +32 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-31 21:00 |
| Hopeful-Caravan 0x6eb4…d18e | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 11-01 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x486c…6799 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-31 15:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-31 15:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-01 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-31 15:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-01 00:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c30…ba88 | No | +15 | $13 | $69 | 2 | 11-01 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xd394…7e90 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-01 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x50ea…46fe | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-01 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fa4…f4ea | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-31 18:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-31 18:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x50ea…46fe | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-31 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-01 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ef…c476 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-31 21:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 01:13:40 | (anonymous) 0xd394…7e90 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbb3948… |
| 11-01 01:13:40 | Hopeful-Caravan 0x6eb4…d18e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbb3948… |
| 11-01 01:13:40 | (anonymous) 0x6c30…ba88 | No | SELL | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xbb3948… |
| 11-01 01:13:40 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbb3948… |
| 11-01 01:13:40 | (anonymous) 0xace0…9c90 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbb3948… |
| 11-01 01:13:40 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 70 | 98¢ | $69 | 0xbb3948… |
| 11-01 01:13:39 | Useful-Carbohydrate 0x94e5…52be | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x14e7c8… |
| 11-01 01:13:39 | Hopeful-Caravan 0x6eb4…d18e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x14e7c8… |
| 11-01 01:13:39 | Useful-Carbohydrate 0x94e5…52be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf76013… |
| 11-01 01:13:39 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xf76013… |
| 11-01 01:13:39 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0x14e7c8… |
| 11-01 00:56:55 | (anonymous) 0xd394…7e90 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe416d3… |
| 11-01 00:56:55 | (anonymous) 0xace0…9c90 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe416d3… |
| 11-01 00:56:55 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xe416d3… |
| 11-01 00:44:55 | Useful-Carbohydrate 0x94e5…52be | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x45f586… |
| 11-01 00:44:55 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…46fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x45f586… |
| 11-01 00:44:55 | (anonymous) 0x6c30…ba88 | No | BUY | 42 | 97¢ | $41 | 0x45f586… |
| 11-01 00:23:42 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8f161a… |
| 11-01 00:23:42 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…46fe | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8f161a… |
| 11-01 00:23:42 | Truthful-Interferometer 0xaf87…b064 | No | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x8f161a… |
| 10-31 23:21:12 | Useful-Carbohydrate 0x94e5…52be | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9e642c… |
| 10-31 23:21:12 | Truthful-Interferometer 0xaf87…b064 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x9e642c… |
| 10-31 21:00:46 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…46fe | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x798e83… |
| 10-31 21:00:46 | Self-Assured-Laparoscope 0xcd15…b352 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x798e83… |
| 10-31 21:00:46 | (anonymous) 0x48ef…c476 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x798e83… |
| 10-31 21:00:46 | (anonymous) 0x4fd9…49b2 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x798e83… |
| 10-31 20:39:52 | Self-Assured-Laparoscope 0xcd15…b352 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x369d33… |
| 10-31 20:39:52 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x369d33… |
| 10-31 18:26:42 | (anonymous) 0x0fa4…f4ea | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x153ad3… |
| 10-31 18:26:42 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x153ad3… |
| 10-31 18:26:42 | (anonymous) 0xd394…7e90 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x153ad3… |
| 10-31 15:39:52 | (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xdcda93… |
| 10-31 15:39:52 | (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xc40caa… |
| 10-31 15:39:52 | (anonymous) 0x72da…a89e | No | BUY | 40 | 92¢ | $37 | 0xc40caa… |
| 10-31 15:39:52 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xc40caa… |
| 10-31 15:39:52 | (anonymous) 0x486c…6799 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xdcda93… |