Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,141
$5,526 in 24h
Trades
213
Unique wallets
68
Liquidity
$306,557
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-01-20
last 04-25 09:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-10.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $562
vs crowd: 11% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $62 | $907 | $845 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $24 | $10 | +$14 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $21 | $32 | $12 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $11 | $11 | $0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | — | $562 | $562 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $22 | $174 | $152 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $3 | $10 | $7 |
| Median | 7 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Below median | 18 | $20 | $60 | $40 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $6 | $143 | $137 |
| unranked | 7 | $60 | $11 | +$48 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unnatural-Foodstuffs 0xe5c2…cfb5 | Yes | +552 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-13 03:42 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +545 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 03-20 21:11 |
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | No | +467 | $438 | $438 | 1 | 01-24 00:39 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +382 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 02-13 18:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6 | Yes | +263 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 02-01 18:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4018…d14a | Yes | +199 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-01 18:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xef2a…bd7e | Yes | +164 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-01 18:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x161f…b075 | Yes | +121 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 02-02 23:35 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 01-30 15:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | No | +98 | $98 | $98 | 4 | 03-04 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9b4…f03a | Yes | +97 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-01 18:39 |
| Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | +86 | $86 | $86 | 5 | 03-05 15:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | +84 | $0 | $0 | 12 | 03-18 11:28 |
| Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | +80 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 03-08 21:29 |
| Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a | No | +79 | $78 | $78 | 4 | 02-12 09:50 |
| Vivid-Macrofauna 0x63d4…a2f1 | No | +65 | $65 | $65 | 3 | 02-13 16:52 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +62 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 02-12 19:59 |
| oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c | No | +60 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 01-24 07:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xac89…7096 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 03-20 16:56 |
| Uniform-Botany 0xf0ed…47d8 | Yes | +46 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 01-28 22:25 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +43 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-25 09:04 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +42 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-02 11:16 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 01-30 15:41 |
| Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 02-15 16:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1584…71b6 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 01-30 15:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $2 | 3 | 01-30 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xde76…215d | Yes | +24 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-06 06:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xe11f…88db | Yes | +22 | $-0 | $0 | 7 | 02-14 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8b7…14de | Yes | +21 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 02-02 23:35 |
| Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 03-25 18:29 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 01-30 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x6586…497c | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 02-13 12:43 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 01-24 09:57 |
| Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 02-13 16:52 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-15 19:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xb13b…0e2b | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 01-20 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xeac2…7beb | Yes | +10 | $4 | $11 | 4 | 02-10 09:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe069…3c17 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 01-30 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xb13b…0e2b | No | +10 | $8 | $57 | 3 | 01-20 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xeac2…7beb | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 01-20 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 02-15 19:35 |
| Metallic-Guide 0x4058…35b5 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-10 14:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x28b0…e327 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-11 18:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xd3e9…759c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-11 07:02 |
| Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 01-25 15:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-25 09:04:16 | (anonymous) 0xea0e…345a | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf961c4… |
| 04-25 09:04:16 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf961c4… |
| 04-24 14:47:18 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x37ec9b… |
| 04-24 14:47:18 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x37ec9b… |
| 04-21 15:36:40 | (anonymous) 0xea0e…345a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x01838c… |
| 04-21 15:36:40 | (anonymous) 0xe6bd…0f6d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x01838c… |
| 04-21 15:36:38 | (anonymous) 0xea0e…345a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xecf07f… |
| 04-21 15:36:38 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xecf07f… |
| 04-21 15:07:28 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x90bb3f… |
| 04-21 15:07:28 | (anonymous) 0xea0e…345a | Yes | BUY | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x90bb3f… |
| 04-06 06:08:01 | (anonymous) 0xde76…215d | Yes | BUY | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6be1d7… |
| 04-06 06:08:01 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6be1d7… |
| 04-02 11:16:47 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf726ad… |
| 04-02 11:16:47 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf726ad… |
| 03-25 18:29:45 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e8cc0… |
| 03-25 18:29:45 | Superficial-Caboose-Decrease 0x2b7d…33db | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e8cc0… |
| 03-24 16:25:11 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x477da7… |
| 03-24 16:25:11 | (anonymous) 0x6993…c79a | Yes | SELL | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x477da7… |
| 03-24 04:23:21 | (anonymous) 0x6993…c79a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaf4236… |
| 03-24 04:23:21 | Superficial-Caboose-Decrease 0x2b7d…33db | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaf4236… |
| 03-20 21:11:45 | (anonymous) 0xaeb5…50ae | Yes | SELL | 531 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8749a0… |
| 03-20 21:11:45 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 531 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8749a0… |
| 03-20 16:56:31 | (anonymous) 0xac89…7096 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa59b72… |
| 03-20 16:56:31 | (anonymous) 0xaeb5…50ae | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa59b72… |
| 03-18 11:28:01 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2dda54… |
| 03-18 11:28:01 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2dda54… |
| 03-18 11:10:11 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf26f0c… |
| 03-18 11:10:11 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf26f0c… |
| 03-08 21:29:01 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb86ba5… |
| 03-08 21:29:01 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb86ba5… |
| 03-08 21:29:01 | Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb86ba5… |
| 03-08 09:47:19 | Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc4c748… |
| 03-08 09:47:19 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc4c748… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x92d271… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x58ed5d… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x92d271… |
| 03-05 15:00:45 | Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x58ed5d… |
| 03-05 14:59:37 | Handsome-Fibroblast 0xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe67f3… |
| 03-05 14:59:37 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe67f3… |
| 03-05 14:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe67f3… |
| 03-04 16:59:37 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9efaaa… |
| 03-04 16:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9efaaa… |
| 03-04 16:21:25 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x24badf… |
| 03-04 16:21:25 | (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x24badf… |
| 03-04 16:17:27 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ddbd5… |
| 03-04 16:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ddbd5… |
| 03-04 16:17:09 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf34225… |
| 03-04 16:17:09 | (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xf34225… |
| 03-01 04:55:35 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xba2740… |
| 03-01 04:55:35 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xba2740… |
| 02-19 17:41:30 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3b59a4… |
| 02-19 17:41:30 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3b59a4… |
| 02-15 19:35:23 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0fc359… |
| 02-15 19:35:23 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0fc359… |
| 02-15 19:35:23 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0fc359… |
| 02-15 16:51:25 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x765d43… |
| 02-15 16:51:25 | Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x765d43… |
| 02-14 09:23:35 | (anonymous) 0x6993…c79a | Yes | BUY | 54 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2351c3… |
| 02-14 09:23:35 | (anonymous) 0xaeb5…50ae | Yes | SELL | 54 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2351c3… |
| 02-14 04:39:23 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x80a53b… |
| 02-14 04:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x85b8…224d | Yes | SELL | 67 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x80a53b… |
| 02-14 01:58:39 | (anonymous) 0x85b8…224d | Yes | BUY | 67 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2ca393… |
| 02-14 01:58:39 | (anonymous) 0x6993…c79a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2ca393… |
| 02-14 01:58:39 | (anonymous) 0xe11f…88db | Yes | SELL | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2ca393… |
| 02-13 18:59:51 | Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0xbef2f2… |
| 02-13 18:59:51 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbef2f2… |
| 02-13 16:52:47 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x711a56… |
| 02-13 16:52:47 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x711a56… |
| 02-13 16:52:45 | Vivid-Macrofauna 0x63d4…a2f1 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x74c689… |
| 02-13 16:52:45 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74c689… |
| 02-13 16:52:45 | Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x07b06d… |
| 02-13 16:52:45 | (anonymous) 0xe11f…88db | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x07b06d… |
| 02-13 16:52:45 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x07b06d… |
| 02-13 12:43:15 | (anonymous) 0xe11f…88db | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3cfb4e… |
| 02-13 12:43:15 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3cfb4e… |
| 02-13 12:43:13 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc6274f… |
| 02-13 12:43:13 | (anonymous) 0xe11f…88db | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x06d2f7… |
| 02-13 12:43:13 | (anonymous) 0xe11f…88db | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc6274f… |
| 02-13 12:43:13 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x582fc3… |
| 02-13 12:43:13 | (anonymous) 0xe11f…88db | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x582fc3… |
| 02-13 12:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x6586…497c | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x06d2f7… |
| 02-13 12:42:07 | (anonymous) 0xe11f…88db | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdfd805… |
| 02-13 12:42:07 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdfd805… |
| 02-13 10:48:21 | (anonymous) 0x6586…497c | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xbfba23… |
| 02-13 10:48:21 | (anonymous) 0x6993…c79a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x555319… |
| 02-13 10:48:21 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x555319… |
| 02-13 10:48:21 | (anonymous) 0x6993…c79a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbfba23… |
| 02-13 10:48:19 | (anonymous) 0x6993…c79a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5773f2… |
| 02-13 10:48:19 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5773f2… |
| 02-13 03:42:13 | Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd70bc3… |
| 02-13 03:42:13 | (anonymous) 0x6993…c79a | Yes | SELL | 301 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xd70bc3… |
| 02-13 03:42:13 | (anonymous) 0x5081…a309 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd70bc3… |
| 02-13 03:42:13 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd70bc3… |
| 02-13 03:42:13 | Unnatural-Foodstuffs 0xe5c2…cfb5 | Yes | BUY | 552 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xd70bc3… |
| 02-13 03:42:13 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 104 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd70bc3… |
| 02-12 19:59:31 | Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x146da1… |
| 02-12 19:59:31 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x146da1… |
| 02-12 19:59:31 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x146da1… |
| 02-12 19:35:31 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8c615… |
| 02-12 19:35:31 | (anonymous) 0x1e69…e777 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8c615… |