Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 14?
open
Total volume
$220
$867 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$232
Latest YES mid
93¢
Latest NO mid
7¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 07:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $5 | $4 | +$2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $141 | $22 | +$119 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $15 | $6 | +$9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $46 | — | +$46 |
| Median | 4 | $49 | $3 | +$46 |
| Below median | 6 | $14 | $1 | +$13 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $21 | $6 | +$15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly-Allergist 0x358b…3722 | Yes | +45 | $41 | $58 | 2 | 05-14 06:01 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | +35 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 05-13 09:54 |
| Understated-Threshold 0xd92f…3546 | Yes | +34 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 05:36 |
| Descriptive-Reading 0xc69b…3b60 | Yes | +25 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-14 03:58 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +23 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 16:57 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +20 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-13 01:26 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | +14 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-14 07:28 |
| Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 02:22 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 19:26 |
| Sharp-Chiffonier 0x0407…e0e5 | No | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 05:29 |
| Biodegradable-Pride 0x52dc…33c9 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 21:27 |
| Muddy-Clasp 0xa7c4…7387 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 21:25 |
| Chubby-Viability 0x443e…12e1 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 21:40 |
| Admired-Evidence 0xc6dc…5b5d | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 09:32 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xff06…c7d5 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:58 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Traumatic-Tuneup 0xbc82…4b05 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 05:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 07:28:59 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0xed15f1… |
| 05-14 07:24:03 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x7de67e… |
| 05-14 06:01:10 | Friendly-Allergist 0x358b…3722 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x9fe307… |
| 05-14 05:55:41 | Friendly-Allergist 0x358b…3722 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 89¢ | $49 | 0xcfb9a5… |
| 05-14 05:36:20 | Understated-Threshold 0xd92f…3546 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 88¢ | $30 | 0x199155… |
| 05-14 05:00:51 | Traumatic-Tuneup 0xbc82…4b05 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x32ab3e… |
| 05-14 03:58:38 | Descriptive-Reading 0xc69b…3b60 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0xf98287… |
| 05-14 02:22:21 | Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x701113… |
| 05-14 00:10:05 | Melodic-Cria 0xf971…0a57 | No | SELL | 27 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x61c199… |
| 05-13 23:31:02 | Complicated-Puppy 0x7f71…79a6 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 79¢ | $27 | 0xb1d5e4… |
| 05-13 21:58:24 | (anonymous) 0xff06…c7d5 | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x3ce5e5… |
| 05-13 21:40:13 | Chubby-Viability 0x443e…12e1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x916e75… |
| 05-13 21:25:42 | Muddy-Clasp 0xa7c4…7387 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xc50dce… |
| 05-13 21:03:46 | Dimpled-Jodhpurs 0x5bbf…002f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x271b72… |
| 05-13 16:57:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 23 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x09fd50… |
| 05-13 09:54:55 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xa6556a… |
| 05-13 09:54:34 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x00cfcd… |
| 05-13 09:54:27 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x99600e… |
| 05-13 05:29:00 | Sharp-Chiffonier 0x0407…e0e5 | No | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xae41c6… |
| 05-13 05:28:13 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x0bd1fb… |
| 05-13 01:26:18 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 15 | 30¢ | $4 | 0xf1ae6c… |
| 05-13 01:26:17 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xd96344… |
| 05-12 21:27:57 | Biodegradable-Pride 0x52dc…33c9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x060fe8… |
| 05-12 19:26:18 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x384fc4… |
| 05-12 18:26:39 | Dazzling-Likeness 0xe748…2b23 | No | SELL | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xbcc1e5… |
| 05-12 18:26:38 | Dazzling-Likeness 0xe748…2b23 | No | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xecf87e… |
| 05-12 12:37:56 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | No | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x9545a3… |
| 05-12 09:32:23 | Admired-Evidence 0xc6dc…5b5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xc49cc4… |