Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 20?
No won
Total volume
$1,852
Trades
369
Unique wallets
121
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-20
First seen
2026-10-18
last 10-22 08:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.0¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $630
vs crowd: 10% YES on $1.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 27 | $54 | $583 | $529 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $49 | $537 | $488 |
| 🐟 Fish | 51 | $48 | $346 | $298 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $10 | $36 | $26 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 31 | $42 | $588 | $546 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 27 | $42 | $166 | $124 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 16 | $5 | $161 | $156 |
| Median | 7 | $1 | $77 | $76 |
| Below median | 13 | $12 | $105 | $93 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $2 | $96 | $94 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $5 | $147 | $142 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $52 | $162 | $110 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xbf13…b91a | Yes | +154 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-20 10:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | No | +152 | $122 | $122 | 2 | 10-18 17:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x33db…7d5a | Yes | +125 | $20 | $20 | 10 | 10-18 18:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a97…395b | Yes | +117 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 10-20 18:05 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +112 | $4 | $4 | 10 | 10-20 19:39 |
| Glaring-Cargo 0x4766…6e4b | No | +107 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 10-21 05:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +89 | $4 | $4 | 7 | 10-20 22:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +86 | $2 | $2 | 9 | 10-22 08:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | +72 | $65 | $97 | 17 | 10-20 22:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +69 | $64 | $64 | 6 | 10-20 13:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +60 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-18 18:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | +60 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-18 17:12 |
| Improbable-Walkway 0x1e1a…ff36 | No | +59 | $54 | $54 | 11 | 10-20 21:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xcfc5…7921 | No | +59 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 10-22 08:26 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | Yes | +58 | $2 | $2 | 7 | 10-19 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b1…11d2 | Yes | +54 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc37…afb6 | Yes | +50 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-18 17:12 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-21 05:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | Yes | +49 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-20 13:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xaba7…85ed | No | +48 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 10-18 18:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e0e…2d75 | No | +47 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 10-18 17:12 |
| Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | +43 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 10-20 13:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +43 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 10-20 16:16 |
| Polite-Cooking-Participant 0x29a5…a3c4 | Yes | +40 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 10-18 17:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x74d9…7d42 | No | +40 | $38 | $38 | 5 | 10-20 19:48 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 10-19 21:00 |
| Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | +37 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 10-19 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x74d9…7d42 | Yes | +36 | $2 | $2 | 6 | 10-20 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | +32 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 10-19 21:02 |
| Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 10-20 21:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x2540…7b9a | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-19 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb87f…f7d4 | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 10-18 17:12 |
| Easy-Going-Precedent 0x3f70…d7d8 | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 10-20 22:35 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | +26 | -$1 | $10 | 22 | 10-20 21:59 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | +26 | $24 | $24 | 6 | 10-20 18:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x914b…e406 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-20 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 10-20 18:42 |
| Querulous-Young 0x4e4c…2918 | Yes | +24 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf41d…be3f | Yes | +23 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-20 10:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x72da…a89e | Yes | +22 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-18 19:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 10-22 01:38 |
| Easy-Going-Precedent 0x3f70…d7d8 | No | +21 | $19 | $19 | 5 | 10-20 20:04 |
| Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-20 22:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a02…ad43 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-22 08:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x50ea…46fe | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 10-19 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb4b…5667 | No | +19 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-18 17:12 |
| Sour-Astrakhan 0xf4fe…f6e7 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-19 11:11 |
| Wary-Fog 0x54e0…b02c | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-19 09:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa764…468d | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-22 08:26 |
| Relieved-Mattress 0xd391…093f | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 10-21 17:09 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +18 | $2 | $3 | 10 | 10-22 04:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ed6…87d4 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 20:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x819d…07f1 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-18 20:22 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 10-20 20:05 |
| Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-20 10:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x0172…4e84 | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-18 17:12 |
| Bubbly-Vegetarianism 0x831d…3893 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-21 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-18 17:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x5927…ba9a | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-18 18:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x50ea…46fe | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-19 21:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 08:38:57 | (anonymous) 0x01e5…49a3 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xed31e6… |
| 10-22 08:38:57 | (anonymous) 0x569a…8ca5 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xed31e6… |
| 10-22 08:26:05 | (anonymous) 0x7b73…fe6d | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x238625… |
| 10-22 08:26:05 | (anonymous) 0xa764…468d | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x238625… |
| 10-22 08:26:03 | (anonymous) 0x3a02…ad43 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa370c0… |
| 10-22 08:26:03 | (anonymous) 0xcfc5…7921 | No | BUY | 59 | 100¢ | $59 | 0xa370c0… |
| 10-22 08:26:03 | (anonymous) 0x1062…17e5 | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa370c0… |
| 10-22 08:26:03 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa370c0… |
| 10-22 04:10:27 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbcce8c… |
| 10-22 04:10:27 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xbcce8c… |
| 10-22 03:13:06 | (anonymous) 0x2ebb…35d7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xeb5c62… |
| 10-22 03:13:06 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xeb5c62… |
| 10-22 01:38:27 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xa022f7… |
| 10-22 01:38:27 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa022f7… |
| 10-22 01:19:35 | Self-Assured-Laparoscope 0xcd15…b352 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6af737… |
| 10-22 01:19:35 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6af737… |
| 10-21 22:36:15 | (anonymous) 0x98ff…6a00 | No | SELL | 30 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x460266… |
| 10-21 22:36:15 | Evil-Watcher 0x2986…b3a9 | No | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x460266… |
| 10-21 22:36:15 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x460266… |
| 10-21 17:09:24 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb72f80… |
| 10-21 17:09:24 | Relieved-Mattress 0xd391…093f | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xb72f80… |
| 10-21 17:09:18 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd25cff… |
| 10-21 17:09:18 | Relieved-Mattress 0xd391…093f | No | BUY | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0xd25cff… |
| 10-21 17:09:12 | (anonymous) 0x1062…17e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xde13d6… |
| 10-21 17:09:12 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xde13d6… |
| 10-21 17:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x1062…17e5 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x76f3e6… |
| 10-21 17:09:06 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x76f3e6… |
| 10-21 17:09:00 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xed5a84… |
| 10-21 17:09:00 | (anonymous) 0x1062…17e5 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xed5a84… |
| 10-21 17:08:54 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x92d3cb… |
| 10-21 17:08:54 | (anonymous) 0x1062…17e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x92d3cb… |
| 10-21 17:08:48 | (anonymous) 0x1062…17e5 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xa15311… |
| 10-21 17:08:48 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xa15311… |
| 10-21 17:08:42 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x54b900… |
| 10-21 17:08:42 | (anonymous) 0x1062…17e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x54b900… |
| 10-21 12:07:02 | (anonymous) 0xf32a…9ec3 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x5abd6c… |
| 10-21 12:07:02 | (anonymous) 0x3cef…23e0 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x5abd6c… |
| 10-21 05:49:56 | (anonymous) 0x3a02…ad43 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x557701… |
| 10-21 05:49:56 | (anonymous) 0x32e5…3ed4 | No | BUY | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x557701… |
| 10-21 05:49:56 | Private-Doctrine 0x37de…6fab | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x557701… |
| 10-21 05:18:12 | (anonymous) 0x3a02…ad43 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf6cae9… |
| 10-21 05:18:12 | (anonymous) 0xa016…67c2 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf6cae9… |
| 10-21 05:18:11 | (anonymous) 0x3a02…ad43 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc673fb… |
| 10-21 05:18:11 | True-Washbasin 0x9b62…042f | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x177f47… |
| 10-21 05:18:11 | (anonymous) 0x3a02…ad43 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xba2a9c… |
| 10-21 05:18:11 | (anonymous) 0xf43e…4a4e | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xba2a9c… |
| 10-21 05:18:11 | (anonymous) 0xde0d…76f8 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc673fb… |
| 10-21 05:18:11 | (anonymous) 0xbf13…b91a | No | SELL | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x177f47… |
| 10-21 05:18:11 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x177f47… |
| 10-21 05:18:11 | (anonymous) 0x3a02…ad43 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xbd6ef5… |
| 10-21 05:18:11 | Sweaty-Squash 0xf960…ba50 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x177f47… |
| 10-21 05:18:11 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x177f47… |
| 10-21 05:18:11 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x177f47… |
| 10-21 05:18:11 | Glaring-Cargo 0x4766…6e4b | No | BUY | 107 | 100¢ | $107 | 0x177f47… |
| 10-21 05:18:11 | (anonymous) 0xf41d…be3f | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xbd6ef5… |
| 10-21 00:39:42 | (anonymous) 0x98ff…6a00 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xec7007… |
| 10-21 00:39:42 | Sorrowful-Landform 0x3144…da1e | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xec7007… |
| 10-21 00:39:42 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xec7007… |
| 10-21 00:29:29 | Bubbly-Vegetarianism 0x831d…3893 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5b85c8… |
| 10-21 00:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x98ff…6a00 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5b85c8… |
| 10-21 00:29:29 | Sorrowful-Landform 0x3144…da1e | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x5b85c8… |
| 10-21 00:20:41 | Sweaty-Squash 0xf960…ba50 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1424f1… |
| 10-21 00:20:41 | Bubbly-Vegetarianism 0x831d…3893 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1424f1… |
| 10-21 00:20:41 | (anonymous) 0x0e3e…36d6 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x1424f1… |
| 10-21 00:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x3a02…ad43 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfcce6e… |
| 10-21 00:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x98ff…6a00 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xfcce6e… |
| 10-21 00:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x0e3e…36d6 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xfcce6e… |
| 10-20 23:04:21 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcde129… |
| 10-20 23:04:21 | Anguished-Bet 0xf9dd…4226 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcde129… |
| 10-20 22:36:38 | (anonymous) 0x6c30…ba88 | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x4854fc… |
| 10-20 22:36:38 | Anguished-Bet 0xf9dd…4226 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4854fc… |
| 10-20 22:36:38 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4854fc… |
| 10-20 22:35:26 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x9032a0… |
| 10-20 22:35:26 | Easy-Going-Precedent 0x3f70…d7d8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9032a0… |
| 10-20 22:35:26 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9032a0… |
| 10-20 22:35:26 | Anguished-Bet 0xf9dd…4226 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9032a0… |
| 10-20 22:35:26 | Bubbly-Vegetarianism 0x831d…3893 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9032a0… |
| 10-20 22:34:47 | Easy-Going-Precedent 0x3f70…d7d8 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbba07c… |
| 10-20 22:34:47 | Major-Swing 0xc176…5d01 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbba07c… |
| 10-20 21:59:45 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x76af18… |
| 10-20 21:59:45 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x76af18… |
| 10-20 21:59:45 | Miniature-Alpenglow 0x04ed…8809 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x76af18… |
| 10-20 21:59:42 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1b4430… |
| 10-20 21:59:42 | Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1b4430… |
| 10-20 21:42:23 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xc6d6b4… |
| 10-20 21:42:23 | This-Choker 0xe84a…a460 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc6d6b4… |
| 10-20 21:28:02 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xcbf60d… |
| 10-20 21:28:02 | Improbable-Walkway 0x1e1a…ff36 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xcbf60d… |
| 10-20 21:28:02 | (anonymous) 0xc31f…f04a | No | SELL | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0xcbf60d… |
| 10-20 21:26:35 | (anonymous) 0xc31f…f04a | No | SELL | 16 | 88¢ | $14 | 0x834537… |
| 10-20 21:26:35 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x834537… |
| 10-20 21:26:35 | Improbable-Walkway 0x1e1a…ff36 | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x834537… |
| 10-20 21:20:33 | Easy-Going-Precedent 0x3f70…d7d8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x16a209… |
| 10-20 21:20:33 | (anonymous) 0xe599…6790 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x16a209… |
| 10-20 21:11:35 | This-Choker 0xe84a…a460 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8eb35f… |
| 10-20 21:11:35 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8eb35f… |
| 10-20 21:01:12 | (anonymous) 0xed62…c51d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x2457d5… |
| 10-20 21:01:12 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x2457d5… |
| 10-20 20:47:42 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x9a9fe6… |
| 10-20 20:47:42 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x9a9fe6… |