Will Calvin Harris perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
open
Total volume
$484
Trades
58
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$1
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-07-19
First seen
2026-06-11
last 07-08 22:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $317
vs crowd: 3% YES on $431)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $1 | $346 | $345 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $2 | $66 | $64 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $7 | $5 | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $317 | $317 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $66 | $64 |
| Below median | 5 | $4 | $5 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $1 | $12 | $11 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $1 | $18 | $17 |
| unranked | 10 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +320 | $317 | $317 | 2 | 06-24 15:58 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +95 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 15:57 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +70 | $0 | $2 | 3 | 07-08 22:43 |
| Poor-Inflammation 0xd439…21d3 | Yes | +51 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 02:20 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-30 11:22 |
| Grim-Cob 0x9e8e…8db8 | No | +36 | $34 | $79 | 3 | 06-14 02:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x4040…101c | Yes | +35 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 22:43 |
| Glamorous-Gran 0x2773…045c | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 23:46 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 19:01 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 07-08 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-24 15:58 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-08 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d02…bfec | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-24 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5f9…75fd | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-24 15:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ffd…cdbc | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-24 15:58 |
| Serious-Motivation-Discrepancy 0x1d4b…50c5 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-24 20:07 |
| Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-18 00:44 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $1 | 4 | 07-08 22:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 22:43:43 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x94ab48… |
| 07-08 22:43:43 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x94ab48… |
| 07-08 22:43:43 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x94ab48… |
| 07-08 22:43:43 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x94ab48… |
| 07-08 22:43:43 | (anonymous) 0x4040…101c | Yes | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x94ab48… |
| 07-03 02:20:44 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x63be13… |
| 07-03 02:20:44 | Poor-Inflammation 0xd439…21d3 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x63be13… |
| 07-03 02:20:44 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x63be13… |
| 07-03 02:20:44 | Automatic-Perception 0x1fd8…1de3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x63be13… |
| 06-30 11:22:14 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c878e… |
| 06-30 11:22:14 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c878e… |
| 06-28 19:01:13 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5f82c… |
| 06-28 19:01:13 | (anonymous) 0x7d64…f001 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5f82c… |
| 06-26 04:41:31 | Automatic-Perception 0x1fd8…1de3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc6cb72… |
| 06-26 04:41:31 | (anonymous) 0xa515…0093 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc6cb72… |
| 06-24 20:07:08 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x47495f… |
| 06-24 20:07:08 | Serious-Motivation-Discrepancy 0x1d4b…50c5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x47495f… |
| 06-24 20:07:08 | (anonymous) 0x4d02…bfec | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x47495f… |
| 06-24 15:58:26 | (anonymous) 0xe5f9…75fd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeb44a7… |
| 06-24 15:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x6ffd…cdbc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeb44a7… |
| 06-24 15:58:26 | (anonymous) 0xa515…0093 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeb44a7… |
| 06-24 15:58:26 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xeb44a7… |
| 06-24 15:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x7d64…f001 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeb44a7… |
| 06-24 15:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeb44a7… |
| 06-24 15:57:44 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf52241… |
| 06-24 15:57:44 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 260 | 99¢ | $257 | 0xf52241… |
| 06-24 15:57:44 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf52241… |
| 06-24 15:57:44 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf52241… |
| 06-24 15:57:44 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf52241… |
| 06-18 00:44:20 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x25da7e… |
| 06-18 00:44:20 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x25da7e… |
| 06-18 00:44:20 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x25da7e… |
| 06-14 02:15:42 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x12ede4… |
| 06-14 02:15:42 | Grim-Cob 0x9e8e…8db8 | No | SELL | 19 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x12ede4… |
| 06-14 02:15:42 | (anonymous) 0xaa74…78b9 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x12ede4… |
| 06-14 00:35:51 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x53b57f… |
| 06-14 00:35:51 | Open-Nitrogen 0x2a85…54c1 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x53b57f… |
| 06-14 00:35:40 | Open-Nitrogen 0x2a85…54c1 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x9acfc4… |
| 06-14 00:35:40 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9acfc4… |
| 06-14 00:35:16 | Grim-Cob 0x9e8e…8db8 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x0c55d4… |
| 06-14 00:35:16 | Reliable-Phenotype 0x306b…179e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0c55d4… |
| 06-14 00:34:31 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x47269f… |
| 06-14 00:34:31 | Reliable-Phenotype 0x306b…179e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x47269f… |
| 06-14 00:33:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2a84ed… |
| 06-14 00:33:07 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2a84ed… |
| 06-14 00:33:07 | (anonymous) 0xaa74…78b9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2a84ed… |
| 06-14 00:08:27 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7572e8… |
| 06-14 00:08:27 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7572e8… |
| 06-13 04:51:28 | Grave-Atelier 0x34cb…7588 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x459665… |
| 06-13 04:51:28 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x459665… |
| 06-13 04:29:42 | Open-Nitrogen 0x2a85…54c1 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x949e13… |
| 06-13 04:29:42 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x949e13… |
| 06-13 04:29:21 | (anonymous) 0xaa74…78b9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xef7e23… |
| 06-13 04:29:21 | Grim-Cob 0x9e8e…8db8 | No | BUY | 60 | 94¢ | $57 | 0xef7e23… |
| 06-13 04:29:21 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xef7e23… |
| 06-13 04:29:21 | Grave-Atelier 0x34cb…7588 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xef7e23… |
| 06-11 23:46:52 | Glamorous-Gran 0x2773…045c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xeaa95b… |
| 06-11 23:46:52 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xeaa95b… |