Realized P&L
-$404
Unrealized P&L
-$2.14K
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved
967
Trades
18,293
lifetime
Volume
$1.31M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$13.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 04-28 16:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 154 days
Categories
Politics
56%
71%
-$10,700
Other
41%
76%
+$6,363
Crypto
2%
72%
+$1,838
Sports
1%
54%
+$2,210
Tech
0%
71%
-$19
Pop-Culture
0%
33%
-$96
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-28).
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 682 | $107.8K | 68,588 | 46,027 | +22,561 | No | -$242 | 03-04 19:26 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 257 | $63.1K | 36,769 | 31,094 | +5,674 | No | +$794 | 04-01 12:12 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 876 | $53.4K | 61,263 | 26,761 | +34,502 | Yes | +$122 | 02-03 23:52 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 386 | $52.8K | 43,670 | 23,346 | +20,323 | Yes | -$112 | 04-09 00:25 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 337 | $52.4K | 39,704 | 16,394 | +23,310 | Yes | +$451 | 01-28 20:35 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 353 | $40.5K | 46,202 | 8,200 | +38,002 | Yes | -$7,498 | 04-10 18:05 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 576 | $38.4K | 40,595 | 11,052 | +29,543 | Yes | -$347 | 03-01 01:33 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 338 | $35.9K | 35,104 | 17,416 | +17,689 | Yes | +$833 | 03-13 00:36 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 363 | $26.3K | 29,582 | 10,918 | +18,664 | Yes | +$139 | 03-04 19:01 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 186 | $25.1K | 17,479 | 11,808 | +5,671 | No | +$968 | 04-28 14:39 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 377 | $22.7K | 26,736 | 15,990 | +10,745 | Yes | -$4,525 | 02-28 07:19 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 138 | $22.4K | 16,715 | 7,690 | +9,026 | Yes | +$368 | 03-18 17:59 |
| new stranger things episode released by january 31 294 | 89 | $20.9K | 14,245 | 6,887 | +7,358 | No | +$119 | 01-31 18:21 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 284 | $19.5K | 27,344 | 7,867 | +19,476 | No | +$593 | 01-31 20:07 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 69 | $15.6K | 12,011 | 6,589 | +5,422 | No | -$661 | 04-28 14:40 |
| will iran strike israel on march 6 | 57 | $13.6K | 12,197 | 1,502 | +10,695 | No | +$84 | 03-11 23:18 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 300 | $13.5K | 11,565 | 9,016 | +2,549 | No | +$626 | 02-01 01:04 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | 88 | $13.4K | 5,316 | 8,176 | -2,860 | Yes | +$20 | 04-28 14:40 |
| will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final | 55 | $13.2K | 8,947 | 4,542 | +4,405 | No | +$246 | 04-16 03:06 |
| will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 126 | $11.9K | 8,067 | 4,539 | +3,527 | No | +$280 | 02-06 22:42 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 197 | $11.8K | 6,894 | 6,715 | +179 | No | +$973 | 04-28 14:40 |
| us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31 | 94 | $11.5K | 8,139 | 3,433 | +4,706 | Yes | +$79 | 02-04 00:27 |
| will iran strike israel on march 10 | 44 | $10.7K | 5,282 | 5,455 | -172 | Yes | +$36 | 03-17 01:47 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 149 | $10.5K | 10,868 | 2,144 | +8,724 | No | +$1,308 | 03-30 15:10 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 236 | $10.4K | 8,081 | 5,150 | +2,931 | No | +$468 | 04-01 15:27 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 236 | $10.2K | 8,330 | 5,677 | +2,653 | Yes | +$96 | 04-07 09:21 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 316 | $10.0K | 10,223 | 3,881 | +6,342 | Yes | +$53 | 04-24 10:59 |
| another us government shutdown by february 14 | 102 | $9.9K | 12,550 | 11,647 | +903 | No | -$1,313 | 02-14 11:31 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 123 | $9.8K | 12,182 | 3,228 | +8,953 | No | +$239 | 01-28 19:16 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 242 | $9.7K | 13,287 | 4,314 | +8,973 | Yes | +$146 | 03-01 00:15 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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