Realized P&L (7d)
-$289
Unrealized P&L
-$3.00K
Hit rate
4.1%
Resolved (7d)
8
Trades (7d)
0
18,293 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$1.31M lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$12.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 04-28 16:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 155 days
Categories
Politics
56% 70% -$10,989
Other
41% 76% +$6,363
Crypto
2% 72% +$1,838
Sports
1% 54% +$2,210
Tech
0% 71% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$96
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-28).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5,260 -$3,471 88¢ $-4602 -$1,131 04-28 14:41
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -2,823 -$1,609 99¢ $-2789 -$1,180 04-28 14:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,755 -$1,421 98¢ $-1715 -$294 04-28 14:41
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -498 -$423 98¢ $-490 -$66 04-28 14:47
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No -448 -$399 97¢ $-435 -$36 04-28 15:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -281 -$241 98¢ $-275 -$34 04-28 14:52
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -272 -$246 98¢ $-266 -$20 04-28 14:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -225 -$134 91¢ $-204 -$70 04-28 15:21
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -180 -$153 97¢ $-174 -$21 04-28 15:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No -163 -$150 98¢ $-161 -$11 04-28 15:09
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -155 -$135 97¢ $-151 -$16 04-28 15:19
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -151 -$122 92¢ $-140 -$18 04-28 15:25
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -366 -$142 38¢ $-137 +$4 04-28 15:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -124 -$109 98¢ $-122 -$13 04-28 15:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -120 -$107 98¢ $-118 -$11 04-28 15:28
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -118 -$71 92¢ $-108 -$37 04-28 15:36
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No -108 -$62 91¢ $-98 -$36 04-28 15:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,293 -$228 7¢ $-94 +$134 04-28 14:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No -89 -$83 99¢ $-88 -$6 04-28 15:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -90 -$59 95¢ $-85 -$26 04-28 15:41
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -89 -$57 91¢ $-81 -$24 04-28 15:47
Trump out as President before 2027? No -82 -$68 97¢ $-79 -$11 04-28 15:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -73 -$44 94¢ $-69 -$25 04-28 15:54
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -58 -$47 100¢ $-58 -$11 04-28 15:50
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -51 -$49 99¢ $-51 -$2 04-28 15:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -51 -$38 98¢ $-51 -$12 04-28 15:55
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -51 -$44 97¢ $-50 -$5 04-28 15:53
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -39 -$35 99¢ $-39 -$4 04-28 16:00
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -33 -$30 99¢ $-33 -$3 04-28 16:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -32 -$17 94¢ $-30 -$13 04-28 16:11