Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
-$274
Hit rate
79.8%
Resolved
190
Trades
2,212
lifetime
Volume
$80.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$2.03K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 05-04 18:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Politics
92%
59%
+$214
Other
7%
34%
-$280
Crypto
0%
50%
+$27
Sports
0%
100%
+$1
Tech
0%
50%
$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-04).
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will israel take military action in lebanon on march 19 2026 | 10 | $13.7K | 7,793 | 5,902 | +1,890 | Yes | +$14 | 03-19 18:50 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 20 | $6.8K | 6,978 | 1,706 | +5,272 | Yes | +$10 | 04-20 20:32 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 51 | $6.4K | 4,132 | 2,689 | +1,443 | Yes | +$56 | 04-23 18:31 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 44 | $6.2K | 6,275 | 6,275 | -0 | open | — | 05-04 17:42 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026 | 47 | $4.4K | 3,215 | 2,105 | +1,110 | Yes | +$469 | 05-01 00:30 |
| will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026 | 4 | $2.9K | 2,905 | 0 | +2,905 | Yes | +$29 | 03-20 06:15 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 31 | $2.9K | 2,466 | 757 | +1,708 | Yes | +$2 | 04-09 19:31 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 29 | $2.6K | 1,920 | 1,919 | +1 | Yes | -$108 | 04-08 21:09 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 55 | $2.4K | 3,916 | 1,969 | +1,947 | No | -$94 | 04-30 21:01 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 35 | $2.0K | 883 | 2,082 | -1,199 | open | — | 05-04 17:42 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 64 | $1.9K | 1,513 | 1,256 | +257 | Yes | +$95 | 04-23 18:31 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | 34 | $1.6K | 1,051 | 662 | +389 | Yes | +$14 | 04-21 18:01 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 39 | $1.5K | 1,146 | 689 | +457 | Yes | +$83 | 04-21 16:54 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 42 | $1.2K | 597 | 597 | +0 | No | +$0 | 05-04 18:06 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 21 | $1.1K | 308 | 879 | -571 | No | -$41 | 05-04 17:42 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | 36 | $1.0K | 546 | 545 | +1 | Yes | +$2 | 04-22 01:31 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | 1 | $988 | 989 | 0 | +989 | Yes | +$1 | 04-15 06:28 |
| hezbollah military action against israel by march 20 | 1 | $984 | 986 | 0 | +986 | Yes | +$2 | 03-19 18:51 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 28 | $931 | 970 | 968 | +2 | Yes | -$67 | 04-07 21:01 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 16 | $898 | 842 | 234 | +608 | Yes | +$50 | 04-08 05:57 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 11 | $803 | 414 | 413 | +1 | open | — | 05-04 17:42 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 51 | $803 | 1,101 | 1,099 | +2 | No | -$144 | 05-04 17:43 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 32 | $737 | 971 | 733 | +238 | Yes | +$99 | 04-08 00:49 |
| will iran strike uae again in march | 8 | $691 | 348 | 347 | +1 | Yes | +$3 | 04-06 13:31 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 33 | $608 | 1,106 | 1,105 | +1 | Yes | +$13 | 05-04 17:43 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 47 | $580 | 764 | 764 | +1 | No | -$52 | 05-04 17:43 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | 19 | $541 | 365 | 362 | +3 | Yes | -$23 | 04-30 22:16 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | 62 | $535 | 2,978 | 2,977 | +1 | Yes | -$23 | 05-04 17:45 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | 9 | $527 | 266 | 265 | +1 | Yes | +$3 | 04-12 23:01 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | 31 | $521 | 387 | 387 | +0 | Yes | +$38 | 04-21 19:31 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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