Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,813

lifetime

Volume

$67.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-04 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

94% 50% $-46

Other

6% 67% $-9

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 19 2026	10	$13.7K	7,793	5,902	+1,890	open	—	03-19 18:50
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	20	$6.8K	6,978	1,706	+5,272	open	—	04-20 20:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	51	$6.4K	4,132	2,689	+1,443	open	—	04-23 18:31
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	47	$4.4K	3,215	2,105	+1,110	open	—	05-01 00:30
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	4	$2.9K	2,905	0	+2,905	open	—	03-20 06:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	31	$2.9K	2,466	757	+1,708	open	—	04-09 19:31
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	29	$2.6K	1,920	1,919	+1	open	—	04-08 21:09
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	55	$2.4K	3,916	1,969	+1,947	open	—	04-30 21:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	64	$1.9K	1,513	1,256	+257	open	—	04-23 18:31
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	34	$1.6K	1,051	662	+389	open	—	04-21 18:01
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	39	$1.5K	1,146	689	+457	open	—	04-21 16:54
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	41	$1.2K	597	594	+3	No	+$0	04-25 03:47
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	36	$1.0K	546	545	+1	open	—	04-22 01:31
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	1	$988	989	0	+989	open	—	04-15 06:28
hezbollah military action against israel by march 20	1	$984	986	0	+986	open	—	03-19 18:51
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	28	$931	970	968	+2	open	—	04-07 21:01
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	16	$898	842	234	+608	open	—	04-08 05:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	51	$803	1,101	1,099	+2	open	—	05-04 17:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	32	$737	971	733	+238	open	—	04-08 00:49
will iran strike uae again in march	8	$691	348	347	+1	open	—	04-06 13:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	33	$608	1,106	1,105	+1	Yes	+$13	05-04 17:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	47	$580	764	764	+1	open	—	05-04 17:43
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	19	$541	365	362	+3	open	—	04-30 22:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	61	$532	2,950	2,977	-27	Yes	$-48	05-04 17:45
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	9	$527	266	265	+1	open	—	04-12 23:01
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	31	$521	387	387	+0	open	—	04-21 19:31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	31	$412	469	448	+21	open	—	05-01 21:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	41	$401	1,343	1,342	+1	open	—	04-30 22:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	7	$399	210	209	+1	open	—	04-17 03:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	19	$399	592	592	+0	open	—	04-07 23:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-04 17:50:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0xfebc00…
05-04 17:50:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$0	0x7173b6…
05-04 17:49:46	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x4ae6a4…
05-04 17:49:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0xe40b6a…
05-04 17:48:14	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x637897…
05-04 17:48:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	63	8¢	$5	0x9e3b1c…
05-04 17:47:38	Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfc30eb…
05-04 17:46:50	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	8¢	$7	0x247ac8…
05-04 17:46:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	4¢	$8	0x60e012…
05-04 17:46:12	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x78ec3d…
05-04 17:45:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	198	8¢	$16	0xffd223…
05-04 17:44:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0xfaa62e…
05-04 17:43:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	15¢	$30	0x97055e…
05-04 17:43:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	142	28¢	$40	0xf4b671…
05-04 17:43:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	381	16¢	$61	0xe87d77…
05-04 15:11:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x31f452…
05-04 07:53:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	9¢	$8	0xa4604f…
05-04 05:31:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	59	8¢	$5	0xa62eed…
05-04 04:15:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xcaf50a…
05-04 01:01:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	35	21¢	$7	0xf73283…
05-04 00:42:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0x683388…
05-03 23:11:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	66	21¢	$14	0xa78120…
05-03 22:51:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xf448d4…
05-03 22:22:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x9be64a…
05-03 21:16:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x95fc45…
05-03 21:02:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xdbf211…
05-03 14:02:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xc2292b…
05-03 13:30:18	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x4962bd…
05-03 00:53:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	53	10¢	$5	0x7bb835…
05-02 23:51:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4321b7…
05-02 23:45:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x136a30…
05-02 23:31:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x3e6b54…
05-02 22:57:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	9¢	$6	0x8b2049…
05-02 21:51:10	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xeaad7e…
05-02 19:46:28	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0x3bffd1…
05-02 19:46:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x9be1d4…
05-02 19:45:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x5ac2a9…
05-02 06:40:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x468feb…
05-02 06:36:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x64ae39…
05-01 22:01:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	SELL	61	5¢	$3	0x242a04…
05-01 21:31:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	118	3¢	$4	0x22f818…
05-01 21:02:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xae0fc5…
05-01 21:02:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xaa0c91…
05-01 21:01:50	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3e44ef…
05-01 20:14:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0xbf61d4…
05-01 19:30:50	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	122	95¢	$116	0x700cc1…
05-01 17:30:52	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xcdbe62…
05-01 13:33:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x89095b…
05-01 13:31:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	22¢	$11	0xbd1f8d…
05-01 07:31:10	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xcf4ac0…
05-01 07:08:52	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xd0d9d1…
05-01 06:01:38	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x10ead2…
05-01 02:30:48	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x85d4b0…
05-01 02:00:50	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xaaab81…
05-01 01:01:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc2ff4e…
05-01 01:00:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	101	21¢	$21	0x8304b8…
05-01 00:31:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x1e1b24…
05-01 00:30:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	98	20¢	$20	0xaf7282…
05-01 00:30:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4fb9cc…
05-01 00:01:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x5a4af2…
05-01 00:01:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd55d9b…
05-01 00:01:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	94	21¢	$20	0x76d00e…
04-30 23:30:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	76	20¢	$15	0xec8653…
04-30 22:54:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x01ba12…
04-30 22:16:02	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x1e3da1…
04-30 22:01:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xc570b8…
04-30 22:00:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	115	0¢	$0	0xfae8f5…
04-30 22:00:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x79af02…
04-30 22:00:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	0¢	$0	0x00e690…
04-30 21:02:22	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x6ac898…
04-30 21:01:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$44	0x244491…
04-30 21:00:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x429179…
04-30 20:32:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0xaf1db6…
04-30 20:32:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	145	100¢	$144	0x9e07c5…
04-30 20:32:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x973ba1…
04-30 20:31:30	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	601	100¢	$598	0x609db4…
04-30 20:31:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaebbf7…
04-30 20:31:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	20¢	$5	0xc1aa87…
04-30 20:31:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0x18a5a3…
04-30 20:30:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x533936…
04-30 20:09:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xa80450…
04-30 20:01:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	286	100¢	$284	0x793c8e…
04-30 20:00:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0xb5899e…
04-30 20:00:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0xa51cd7…
04-30 20:00:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x0023d0…
04-30 19:55:36	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1678f9…
04-30 19:52:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x463871…
04-30 17:30:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x8ca3b3…
04-30 16:40:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	12¢	$8	0x44e057…
04-30 15:30:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	176	22¢	$39	0xddc64c…
04-30 14:33:12	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x7de739…
04-30 11:38:48	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x518b33…
04-30 11:31:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	42¢	$16	0x44aa40…
04-30 11:28:16	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x938197…
04-30 06:44:10	Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb0d1ba…
04-30 06:02:10	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97902a…
04-30 05:31:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9eb25e…
04-30 03:32:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x3f69a4…
04-30 03:31:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x8c21e4…
04-30 02:31:46	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2b43df…