Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
-$274
Hit rate
79.8%
Resolved
190
Trades
2,212
lifetime
Volume
$80.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$2.03K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 05-04 18:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Politics
92% 59% +$214
Other
7% 34% -$280
Crypto
0% 50% +$27
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Tech
0% 50% $0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-04).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,199 -$795 82¢ $-977 -$182 05-04 17:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -220 -$190 97¢ $-213 -$24 05-04 17:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -226 -$181 94¢ $-211 -$31 05-02 19:44
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -138 -$127 97¢ $-134 -$8 05-04 17:43
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -73 -$66 99¢ $-72 -$6 05-04 17:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -82 -$51 86¢ $-71 -$20 05-04 17:43
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -68 -$62 100¢ $-68 -$6 05-04 17:44
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -46 -$42 96¢ $-45 -$3 05-04 17:44
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -75 -$27 45¢ $-34 -$6 05-04 17:52
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -33 -$30 98¢ $-33 -$2 05-04 17:45
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -24 -$18 94¢ $-23 -$5 05-04 17:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -164 -$9 13¢ $-21 -$12 05-04 17:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -165 -$28 12¢ $-20 +$9 05-04 17:45
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -18 -$17 99¢ $-18 -$1 05-04 17:46
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -354 -$18 4¢ $-15 +$3 05-04 17:46
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -14 -$14 98¢ $-14 $0 05-04 17:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -15 -$9 92¢ $-14 -$4 05-04 17:47
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -337 -$7 3¢ $-10 -$3 05-04 17:48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -84 -$21 11¢ $-9 +$12 05-04 17:45
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No -9 -$7 96¢ $-9 -$1 05-04 18:05
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -31 -$3 16¢ $-5 -$2 05-04 17:49
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -160 -$2 3¢ $-5 -$3 05-04 17:50
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -573 -$5 1¢ $-3 +$2 05-04 17:49
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -44 -$6 6¢ $-3 +$4 05-04 17:48
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes -12 -$2 20¢ $-2 -$1 05-04 17:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -46 -$8 4¢ $-2 +$6 05-04 17:48
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -17 -$4 10¢ $-2 +$2 05-04 17:49
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -5 -$2 36¢ $-2 $0 05-04 18:07
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -8 -$6 18¢ $-1 +$4 05-04 18:07
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -34 -$5 3¢ $-1 +$3 05-04 17:49