Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$352
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
2,212 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$80.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$2.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 05-04 18:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Politics
92% 59% +$214
Other
7% 34% -$280
Crypto
0% 50% +$27
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Tech
0% 50% $0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-04).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,199 -$795 88¢ $-1049 -$254 05-04 17:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -226 -$181 97¢ $-219 -$39 05-02 19:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -220 -$190 98¢ $-216 -$26 05-04 17:42
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -138 -$127 98¢ $-136 -$9 05-04 17:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -82 -$51 91¢ $-75 -$25 05-04 17:43
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -73 -$66 99¢ $-72 -$6 05-04 17:43
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -68 -$62 100¢ $-68 -$6 05-04 17:44
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -46 -$42 97¢ $-45 -$3 05-04 17:44
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -33 -$30 98¢ $-32 -$2 05-04 17:45
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -75 -$27 42¢ $-31 -$4 05-04 17:52
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -24 -$18 96¢ $-23 -$5 05-04 17:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -164 -$9 13¢ $-21 -$11 05-04 17:47
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -18 -$17 98¢ $-18 -$1 05-04 17:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -15 -$9 92¢ $-14 -$5 05-04 17:47
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -14 -$14 98¢ $-14 $0 05-04 17:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -165 -$28 8¢ $-13 +$16 05-04 17:45
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -354 -$18 3¢ $-11 +$7 05-04 17:46
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -337 -$7 3¢ $-9 -$2 05-04 17:48
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No -9 -$7 95¢ $-9 -$1 05-04 18:05
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -160 -$2 5¢ $-8 -$6 05-04 17:50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -84 -$21 8¢ $-6 +$15 05-04 17:45
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -31 -$3 14¢ $-4 -$2 05-04 17:49
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -573 -$5 0¢ $-3 +$2 05-04 17:49
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -5 -$2 48¢ $-2 -$1 05-04 18:07
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -44 -$6 5¢ $-2 +$4 05-04 17:48
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -17 -$4 10¢ $-2 +$2 05-04 17:49
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes -12 -$2 12¢ $-1 +$0 05-04 17:49
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -8 -$6 16¢ $-1 +$4 05-04 18:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -46 -$8 2¢ $-1 +$7 05-04 17:48
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $2 99¢ $1 -$2 05-04 17:42