Will Drake have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$8,377
Trades
255
Unique wallets
72
Liquidity
$972
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-01-10
last 05-27 12:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+11.5¢
(top1%: 95% YES on $163
vs crowd: 84% YES on $6.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $3.1K | $205 | +$2.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $2.1K | $151 | +$1.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $126 | $695 | $569 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $365 | $42 | +$323 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $156 | $8 | +$148 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $153 | $127 | +$26 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $1.5K | $71 | +$1.4K |
| Median | 7 | $46 | $13 | +$34 |
| Below median | 17 | $88 | $58 | +$29 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $22 | $20 | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $2.5K | $88 | +$2.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $500 | $21 | +$479 |
| unranked | 16 | $692 | $687 | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | +2,256 | $2,250 | $2,329 | 9 | 05-27 12:52 |
| Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | +1,417 | $1,373 | $1,373 | 11 | 05-24 16:01 |
| Present-Barrier 0x5f3a…00d4 | No | +1,400 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-27 12:52 |
| Spry-Curry 0x58c0…e64f | No | +1,040 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-26 23:46 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +554 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 05-24 23:49 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | +500 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-27 12:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | +351 | $24 | $39 | 14 | 05-17 08:18 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +274 | $76 | $76 | 12 | 02-17 17:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xa45c…1d10 | No | +273 | $50 | $50 | 5 | 02-19 17:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +213 | $153 | $153 | 4 | 02-19 17:04 |
| Reflecting-Jackal 0x8de5…2b04 | Yes | +210 | $165 | $165 | 4 | 03-04 05:03 |
| Revolving-Accessory 0x4c56…14cc | No | +200 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-24 16:01 |
| Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | Yes | +175 | $156 | $156 | 2 | 05-15 06:23 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | +155 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-21 20:22 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | No | +119 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-15 04:20 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +100 | $9 | $19 | 7 | 05-18 22:54 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-26 23:46 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-26 23:46 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-26 23:46 |
| Wee-Skull 0x9386…cfe5 | Yes | +93 | $74 | $74 | 9 | 02-24 12:21 |
| Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | No | +80 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-19 23:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a29…02fd | Yes | +68 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 02-17 17:33 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +66 | $4 | $11 | 7 | 05-17 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf61a…84dd | Yes | +55 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 01-26 21:55 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +54 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 05-19 08:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xc092…5428 | Yes | +46 | $37 | $37 | 5 | 04-27 19:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xc092…5428 | No | +46 | $9 | $9 | 8 | 04-26 18:10 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +41 | $10 | $25 | 4 | 03-30 01:59 |
| Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | No | +38 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 03-04 05:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x343f…7b50 | Yes | +36 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 02-13 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2 | Yes | +30 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 02-19 17:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | No | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 04-25 19:13 |
| Quick-Witted-Artichoke 0xacc6…236d | No | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-21 12:36 |
| Villainous-Wave 0x03d0…d647 | No | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 01-22 17:41 |
| Watchful-Ketchup 0x768a…4f50 | No | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 02-28 19:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ef4…6848 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 02-18 09:32 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +10 | $3 | $18 | 4 | 01-28 00:02 |
| Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 02-22 02:29 |
| Easy-Going-Level 0x3f1f…feae | Yes | +9 | $7 | $11 | 3 | 02-14 16:47 |
| Downright-Juice 0x57d4…ac0d | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 01-10 14:36 |
| Minor-Vanilla 0xe381…3ba9 | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-02 19:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +8 | $-0 | $39 | 15 | 05-21 12:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7a3…5a7f | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 04-25 17:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x0be4…06c2 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 02-19 17:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 12:52:02 | Present-Barrier 0x5f3a…00d4 | No | BUY | 1,400 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa82601… |
| 05-27 12:52:02 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa82601… |
| 05-27 12:52:02 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa82601… |
| 05-27 12:52:02 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xa82601… |
| 05-27 12:52:02 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | BUY | 550 | 100¢ | $549 | 0xa82601… |
| 05-27 12:52:02 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa82601… |
| 05-27 12:52:02 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa82601… |
| 05-26 23:46:57 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1dfc41… |
| 05-26 23:46:57 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1dfc41… |
| 05-26 23:46:57 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1dfc41… |
| 05-26 23:46:57 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1dfc41… |
| 05-26 23:46:57 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1dfc41… |
| 05-26 23:46:57 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | BUY | 1,450 | 100¢ | $1,449 | 0x1dfc41… |
| 05-26 23:46:57 | Spry-Curry 0x58c0…e64f | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1dfc41… |
| 05-25 04:43:39 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xd42d96… |
| 05-25 04:43:39 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd42d96… |
| 05-24 23:49:40 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x6510f6… |
| 05-24 23:49:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6510f6… |
| 05-24 23:49:37 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda2b5f… |
| 05-24 23:49:37 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xda2b5f… |
| 05-24 16:01:03 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 74 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe141b8… |
| 05-24 16:01:03 | Revolving-Accessory 0x4c56…14cc | No | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe141b8… |
| 05-24 16:01:03 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 126 | 100¢ | $125 | 0xe141b8… |
| 05-24 03:11:14 | Sour-Pinafore 0xd562…6912 | No | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x31d2dc… |
| 05-24 03:11:14 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x31d2dc… |
| 05-23 17:28:53 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3812d8… |
| 05-23 17:28:53 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0x3812d8… |
| 05-23 17:28:53 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3812d8… |
| 05-22 01:38:30 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb08f26… |
| 05-22 01:38:30 | Extraneous-Standoff 0xee64…4754 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xb08f26… |
| 05-21 20:22:45 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 155 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x10c238… |
| 05-21 20:22:45 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 155 | 99¢ | $153 | 0x10c238… |
| 05-21 12:36:52 | Quick-Witted-Artichoke 0xacc6…236d | No | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x7db276… |
| 05-21 12:36:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x7db276… |
| 05-19 23:11:30 | Front-Shareholder 0x19d0…c654 | No | SELL | 80 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x98e301… |
| 05-19 23:11:30 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | No | BUY | 80 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x98e301… |
| 05-19 08:24:13 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0xf9f40c… |
| 05-19 08:24:13 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf9f40c… |
| 05-19 08:24:04 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x410e24… |
| 05-19 08:24:04 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x410e24… |
| 05-19 08:23:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x143d7e… |
| 05-19 08:23:59 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x143d7e… |
| 05-19 08:23:57 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x7e9c90… |
| 05-19 08:23:57 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x7e9c90… |
| 05-18 22:54:13 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 60 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x9aeaca… |
| 05-18 22:54:13 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x00932c… |
| 05-18 22:54:13 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | SELL | 60 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x9aeaca… |
| 05-18 22:54:13 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x00932c… |
| 05-18 00:20:25 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8b4385… |
| 05-18 00:20:25 | (anonymous) 0x0c95…ec3a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x8b4385… |
| 05-17 20:18:50 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | No | SELL | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xaa67f1… |
| 05-17 20:18:50 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 33 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xaa67f1… |
| 05-17 20:18:50 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xaa67f1… |
| 05-17 20:18:50 | Front-Shareholder 0x19d0…c654 | No | BUY | 80 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xaa67f1… |
| 05-17 08:18:07 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 308 | 97¢ | $299 | 0xf4aa28… |
| 05-17 08:18:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 308 | 3¢ | $9 | 0xf4aa28… |
| 05-17 08:18:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 125 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x097e99… |
| 05-17 08:18:04 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x097e99… |
| 05-17 08:18:04 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 234 | 96¢ | $224 | 0x097e99… |
| 05-17 08:18:04 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | No | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x097e99… |
| 05-17 08:18:00 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | Yes | SELL | 163 | 95¢ | $155 | 0x4fcb2f… |
| 05-17 08:18:00 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 163 | 95¢ | $155 | 0x4fcb2f… |
| 05-17 08:17:57 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x902cad… |
| 05-17 08:17:57 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 24 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x902cad… |
| 05-17 08:17:53 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xdd10bd… |
| 05-17 08:17:53 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 94¢ | $75 | 0xdd10bd… |
| 05-17 08:17:53 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 56 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xdd10bd… |
| 05-17 08:17:50 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 94¢ | $23 | 0x73667e… |
| 05-17 08:17:50 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x73667e… |
| 05-17 08:17:50 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | No | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x73667e… |
| 05-17 08:17:50 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x73667e… |
| 05-17 08:17:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | BUY | 80 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xd0c83c… |
| 05-17 08:17:48 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 92 | 94¢ | $87 | 0xd0c83c… |
| 05-17 08:17:48 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd0c83c… |
| 05-17 08:17:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x872980… |
| 05-17 08:17:43 | Perfect-Mistake 0x89e0…9412 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 93¢ | $11 | 0x872980… |
| 05-16 17:05:21 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | SELL | 18 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x34c882… |
| 05-16 17:05:21 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 18 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x34c882… |
| 05-16 15:34:44 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x7c02d9… |
| 05-16 15:34:44 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa64022… |
| 05-16 15:34:44 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x7c02d9… |
| 05-16 15:34:44 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa64022… |
| 05-15 16:54:41 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | Yes | BUY | 54 | 87¢ | $47 | 0x7342a4… |
| 05-15 16:54:41 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 54 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x7342a4… |
| 05-15 07:43:37 | Spry-Curry 0x58c0…e64f | No | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xdcd279… |
| 05-15 07:43:37 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0xdcd279… |
| 05-15 06:23:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 41 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xe471e4… |
| 05-15 06:23:31 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 91¢ | $15 | 0xe471e4… |
| 05-15 06:23:31 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0xe471e4… |
| 05-15 06:23:31 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | Yes | BUY | 26 | 87¢ | $22 | 0xe471e4… |
| 05-15 06:23:31 | (anonymous) 0x23b2…e71d | Yes | SELL | 233 | 89¢ | $207 | 0xe471e4… |
| 05-15 06:05:59 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf5f72e… |
| 05-15 06:05:59 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0xf5f72e… |
| 05-15 04:20:33 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | No | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xc61ecb… |
| 05-15 04:20:33 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | Yes | BUY | 75 | 89¢ | $67 | 0xc61ecb… |
| 05-15 04:20:33 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xc61ecb… |
| 05-14 20:50:45 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 29 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x73629d… |
| 05-14 20:50:45 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | Yes | BUY | 43 | 90¢ | $39 | 0x73629d… |
| 05-14 20:50:45 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x73629d… |
| 05-08 19:19:26 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xc73f36… |